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Everything posted by Cameroni
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I think there are mistakes in your calculations, Russia does not have one or two nuclear bombs, it has over 5000. More than enough to defeat Ukraine. Indeed India and China may put sanctions on Russia then, but if Russia were to use a nuclear bomb then only because it felt its territorial integrity and survival as a nation long term are endangered. In that scenario economic concerns would take a back seat, as they often do in Russia. Your notion that the US and NATO would hit Russia with conventional strikes is misguided, because that would potentially mean the US would put itself in a state of war with Russia, which as you can tell Biden is very careful to avoid. Americans know they can not afford to be at war with Russia, lest they risk a nuclear conflict.
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Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
Again, if Sweden and Finland seriously thought about it, they would have understood that Russia cannot possibly invade them. Nor Latvia, Estonia, Poland or Germany. Because Russia's economy is smaller than Texas. Already to occupy a small part of Ukraine is a struggle long term, imagine Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Germay etc.... It doesn't even make sense. -
Because Putin does have the upper hand. He is winning the war in the Donbas region very clearly. The Kursk incursion will be dealth with. And if it all were to go sideways Putin could always defeat Ukraine with a nuclear missile, knowing the US can not retaliate with a nuclear weapon against Russia. So Putin has nuclear insurance. He can not lose. No matter what happens. 10000 troops hiding in Kursk villages won't change that.
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Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
Before Sweden and Finland said they will join NATO Putin did not threaten them. Very foolish of Sweden and Finland btw, they could have had a nuclear free Baltic. Now the arms race is back on. Very bad news for Sweden and Finland. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
I'm talking about the plausibility of nations being concerned about their security. Finland and Sweden were. And so was Russia. -
Thailand unveils new visa rules, sparks mixed reactions
Cameroni replied to snoop1130's topic in Thailand News
That doesn't suprise me, all the evidence is that immigration officers almost never enforce this rule and plenty of people have lived in Thailand for long periods on visa waiver. It doesn't change the fact that the current Thai e-Visa website says the tourist visas are for a period of 6 months and th current UK website of the Thai government says the visa waivers are for a 6 month period (albeit that webste has out of date info it does refer to the 6 month period). If you want the law you'll have to find it yourself. I certainly hope you're right and this 6 month period is not law. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
Note how this is double standard. Nobody threatened Finland or Sweden. However, when these countries join NATO, in the absence of any threat from Russia whatsoever to these countries, everyone nods and signals understanding. However, when Russa is encircled by NATO member states, some of whom have nuclear weapons, but all have conventional US weapons and Russia then feels threatened, this is a big shock to everyone. Very odd this congnitive dissonance among some. -
The Hidden Dangers of Parasites in Stored Salmon
Cameroni replied to snoop1130's topic in Thailand News
Norwegian salmon does have toxins, but these are below levels that scientists find of concern. However, if you eat too much of Norwegian salmon you could have adverse health effects. "The contaminant levels in Norwegian farmed salmon have generally decreased between 1999 and 2011. Excluding other dietary sources, the levels of dioxins and dioxin-like PCBs in 2011 allowed consumption of up to 1.3 kg salmon per week to reach the tolerable weekly intake." https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016041201400302X -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
Not at all. As soon as Ukraine made clear in 2002 that it wants to join NATO the possibility of a nuclear powered, pro American Ukraine who is a NATO member started to be a problem for Russia. America has known this for decades. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
I never post lies, as you should know by now. I'm a bit hurt, Lacessit. "By late 1992, the Ukrainian parliament was vocalizing more pro-nuclear views. Some believed that Ukraine was entitled to at least temporary nuclear weapon status. Perhaps optimistically, the U.S. government promised Ukraine $175 million in dismantlement assistance. Instead, the Ukrainian government began implementing administrative management of the nuclear forces and claimed ownership of the warheads." https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/ukraine-nuclear-weapons-and-security-assurances-glance In 2014 "Pavlo Rizanenko, a member of the Ukrainian parliament, told USA Today that Ukraine may have to arm themselves with their own nuclear weapons if the United States and other world leaders do not hold up their end of the agreement. He said, "We gave up nuclear weapons because of this agreement. Now, there's a strong sentiment in Ukraine that we made a big mistake."He also said that, "In the future, no matter how the situation is resolved in Crimea, we need a much stronger Ukraine. If you have nuclear weapons, people don't invade you." