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yuyiinthesky
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Posts posted by yuyiinthesky
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3 hours ago, bergbear said:
Somehow the very wise gov forget to allow spouses of Thai citizens back in!
That is a shame. Family members and long tome residents should be treated like Thais and allowed in.
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A very reasonable man, and a true expert. Switch off the panic mode and listen carefully.
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3 minutes ago, UbonThani said:
enough scare mongering
yes please.
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1 hour ago, Rookiescot said:How is Sweden doing in comparison with Norway?
Comparisons like that are flawed, we will only know what was better after many months. Until then it is all just a momentary snapshot, doesn't mean much.
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20 minutes ago, TheDark said:
But there are also some mutations / strains of the covid-19 virus, which are thought to be a lot more deadly than the original one.
I think this is nonsense. The impression of more deadly or not are simply created by the way deaths "from Covid-19" are mixed with deaths while also having a Corona infection, but not from Corona, are counted and put in statistics. Add to that lousy healthcare systems like in Italy and New York, killing Ventilators, and there you go.
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56 minutes ago, steelepulse said:
Thanks for posting this.
It seems to be that the Swedes are the only reasonable people left on this planet.
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40 minutes ago, mauGR1 said:I don't think that Sweden will be in big trouble, well, i think they chose the best strategy imho.
Fully agree ????
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35 minutes ago, Surelynot said:
He might be wrong about no second wave.
He might be right and no second wave for Sweden.
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So it is actually just 10, you can't really count the ones returning from abroad.
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No need to inject it, just drink it, anything with a lot of alcohol, the more the better ????
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Encouraging to see the engagement of these Cambodian environmental activists. Obviously they love their country more than some others, which seem to love money more than anything.
I hope the authorities wake up and do their job to protect Cambodia.
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That's too much hassle, I'll take a bus or van.
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1 hour ago, baansgr said:will people really feel comfortable visiting restaurants and bars in the immediate future...
Yes, I do.
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I'm scared that this will start the rumor that after a while Covid 19 is turning the infected ones into killing zombies ????
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1 hour ago, Wildliferescue said:I am the founder and director of the Wildlife Friends Foundation in Thailand and have been in touch for over a week with the group of people that filmed and posted the videos of the Phuket Zoo a few weeks ago, it is the same group that started the fundraiser online.
I am aware of some of the comments posted on ThaiVisa and I would like to give you my view on the story;
Some of the tigers in the video were skinny but old, which is normal for a tiger to be a bit thin at that age, however the animals were indeed neglected and did not get the right nutrition or amounts of nutrition at that time. The enclosures were extremely dirty and had not been cleaned for weeks at the time of the video. Once authorities and local media visited the zoo after the International outcry, all cages were cleaned up as the zoo received notice of the check-up a few days in advance. While people focus on the tigers, I would like to add that the bears and crocodiles were in worse and even more horrendous condition at the time.
You might argue that the campaigners were too fast in posting the cry for help and the online fundraiser, without consulting the owners of the zoo or local charities working on issues as this one, but they did communicate with the zoo keepers and manager of the zoo at that time who were happy to receive food supplies on a daily bases. Evidence of these food deliveries have been posted frequently online. The zoo keepers and manager of the zoo have stated several times the zoo was in financial trouble, was to be closed down and could not feed all animals without help. The fact that government officials are now also feeding the animals (see the article on Phuket News) should be proof enough to see there is a serious issue ongoing, I would like to ask these officials where these funds come from as the government has no budgets set aside for such issues.
I have been in touch with both the zoo and the group of fundraisers for the last weeks. Right now the zoo is going to file for closure and many of the animals will need to be relocated, which will cost a lot of money if they are going to need decent rehoming. The zoo plans to move the most “popular” animals such as the tigers and orangutans to a new facility called the Phuket Bird Park. The other animals will then probably be sold or dumped.
The group of fundraisers have claimed until date that they did not touch any of the money from the online fundraiser and said they are not planning to touch any of it until there is a way they can spend it on directly helping the Phuket Zoo animals. Food donations till now were paid for out of people’s own pockets both by foreign and Thai members of the above-mentioned group.
The legal charges by the zoo against the group are outrageous, filing for trespassing and computer crimes for which very high penalties exist. The zoo has been aware of the efforts to feed the animals and from the beginning were informed and ok with it.
In the meantime, if anyone questions the reputation of the Phuket zoo as an innocent or nice facility, I would challenge you in doing a search on Google on the search terms of “Phuket Zoo”, “Milo”, “Dumbo”, or just animal torture.
