Jump to content

jbaldwin

Advanced Member
  • Posts

    648
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by jbaldwin

  1. I am 42 from the UK and retired to Thailand 5 years ago. My investments spread is as follows:

    UK Equities - 25%

    Thai Equities - 10%

    Other Equities - 18%

    GBP Cash - 10%

    THB Cash - 13%

    With profits insurance policies - 9%

    Index Linked Gilts (the UK equivelent to TIPs) - 6%

    Bonds - 5% (mainly UK corporate)

    Property Funds - 3% (mainly Thai)

    Cheers for the post. I'm also considering early retirement at some point, tho' not just yet :o so have been developing my theories about the best way to finance it. The overall concept would be something similar to yours, but probably different splits, i.e enough THB cash and THB equity exposures, plus international and product diversification.

    BTW Not sure how your with profits stuff is doing, but I've been getting rid of what I had, as returns have been poor in the last few years, some now paying only around 3.5% guaranteed. For pension funds I actually cashed most of my with profits schemes in last year, and transferred into equity funds in a SIPP. Some I couldn't tho' as they were "protected rights". I figured given the time to retirement (soon to be 55 for a personal pension fund), I'd take the cuts/MVAs and make it up with the increased returns. For me the initial cuts I took were all made up by year-end. I guess yours are insurance policies tho' so slightly different.

    Hadn't really looked at Thai property funds. Who do you use?

    I own TFUND, FUTUREPF, SIRIPF and SPF. They are listed on the SET so you need to have a Thai stockbroker to deal. They have dividend yields in the range of 7.25% to 9.9% (although FUTUREPF and SPT own leasehold not freehold property so the yields effectively include a return of capital as well as income). In my view these funds provide an excellent risk/reward balance.

  2. Most people seem to think gold and oil is going up - but what stocks to buy to profit on that trend?

    My view is that major oil companies are fairly valued if you assume average oil prices over the next few years will be $50-60. I think that oil prices will fall but will remain above the $50-60 level so oil companies are good value.

    However, I think commodity price could fall sharply and given major cost pressure and believe shares in mining companies are too expensive (I have had this view for 2 years and have as far been wrong)

  3. I have also been told that it is a fairly common arrangment that if a short term loan is made to someone who is paid a salary by trasfer into their bank then the lender will hold the bank book and ATM card and make a withdrawal on pay-day themself.

  4. Given that Bunrungrad Hospital closed on Friday at 40.5. I am not sure why you are thinking about buying if your valuation is 31.

    13 Thai Stockbrokers cover BH. The target values are in the range of 30-59.88 with a median of 47. Hence, your valuation conservative compared with analysts view.

    However, Kim Eng and Far East Securities both issued revised profit forecasts on 18 December and both forcast that 2008 profits will be sharply lower than 2007 (Kim Eng 2008 - 1,315m v 2007 - 1,907m and FES 2008 - 1,320m v 2007 1,952m). I have not seen the reports so cannot say if there are one off iems to explain the forecast fall. However your comment that earning aregrowing at 40% should more acculated by that earning had been growing by 40%.

    I have never looked at this company in any detail. However, my initial view would be that it is a well run, strongly growing business with a share price which seems to more or less properly reflect the growth prospects. I would think you can find better value elsewhere.

  5. So. Vietnam

    Vungtau has a good mix of night life and beach, although the beach is not that great, but a little better on the back beach. Probably the closest you will find to Pattaya, and 1:20min by boat from HCMC.

    Better beaches are Phan Tiet/Mui Ne & Nha Trang, but not a great night life.

    Mid. Vietnam

    Understand there are some good ones outside Danang, but never really explored them.

    No. Vietnam

    Ha Long Bay is great, also a world heritage sight.

    Doson beach just outside of Haiphong is very cheap, particularly if you are looking for company.

    Islands

    Phu Quoc & Con Dao. Phu Quoc is the more developed of the two, but both are very nice.

    Please could you provide some more details about DoSon beach including accomadation recommendation.

    I am planning a trip to Hanoi in January. I have a copy of loney planet's Vietnam, Cambodia & Laos and DoSon is not even mentioned

  6. You will not be able to open a checking account.

    Try Siam Commerical Bank on Jomtien Beach Road (The branch near to the Jomtien Grand Palace Hotel)

    Very helpful to falang customers. When I opened an account in March this year, they only looked at the photo page of my passport and did not check my Visa status

  7. In am interested in where investors think that the market will open tomorrow.

    DTAC, which is listed in both Bangkok and Singapore, is currently 7.6% lower in Singapore trading - is this a one-off or well we see big falls on the market tomorrow.

    On the other hand Aberdeen New Thai, an investment trust listed in London is quoted up 0.6% after the first half hour of trading in the UK.

  8. Given the electoral system an outright win by either PPP or Democrats is highly unlikely. This means the there is a high chance that the shape of the next government might not be known for some time after the election day. This uncertainty could lead to weak markets for a period of time.

    However, my view is the election results rarely have much long term impact on market. I beleive that global stock markets are fairly cheap at present and that the Thai market is cheap relative to global markets. I would expect the SET to be 1000-1050 at the end of next year whoever win the election (20%-25% higher than now)

  9. I had heard that there have been some concerns about the management of this Condo. However, I am not sure whether any concerns are valid.

    I suggest that you ask the management office to supply accounts and minutes of recent Executive Committee meetings

    • Like 1
×
×
  • Create New...