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Posted

since , so many posts here are related to forex , i thought why not start a prediction thread ,

" What will be the exchange Rates for the following currency pairs at the end of the year"

1. USD/THB

2. EUR/USD

3. GBP/USD

4. USD/JPY

i will start with my predictions:

1. USD/THB = ~ 33

2. EUR/USD = >1.35

3. GBP/USD = > 2

4. USD/JPY = < 114

Posted
1. USD/THB = pegged to US Dollar

While on currency predictions several months hence, I usually figure anyone's guess is as good as mine, but I would rethink the USD/THB prediction. The reason for the THB devaluation in 1997 was its peg to the USD, and Thailand won't make that mistake again. Countries with a lot of reserves can get away with it, but countries like Thailand no longer can.

Posted
1. USD/THB = pegged to US Dollar

While on currency predictions several months hence, I usually figure anyone's guess is as good as mine, but I would rethink the USD/THB prediction. The reason for the THB devaluation in 1997 was its peg to the USD, and Thailand won't make that mistake again. Countries with a lot of reserves can get away with it, but countries like Thailand no longer can.

I admit it is a wild prediction. But I suspect that sometime during 2007/2008 the Japanese and U.S. governments will seek to agree on a Dollar/Yen level perhaps 125. The bank of Japan would have to reform and seek to avoid deflation and maintain Dollar/Yen parity.

That is why I see Thailand returning to a dollar peg.

  • 2 months later...
Posted

The British pound has hit 2.0115 against the US$ and now that several more Bank Of England interest rate rises are certain, probably peaking at 7% then GBP 240 to the dollar is almost certain.

  • 6 months later...
Posted

The USD has reached 26 year lows against the GBP...nearly 2.07

From here on until the end of the year it will plummet to 2.40 as I predicted in January.

britmaveric I hope that you are not heavy in US$ with a prediction of 1.70 !!??

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