Edwin Wiek
Director and Founder
Wildlife Friends Foundation Thailand (WFFT)
Thanks for clarifying.
Unfortunately this will get ignored by the usual TVF experts here, which, locked in their rooms, try to bash everybody and everything to vent their anger and frustration about being locked up.-
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Good news!
But please stay in your rooms, I like driving on empty streets.-
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The longer the shutdown go, the better for China.
The WHO has shown to say what China wants them to say.
May be better listen to independent experts.-
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5 hours ago, spidermike007 said:
Dr Manoon Leechawengwong should be arrested and locked up, for spreading panic among the masses. Completely ridiculous predictions, damaging to the mental health of the people, and reckless, to say the least. There are totally different dynamics at work in Italy.
Very well said. Arrest him for spreading false info about Covid 19.
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14 minutes ago, DrTuner said:
There is a risk that must be taken into account: If Thailand got the early Wuhan version, and most people have had it as asymptomatic, it could create a false sense of security due to perceived immunity for other strains, an immunity that might not be there at all.
It is April 22, please stop repeating this old nonsense. It doesn't matter which one you get, they are same same same same. It is known by now why the Italian death numbers had been so high, and it had nothing to do with different Corona versions, in most cases not even with any Corona virus.
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Is that why SARS-CoV-2 was let out of the box? Give the West a massive distraction, weaken it, to finally take over Taiwan, Hong Kong and the South China Sea? Sounds like a page from "The Art of War".
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Good, let them get home!
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7 hours ago, Logosone said:
Who was the most alarmist?
It was Neil Ferguson. He was the one who posted a paper saying that 2 million people in the US would die, 500,000 in the UK would die. It was based on this hyper-alarmist modelling, of which Ferguson later tried to weasel out of, that Boris Johnson then put in the place the policies that he did.
Yes, this guy and his false models influenced the decisions of many countries. The damage he did with his mistakes is immense.-
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21 minutes ago, AussieBob18 said:
what country do you support at the Olympics or the Football World Cup?
For a long time now I focus on supporting and cheering up good athletes, which inspire me with their performance. Countries? No, I don't care where they were born, just what they do.
May be I listed too much to John Lennon's "Imagine".-
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11 minutes ago, Monomial said:
Explain mathematically or logically using mathematical heuristics why it can not infect 100%?
Have a look at any explanation of herd immunity. Once the virus runs out of candidates to infect, it runs out. That is happening when every infected person infects less than 1 uninfected person.
The herd immunity value is different for every virus depending on how contagious the virus is, the R0 value. For SARS-CoV-2 the herd immunity level seems to be 60-70%.QuoteR0, pronounced “R naught,” is a mathematical term that indicates how contagious an infectious disease is. It’s also referred to as the reproduction number. As an infection is transmitted to new people, it reproduces itself.
R0 tells you the average number of people who will contract a contagious disease from one person with that disease. It specifically applies to a population of people who were previously free of infection and haven’t been vaccinated.
For example, if a disease has an R0 of 18, a person who has the disease will transmit it to an average of 18 other people. That replication will continue if no one has been vaccinated against the disease or is already immune to it in their community.
Three possibilities exist for the potential transmission or decline of a disease, depending on its R0 value:
- If R0 is less than 1, each existing infection causes less than one new infection. In this case, the disease will decline and eventually die out.
- If R0 equals 1, each existing infection causes one new infection. The disease will stay alive and stable, but there won’t be an outbreak or an epidemic.
- If R0 is more than 1, each existing infection causes more than one new infection. The disease will be transmitted between people, and there may be an outbreak or epidemic.
Importantly, a disease’s R0 value only applies when everyone in a population is completely vulnerable to the disease. This means:
- no one has been vaccinated
- no one has had the disease before
- there’s no way to control the spread of the disease
(from https://www.healthline.com/health/r-nought-reproduction-number)
QuoteResearchers think that the R0 for COVID-19 is between 2 and 3. This means that one person can infect two to three other people. It also means 50% to 67% of the population would need to be resistant before herd immunity kicks in and the infection rates start to go down.
(from https://www.webmd.com/lung/what-is-herd-immunity#1)
In short, the effective contagiousness of a virus sinks when too many had the disease already, and the "disease will decline and eventually die out". It cannot reach 100%.-
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CONFIRMED: Thailand extends ban on inbound passenger flights until May 31
in Thailand News
Posted
Yes please.