
MangoKorat
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Posts posted by MangoKorat
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Apparently I'm not alone in thinking that the world is closer to war than ever:
https://www.bu.edu/articles/2022/how-close-are-we-to-world-war-iii/
Just in case anyone thinks I'm being selective, just do a google search. The list of sites on the subject is endless.
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9 minutes ago, steven100 said:
silly topic ...... OP , you've got more chance of being attacked by a ladyboy on beach rd than any war here.
In addition, you can call it whatever you like. I am asking a question and I believe we all have a right to do that here?
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4 minutes ago, steven100 said:silly topic ...... OP , you've got more chance of being attacked by a ladyboy on beach rd than any war here.
What is it with AN readers? Please read my post properly. I have never stated that anyone would be attacked in Thailand or that Thailand would ever be targeted by nuclear weapons as stated in another post.
There is an increasing chance of world conflict at the moment and my opinion is that if anything major does kick off, Thailand would have to align with China. In that case, how safe do exapts feel in Thailand? Would they be considered enemies and locked up? Could they be deported?
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5 minutes ago, ChipButty said:You need to find some new hobbies or get a woman
Ahh, always people around that simply seeks 'likes'.
I guess a lot of people believed Putin when he said he had no intention of invading Ukraine - the day before he invaded!
Yeah, just scaremongering, it will never happen, bla bla bla, then it happens.
I have several women by the way - I like to engage in Thai culture wherever possible.
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17 minutes ago, GammaGlobulin said:
Any, ANY, nuclear response from any country would inevitably cause nuclear winter.
Therefore, the question is:
How would you survive a nuclear winter in either Chiang Mai or in BKK.
You are missing the point. I'm fully aware of the effects of nuclear weapons.
What I'm asking is if members feel safe living in Thailand given the current tensions in the world and the way Thailand is likely to align.
To put it simply: I believe that in any major conflict, Thailand would be forced to align with China. Would Western expats then be considered as the enemy?
During WW2 thousands of Germans, Austrians and Italians living in the UK were locked up 'in the interests of National Security'. Some of them had lived in the country for many years.
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1 minute ago, Gecko123 said:
Biggest risk is climate change migration from neighboring countries, but because of geographic obstacles and Thailand's relative ability to secure its borders, risk is comparatively low. Thailand scores high when other armageddon scenarios are contemplated as well.
Yes, I didn't raise that one. Its entirely possible that climate change will cause conflicts in the future but I think the immediate threat potential is someone crossing the point of no return and escalating the current situation exponentially. My concern is Putin in particular - other countries have other voices than may temper any escalatory ambitions. Putin does exactly what he wants and people who oppose or criticise him, face the consequences - viz a viz Prigozhin.
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7 minutes ago, Tropicalevo said:The other side of the coin though is that if Thailand were to be attacked, none of them would come to help.
Not likely to happen, but whilst we are on conspiracy theories......
There are no conspiracy theories here - I am simply taking an overview of how things currently are and have thrown in a few comments which are clearly my opinion. Thailand may like to ride the horse it thinks is most likely to win - even change horses as it has in the past but given the rise of China, it may not be allowed to in any future major conflict.
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The subjects that are discussed on AN never fail to amaze me.
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2 minutes ago, Dolf said:
I'd say no. Not even close. Thailand is friends with China, USA, Russia. Probably the safest country to be in. Got the 3 big guys onside.
In a major conflict, Thailand may have to pick one horse. As I said, China is not the same 'helpless' country it was in WW2.
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3 minutes ago, Korat Kiwi said:
As long as I've got my 2 minute noodles I'm happy. 😊
Ha Ha, I don't think Thailand is under any threat as a nuclear target - more what would your position as a foreigner, possibly from an 'enemy' country be if anything major kicked off?
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On 2/24/2024 at 5:18 AM, Crossy said:
Any country following US or, more likely UN, sanctions do so on an individual and purely voluntary basis.
Yes Crossy but they also risk the punishment those sanctions entail if they choose not to.
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Just now, QuantumQuandry said:Good thing you don't want to be a scaremonger...
Look around the world - I'm simply commenting on how things are.
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I don't want to be a scraremonger but I think its fair to say that the world is far closer to all out war than its been since the Cuban Misile Crisis of 1962. There's conflict in the Middle East, Syria, several in Africa and many people (including myself) don't think Putin's appetite will end with Ukraine. Then there's the tension between the US and China - in particular in relation to Taiwan. There is also a general tension between Islamist factions, if not entire nations and the West in general.