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukraine_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction On April 15, 2021, Ukrainian Ambassador to Germany Melnyk said that if Ukraine is not allowed to join NATO, his country might have to reconsider its status as a non-nuclear weapon state to guarantee its defense https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukraine_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction As for nuclear sharing https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_sharing -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
Firstly Sweden and Finland have been official partners of NATO since 1994. So these two joining NATO changes nothing really. Secondly, they purely acted out of irrational fear. Any person who has had a cursory glance at the size of the Russian economy knows it is an impossibility for Russia to invade Sweden, Finland, Poland, Germany and all these other countries who seem to be so scared of Russia. Russia is hardly able to fight and occupy all of Ukraine, so any notion of an Imperial Russia comeback is just fantasy. Sweden's military weakness came into full view in 2013 when Russian bomber planes were able to simulate an attack on Stockholm and Sweden needed Nato help to ward them off. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61397478 So it was Sweden's own weakness that made it join NATO. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
America has been arming Ukraine with ever more lethal weapons. It is almost certain once the war is over Ukraine will participate in nuclear sharing after it becomes a NATO member. Ukrainians have demanded nuclear weapons for decades. Of course NATO can't grant Ukraine NATO membership now when it is at war with Russia, because that would mean going to war with Russia. But once the peace settlement is in place it will be a question of time only before Ukraine becomes a NATO member and participates in nuclear sharing. -
The Hidden Dangers of Parasites in Stored Salmon
Cameroni replied to snoop1130's topic in Thailand News
In Central they have both the cooked and raw variety of Salmon sushi. I always eat the raw variety and never had any issue. They must use some method to ensure this raw salmon is not spoiled, surely? -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
Again, you keep putting words in my mouth, I never said Poland's negotiations to obtain nuclear weapons were a cause of the Ukraine war. However, the possibility that Ukraine could become a member of NATO and request nuclear sharing most likely did play a role in considerations in Russia. How do you know there was no intention to extend nuclear sharing to some of the new NATO states, like is now being considered for Poland? How do you know what talks are held behind closed doors? What we know for a fact, several NATO member states do participate in nuclear sharing and have US nuclear weapons stationed in their territory. In 2008 NATO declared Ukraine will become a member of NATO. Ukrainian politicians have called for nuclear weapons of their own LONG BEFORE the Ukraine war. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
Of course they do. The US uses NATO to project Western influence. NATO was founded in the West to protect the West. To say the West projects its influence using NATO is no more "outrageous" than saying a Zebra has stripes. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
That's the view of people like this juvenile Annalena Baerbock, who really should be running a kindergarten not Germany's foreign ministry. However, Ms Baerbock will not be around forever. Political views change, just look at Willy Brandt. Who knows what the future will bring. If we could predict it we will all be lottery winners, right candide? -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
NATO and Western Influence amount to the same thing. NATO is western influence incarnate and western inluence is exercised through NATO. Listen, there is no "good" and "evil" here. Neither America or Russia are "good" or "evil". This Old Testament way to look at the stuation is way too simplistic. There are perspectives. The Russians have theirs, informed by their need for security, and the Americans have theirs informed by their national interests. These only become good or evil depending on which perspective you choose. You for example choose to believe NATO propaganda. So for your Russia is evil. But Russia is not "evil". It is merely trying pursue its national interests, just like America. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
I did not say in "every" NATO country, but American nuclear weapons ARE stationed in several NATO member states. Poland and the US are negotiating as we speak about Poland receiving US nuclear weapons. https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2024/04/22/polish-president-wants-nato-nukes-for-deterring-russia/ Obviously the possibility of a country like Ukraine, that has in the past seen many calling for its own nuclear weapons, then also using "nuclear sharing" to arm itself is very real. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
