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robsamui

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Posts posted by robsamui

  1. On 9/22/2021 at 9:59 AM, rbkk said:

    The wife got me a Dhipaya Insurance Covid-19 policy, top one, 800 baht. Seems I might be better off catching Covid-19 and claiming costs (Up to 100,000 baht) than not having Covid-19 and getting stitched with a Quarantine 'Hospitel' bill. The small print of the policy is all in Thai so not too sure where I stand re:'Hospitels.' 

    HA! I used to have that same policy. After the first year they have suddenly stopped issuing it, and changed it drastically. Now it costs over 2,000B to get the same cover. The equivalent to the one you have now costs 1,194B and the payouts have dropped right down to 50,000B for in-patient treatment.

    Looks like the underwriters didn't have the ability to imagine the results of a pandemic. You better start shopping around for a new policy!

     

    • Like 1
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  2. Posted 13 minutes ago  7 hours ago, KannikaP said:

    Do not generalise please. Walked into mine last week to do 90 day report...I was the only person there, in/out in less than 5 minutes.

    22 minutes ago, KannikaP said:

    How this statement can confuse 5 members confuses me!   lol

    Erm . . . . because the comment you are 'replying' to is about seeing huge piles of passports in immigration offices from agents, and the bribery going on. You have stated three things in your reply, none of which are even remotely connected with 'bribery and corruption':-

    1. You went to do a 90-day report (not to get an under-the-table visa extension)

    2. You were the only person there (totally irrelevant)

    3. You were in and out in less than five minutes  (utterly and totally irrelevant)

    ????

    Has that helped to ease your total bewilderment at all?

    • Like 1
  3. I wish people would get to realise that 1,500 people is all it rakes in a poll. It is the optimum number and provides an error margin of 2.5%. Mathematically it's known as the 'confidence interval'.

    The only fly in the ointment, Thaiwise, is that the survey needs to represent a random selection of the population. This is generally done by random computer selected phone calls but, in this country, undoubtedly it'll be done by a junior government geek with a clip board in the nearest and easiest shopping mall.
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The margin of error in a sample = 1 divided by the square root of the number of people in the sample

    How did someone come up with that formula? Like most formulas in statistics, this one can trace its roots back to pathetic gamblers who were so desperate to hit the jackpot that they'd even stoop to mathematics for an "edge." If you really want to know the gory details, the formula is derived from the standard deviation of the proportion of times that a researcher gets a sample "right," given a whole bunch of samples.

    Which is mathematical jargon for..."Trust me. It works, okay?"

    So a sample of just 1,600 people gives you a margin of error of 2.5 percent, which is pretty darn good for a poll.

    ------------------   https://www.robertniles.com/stats/margin.shtml   ---------------------------------------

    Also . . . . --------    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/howcan-a-poll-of-only-100/

  4. 23 minutes ago, pepi2005 said:

    News like this makes you wonder whether Thai health authorities follow international findings AT ALL?! ????

    • Lockdowns don't help, they just damage the economy. On top of that, they often increase infections within families. In the current phase of the plandemic, avoiding huge crowds in very air-restricted spaces is the advice given by most epidemiologists.
    • Masks in the hands of the common man create more problems than solutions, particularly in poorer countries where few can afford 2-3 fresh new FFP3 masks daily. They touch their masks, use them for a long time etc. - just stick with advice #1 - avoid large crowds air-locked spaces
    • Vaccines don't solve anything! The only remaining hope is that they reduce symptoms, but newest data from Israel, Island, Ontario etc. put even that in question! (
      ) Just the opposite, the vaccines seem to require the virus to constantly create new variants against which the vaccines become less useful.
    • On top of that, new data also confirms former so-called 'conspiracy theories' that the virus seems to trigger the development of ADE (Antibody Dependent Enhancement) against which vaccinated people are considerably more vulnerable than non-vaccinated ones ( https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-french-study-published-in-journal-of-infections-claims-that-ade-or-antibody-dependent-enhancement-is-occurring-in-delta-variant-infections , https://www.journalofinfection.com/article/S0163-4453(21)00392-3/fulltext)
    • as a result, only risk groups should receive the vaccine. It is in public health interest to NOT give these vaccines to healthy people below 65 years of age who don't have any health issues (let alone children)

    The most rational way would be to define an 'exit scenario' for the country, after which a controlled viral spread is 'allowed', and risk groups are invited (not pushed) to protect themselves with the vaccines. Also, work on alternative vaccination techniques (maybe Novavax etc.) is recommended, just as more research into cheap alternative early treatments like with Ivermectin, herbs to push immune responses etc. etc.  THE VIRUS WILL NO GO AWAY, particularly not with these vaccines, and they may well turn out more dangerous for the test patients than helpful in the long run once more variants pop up.

    Oh dear - haven't you realised yet? The Thai's are soooooo proud and nationalistic that they deliberately ignore anything international. In Thailand, everything has to be Thai. Offered free vaccine by the WHO, they turned it down because they refused to accept help from foreigners and decided to make their own Thai-made vaccine. For a Thai Royalist to accept foreign help is an unbearable loss of face (and all the government decision-makers are staunch Royalists).

    (All of which, naturally, caused Thailand to now be in deep-doodoo, thus they have had to suffer the unbearable agony of Face Loss by finally accepting some foreign aid . . . )

    • Like 2
  5. 7 hours ago, Henryford said:

    The UK (with the same population as Thailand) has had 87 million vaccinations but still has 30,000 cases a day. So anyone hoping for a zero Covid situation (looking at you Australia and NZ) is going to be seriously disappointed.

    Well, the less you test, the fewer infections there are to report. Tests in the UK are free. I wonder what's the REAL number of cases in Thailand?

    THAIJABS23A.jpg

    info extracted directly from https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations

  6. 16 minutes ago, Pattaya Spotter said:

    The topic is the future of the "sandbox," i. e., tourists not locals.

    You cannot look at it in isolation, like you're trying to do. This is Thai-thinking and the reason it's all gone wrong. The "future of the sandbox" is connected to a dozen factors - most, if not all of them, originating from outside Phuket . . . and that includes the hundreds of local Thais that have been heading for Phuket for various reasons.

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1
  7. 2 hours ago, ronster said:

    Utter fantasy !
    My Thai wife went to government hospital in samui yesterday to ask about vaccine and was told they don’t have any , no idea when they will have more and that she can’t register to get it when available ! 
    Utter shambles all over the country !

    I live on Samui and am still waiting for a shot - Monday I get a phone call  - "vaccine arrived today (A.Z.), go to the hospital now." I get there at 2:00 pm " . . . sorry, AZ all gone, you can have Sinovac if you want . . . 


    If anyone were to make a bullet-pointed chronological list of "official" statements that simple never happened, then nobody would ever believe it . . . and it would start with this one from the PM . . . 

    _s0443a.jpg

    • Like 1
  8.   22 hours ago, nightfox said:

    Maybe they are waiting for the numbers to hit 20,000+ cases a day

    They won't be waiting long then I fear.

     

    It was only last week - with the daily infections at 5,000+, that a wise old expert Thai expert doctor expert predicted that unless the Gov got cracking then "we could expect to see 10,000 a day by the end of the year".

    Where DO they get these people from? Do they breed them specially?

    • Haha 1
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