I'm not a fan of nuclear weapons but I think its fair to say that the deterrent they have provided has almost certainly stopped major conflicts developing until now. I'd like to think that deterrent still exists but we have several lunatic country leaders around the world at the moment. Russia currently holds the world's largest stockpile of nucear warheads (6257) and is controlled by a madman with, in my opinion, designs on rebuilding the Soviet Union. There is also a distinct possibility that another, very unpredictable lunatic will take charge of the holder of the world's second biggest nuclear stockpile (5550), the USA later this year.
I believe Putin has major aspirations and has spent a lot of time trying to align himself with various nations including Iran, North Korea and China. I'm not so sure however, that China would support Russia in any expansionist escapades he may embark upon. One thing I think is a distinct possibility is that if Putin takes Ukraine and then moves on to attack another country, in particular a NATO member, that would most likely be the spark that ignites a major world conflict.
Thailand likes to ride 'two horses' but if any major conflict kicks off, its geographical position will almost certainly dictate its allegiance - China is not the same 'helpless' country it was during WW2.
So, given that so many members here currently live in Thailand and have made major financial and marital committments in the country, how safe do you feel in Thailand at the moment?
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20 hours ago, kinyara said:
Don't know what all the fuss is about, Russian tourist numbers were only marginally higher last month than they were in January 2023. They normally fall by half in April and half again in May, it's high season so what.
I have a Thai friend that lives and works in Phuket - she tells me that there are far more Russians there now than there have ever been. I also have an English friend that works in real estate in Phuket, he tells me condo sales and rentals to Russians have increased massively over the last 2 years.
The numbers of Russian tourists may be roughly the same but those figures are simply arrivals. They don't show how many have stayed.
Not sure if any figures are available that give the numbers of foreigners that are living in Phuket and their nationalities but they would tell the correct story.
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On 2/21/2024 at 4:31 PM, MangoKorat said:
Navalny's wife or the families of all the other members of the opposition in Thailand that are currently serving time in Russian
Just point out my obvious mistake - pretty sure most people will have realised that I meant to say 'opposition in Russia' 😁.
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13 hours ago, ryandb said:He had 3% support prior to his imprisonment so no Putins closest threat was the communist party so na you are wrong
When someone makes a comment like that, I'm not even going to begin disproving what you say - why? because I've debated with people like you before. Provide them with facts, they claim the source of the facts is lying. You want to be right so bad, you'll believe anything that appears to be in your favour and absolutely deny anything that's not.
However, I'll give you a clue as to why just one of the things you've stated is incorrect - that latest one regarding the amount of support Navalny really had. Carry out some research from trusted and verified sources not from Putin's propaganda machine and learn exactly how much fear Putin spreads in Russia. FEAR is precisely why the actual amount of support Navalny had is unknown. Fear is why Russian people don't want to even appear to listen to the truth about Putin's Russia.
Do a little checking into Putin's wealth, the wealth of a former KGB Officer working for communist country.
A little background to assist your research:
Putin has been preparing for the present situation since 1999. He's systematically dismantled the Russian free media and installed his own in such a way that the Russian people are only fed a diet of 'The West is out to get us, they're anti Russian etc. etc. Everytime something bad happenes in Russia, say a downturn in the economy, Putin blamed it on the West. His lies about Ukraine being run by Nazis are total rubbish, designed to keep the Russian people on side when he began his 'special military operation'. Now, I doubt that all Russian people are stupid and the internet provides other sources of news and facts but even social media is regulated in Russia. However, just as it is in other countries, people believe what they see on TV - Putin's TV!
Putin wants the USSR back - he's a meglamaniac as well as a corrupt thug. As I said, he's spent 25 years preparing the Russian people for what's to come, making his rubbish plausible to the Russian people and manufacturing news. Along the way he's encountered some opposition which he's largely disposed of. People have disappeared, been jailed on spurious charges etc. etc. but his greatest nemesis was Alexi Navalany, a Russian lawyer. In reality Navalny had far more support than you give him credit for and Putin feared his popularity was a serious threat to his 'throne'. So the thug set about discrediting Navalny, jailed him on trumped up charges, one failed murder attempt and now a successful one. Along the way Navalny's supporters have been threatened and also locked up - just as is happening now to anyone who shows sympathy publicly. A policy of fear - consistent with the ways of a gangster like Putin.