I heard that as well and the evidence of the corruption is very public. Yanukovych in particular was worth bililons, pocketing development funds. If the Ukraine ever becomes a member of the EU it will bankrupt and break up the EU for sure. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
Very childish. Of course Russia is now taking the military option, but only after decades of trying to negotiate with the West. This failed, as Russia was only given lies and false promises. Then it became clear that soon Russia may be faced with a pro-American Ukraine armed with nuclear weapons pointed at Russia and a member of NATO. So yes, if diplomacy is not possible, what other option did Russia have to ensure its security? As for your claim that Russia deliberately targeted civilians, please post a link to the Russian directive or order that directs the Russian military to target UKrainian civilians? Oh you can't? Okay. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
You are quite wrong, the Germans care very much about Nordstream. Only 2 days ago Gemany served Poand with an arrest warrant for a Ukrainian national. A suprising way not to care about it, to launch a full scale investigation and issue an arrest warrant in Poland, don't you think? https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cnvyz1472rpo Nordstream was already finished. Just the registration process was put on ice. Hungary et al still get gas from Russia. Following elections and the end of the Ukraine war it would be conceivable that Germany could revive the Nordstream project. The pipeline is aleady built. If the pipeline was not important, why did Ukraine go to all the trouble to build bombs, dive into the sea and destroy the pipes? -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
The Nazi jibe against Ukrainians always puzzled me. Because Russians really believed this. But you have to look at history, Ukrainians collaborated with Hitler, there were Ukrainian diviisions fighting for Hitler. So this notion of Ukrainians as fascists must have entered the Russian Psyche. However, it's not just history. the 1994–2014 period a radical right-wing party elected to the parliament as an independent organization within the proportional part of the voting: Svoboda in 2012. According to estimates, in 2008 Ukraine had a maximum of 2,000 organized skinheads. Then there's the radical right wing Ukrainian organization Patriot of Ukraine. There are three other extreme right wing organizations in Ukraine, Svoboda, National Corps and Right Sector. But by far the most dangerous goups are the right wing paramilitary groups such as the Azov Battalion. Some members are openly white supremacists. Just as in the Social-National Assembly of Ukraine. The list of Ukrainian Nazi organizations would include: Social-National Party of Ukraine (1991–2004) Ukrainian National Assembly (1990–present) Congress of Ukrainian Nationalists (1992–present) Svoboda (political party) (2004–present) Social-National Assembly (2008–2015) Ukrainian National Union (2009–present) Right Sector (2013–present) National Corps (2016–present) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Far-right_politics_in_Ukraine But I would agree that this Nazi contingent is used as a pretext by Russia to justify the invasion. I do not see Ukraine as a particularly "Nazi" country. So this pretext was not fully truhful, yes. I do not support Putin or Russia. I support the west. However, my support is qualified by the truth. And I can understand why Russia got to the point of invading Ukraine, and our own Western politicians were to blame for this. Telling the truth here is supporting the West because we should not suffer such incompetence again. The war in UKraine is not good for the West, and costing us billions. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
To equate Russia today with Nazi Germay today is childish and laughable. And of course Nordstream AG was only 51% ownd by Russia, the rest was owned by Germany, Netherlands and France. Nordstream went through German territory and was considerd "critical infrastructure". By destroying it the Ukrainians could have triggered Article 5 of NATO. Or article 4. The Germans themselves considered it, but as always, had to follow American directions. Much like Britain, France, Austrlia etc. Russia does not want to be lke this. Russia is a proud and powerful country, and will fight to remain autonomous. -
Zelensky to Putin: War is Coming Home
Cameroni replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Ukraine
My dear Nownow, Russia did not choose the military option. Russia chose to neogtiate with America. Sadly Americans spoke with forked tongue. They lied and deceived Russia regarding the true intentions of NATO. For decades Russia had drawn a line in the sand and made clear that NATO eastwards expansion was unacceptable due to security concerns. For decades the West ignored Russia and lied to her. Faced with the real possibility of nuclear armed Ukraine as a member of NATO on its very borders Russia had to face reality. It was either fight for security or be encircled by NATO who as policy puts US nuclear weapons in its member states. Russia did not choose this of course. Do you think Russia wants war and to see the cream of its youth perish yet again? Its resources squandered? Why would Russia do this, unless it had no other option?