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nauseus

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Posts posted by nauseus

  1. 27 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

    Yes and no. I've never had a problem elsewhere in Latin America day or night but I think as a generalization it's fair to say for street crime Thailand comes out ahead compared to Latin America. Probably way ahead. But there are always pros and cons to any choice and many of us are going to more or less forced out of Thailand. So Latin America is there. Attractions and pitfalls in all.

    Sent from my Lenovo A7020a48 using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app
     

    You must be kidding, most of the South American cities have far more hold-ups. Caracas, Rio very high chance of trouble. A Colombian gang even came all the way here for burglaries in the hi-so housing estates. 

  2. 22 hours ago, mtls2005 said:

    Sounds reasonable, and seems like what they mentioned early on for the transition period of 2019? One assumes that monthly foreign transfers, exceeding the minimus, beginning in January 2019 and continuing through to the date of application, be it June, July. August, September, October, November or December will suffice? (No clue what happens for those applying Feb-May though, will 2 ~ 5 months be sufficient?

     

    Now how many IO's understand the legal term "mutatis mutandis" remains to be seen.

    Thought it was some kind of flying dinosauris dinosaurum.

    • Haha 1
  3. 5 minutes ago, melvinmelvin said:

     

    I miss the destroyer mishap in Hormuz, maybe about 5 years ago, same kind of destroyer as Fitz,

    no fatalaties.

     

    My "favourite" mishap was in the 70s, a US Coast Guard training vessel

    early evening on its way up the river from the Bay, almost cut in two by a container vessel

    coming down the river from the Washington DC area,

    sank within minutes - several fatalities

    Gigantic misunderstandings developed in an unsound sociological structure- typical Normal Accidents

    kind of mishap

     

    Training? Wonder who was driving? Some careers cut short. RIP. 

  4. 14 minutes ago, melvinmelvin said:

    well, not acceptable, by all means - but some of these accidents are not easily avoidable

     

    I refer you to the American sociologist Perrow and his Normal Accidents theory,

    widely accepted as "good stuff" today, all over the world. 

     

    In his Normal Accidents book, he explains a series of events/accidents as close to unavoidable, (bound to happen)

    includes marine/US Coast Guard accidents, Three Mile Island accidents, the Korean 747 shot down over Sakhalin,

    the US Space Shuttle that was blown into fragments minutes after takeoff - just to name a few.

     

    if I should try at giving a hint of the gist of the Normal Accidents theory;

    it is not mundane factors like a dense fog, forgot steaming lights, AIS screwed, lack of sleep/tiredness that

    cause the accidents,

    the accidents come as almost necessary consequences of the whole sociological structure

    within which the actors live and operate.

     

    anyway,

    from all the reports from the USN that I have read since the off Japan and off Singapore crashes it seems

    that the USN has understood that the Normal Accidents thinking is indeed relevant to these crashes

    (they have other crashes too, in similar categories)

    some of it they already address in adequate (we hope) manners, some will take years and years and more crashes.

     

     

    I read the basic theory, which is OK so far as it goes. But the USN is having a very bad run recently and especially with the Fitzgerald with two collisions in as many yearsI don't think the Admirals will regard this accident frequency as "normal" or acceptable. But these days...who knows? 

     

    The recent USN serious marine accident list is below and it seems only one or two of these occurred when the US was officially at war. If there is no need for close approach then it is not worth the risk but I have seen USN ships do exactly this. During peacetime, risk can generally be reduced for a patrolling warship by just keeping clear of all traffic - they can still easily monitor whatever it is they are interested in and still be in range for their weapons - if there is a war on then that obviously all changes. The supply and support ships listed better fit Perrow's theory; they have to make close approaches as a regular part of their replenishment at sea duties. 

     

    Link: https://www.statista.com/chart/10782/us-naval-collisions-are-becoming-more-frequent/

     

     

    Infographic: U.S. Naval Collisions Are Becoming More Frequent  | Statista

  5. On 6/17/2017 at 8:31 AM, quadperfect said:

    Ais ,radar ,watch  command .

    As a american i am truly embarrassed.

    This should never happen ever. Remember the uss cole incident.

     

    I'm glad you volunteered that, far too many collisions involving US warships.

     

    But the Cole was actually damaged in a terrorist attack. - quite different. 

     

    I know from experience that they don't like to give way (even if they don't have right of way) but what's the point of risking collision if they are not actually fighting? These ships are so well equipped that the only acceptable excuses for a collision are mechanical or technical failure, or a deliberate ramming in combat. 

  6. On 10/25/2016 at 3:55 PM, nauseus said:

     

    On 10/25/2016 at 8:28 PM, mercman24 said:

    i think 33 to the pound is a bit irrelavent (post 16) as 30 years ago THAILAND was as cheap as chips, doesn't compare with todays THAILAND

     

    Think what you like but this shows the history (and future) and the erratic nature of exchange rates.

     

    If Thailand was so "cheap" why was it not 333 Baht / Pound then??

  7. 5 minutes ago, joecoolfrog said:

    I rarely see such a well thought out , articulate and informative post, congratulations !

     

    40 minutes ago, Henryford said:

     

     

    What's Article 40, is that the one where we stay in the EUSSR. Sharia May is a Remoaner.

     

    It's Article 50 and I don't think that Theresa May is a remainer at heart! 

  8. I know that many people from the UK decided to retire here when the pound was strong against the baht.

     

    But look back at the long-term exchange rates before complaining! Try 33 baht to the pound (mid 80's)!

     

    The Brexit vote has had about a (-20%) effect on the value of the pound, so far. It may dip another 20% before the exit terms are clear.

     

    But much further down the road I expect the pound to be strong again versus the USD & THB. Not sure if there will be a Euro by that time.

     

    But you will need to hang on and wait for it!

  9. I think you are risking damaging the chances of your wife getting UK status if you do not oblige and show some real commitment.

    If you don't go back yourself then copy your p/p for yourself then courier it home (described as document) and have it returned the same way.

    Or get fiends to hand carry if any available. If it gets lost? Well sh1t does happen! Get a new one.

    • Like 2
  10. I really don't see how pirates can board a tanker without their own vessel being in the vicinity, and on radar. If that's the case, and guys from dingys can mount and board an oil tanker, something is largely amiss. If the other ship/tanker was unidentified, thenwhat is an unmarked vessel doing at sea, which none of the tanker crew could identify?

    If find these incidences bizarre, to say the least! blink.png

    The report does not give much detail. Raids like this are disturbingly easy to carry out if the target is not prepared. It may well have been at night, dawn or dusk. The mother vessel would usually stand off at a distance while the pirates use small boats to take the tanker. Then the crew cannot see anything until it is too late.

    • Like 2
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