Don't trust what I tell you, do your own reseach but do yourself a favour, conduct your research based on the testimonies of Russians who are outside Russia - decent people that refuse to live in Putin's 'democracy'. Very few people inside Russia would dare to speak against Putin - purely out of fear. Check out trusted, independent news sources.
Research the 'mysterious' deaths of exiled Russian dissidents, there have been many - people who I am absolutely certain, were murdered on Putin's orders. Read the evidence against Russian agents who are accused of trying to poison Sergei Skpypal in Salisbury, UK. A clue - if they had nothing to do with the poisoning, why were they traveling on false passports? Look at the timings of their entry and exit from the UK.
As I say, I refuse to disprove your claims because there's zero chance of you listening - by far the best chance of you changing your views is to read some factual evidence yourself. You seem caught up in Putin's web of lies but let me remind you - exactly 2 years ago, Putin gave absolute assurances that he had no intention of invading Ukraine.
You might also, along the way, come across Putin's speaches where, forgetting himself briefly, he actually admits what his real intentions in Ukraine are.
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23 minutes ago, Sheryl said:
Glad it is not only me.
Am I right to think the line above the voltage line (the one that runs 0 - 50) is amps?
No, I believe the amps is the one where the initial part of the scale has the wording 'Leak'.
I think the 10
50
250
Corresponds to volts - depending on where you have the ACV switch set and the red AC10V on the same scale = just that - if you have the switch set to 10.
This should help, sorry no time to read it.
https://overseas.sanwa-meter.co.jp/pdf/manual/analog_multitester/YX360TRF_EN.pdf
Its clearly the same meter but odd how the name is spelled differently.
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Lots of places open very late far up and around Soi 11. Seems to be the 'in place' these days.
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Some, if not most of these immigration issues are because of the huge amount of Thai's working illegally in South Korea.
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21 minutes ago, Sheryl said:
Interesting. Could this be due to something wrong in the light fixture due somehow to how the new light bulb was installed? (As problem only started then). Or does it have to be from a problem in the water heater itself? (Which seems to work fine). I ask because have to decide whether to invest in having Stiebel send out technician from Bangkok (very costly as 6 hour r/t drive -- I'll certainly do it if indicated but hate to waste my money and their time if the issue is in the light fixture. ).
It could be so many things Sheryl to be honest. A decent electrician should find it easily. I found a 'real' electrician by quietly asking if anyone did 'moonlights' at my local PEA office.
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I'm no electrician - hopefully Crossy will be along soon and give you some advice.
However, Thai' electricians', I use the term lightly, wire houses up very differently to what is generally accepted in other parts of the world. There is rarely any separate lighting, sockets and high ampage circuits.
I suspect that your problem is something to do with the water heater and its shorting the live across to the neutral. You might think the lights are on a separate circuit but I doubt the neutrals are separate - hence a neutral fault can give problems in other areas. In my house the lights take their positive from the socket supply in the same room and they all both share the neutrals.
Such a fault should flip the trips in your consumer unit - provided of course, that trip has been wired correctly in the first place. Connecting the outgoing live to the incoming live renders the trip completely useless yet that was how a house I rented was wired!
I've also found that some Thai fittings and switches 'leak' electricity - I've had readings of 2 to 12v on the plastic parts of a light switch - cured by replacing the switch. I've changed all my sockets to UK ones now but I previously also had a Thai double socket reading around 50v on the plastic!
Anyway, electric is a strange beast and I'm just speculating. Hopefully someone with real electrical experience will be able to point you in the right direction
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Sorry, on a second look - use the scale (red) that says AC10V but set the meter to 250.
I have to say that's probably the most confusingly scaled meter I've seen.
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To check the voltage, yes you are using the correct scale DCV250 & ACV250. That scale will read AC voltage up to 250v. Read the voltage registered on that scale. In a Thai domestic situation you should be getting 220 to 230v. However, there are often large variations in Thailand - mostly on the low side. The voltage can drop quite a lot before you'd actually notice in on the lights.
The 10V scale is for checking lower voltages more acurrately - its hard to see low voltages on the larger black scale.
The black dial is for you to zero the needle - through different types of usage, the needle might not stast where it should. Turn the dial whichever way - to locate the pointer to zero before taking a reading.
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Just to add, very few (Russian) people that have criticised or stood up to Putin are still alive.
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How Safe Are You - Living in Thailand?
in ASEAN NOW Community Pub
Posted
Ha Ha Ha........way, way off the mark.