3 hours ago, RichardColeman said:

I agree - before it was like 3 even weeks of 200-300 infections , now it's an even week of 800-900.

 

It's all way too even - there obviously to me seems to be an agreed number of declared results or tests done and then stop reporting or testing.

 

 

 

 

I'm of the opinion that they have a limit on daily testing of around 10,000 ("active case finding" in Samut Sakhon), and that with a consistent positivity rate of ~ 9 % end up with what looks like unusually consistent figures. If anything, it seems like the figure should be rising.

 

But who knows without more details. Could be above board, could be hinky.

 

I would like to see some random, pooled testing in other locales.

 

 

2 hours ago, FarFlungFalang said:

Why would you expect the numbers to come as they keep mass testing?What I find strange is the flatline nature of reported numbers they are neither going up or down which is what I would expect to happen, not 2 consecutive days of the same number twice in the space of a few weeks!

 

Maybe they're using the same excel expertise as the British were - it gets to a certain number and wraps - or once it hits the limit it stops adding one. ????

11 minutes ago, mtls2005 said:

 

 

I'm of the opinion that they have a limit on daily testing of around 10,000 ("active case finding" in Samut Sakhon), and that with a consistent positivity rate of ~ 9 % end up with what looks like unusually consistent figures. If anything, it seems like the figure should be rising.

 

But who knows without more details. Could be above board, could be hinky.

 

I would like to see some random, pooled testing in other locales.

 

 

Where do you get  "a consistent positivity rate of ~ 9 %" from?Just trying to find out the numbers of testing being conducted.On Monday last week they reported 5574 tests with 800 plus positives which gave a positivity rate of 16% but haven't been able to find any numbers of testing since then.

Edited February 2, 20215 yr by FarFlungFalang

I wish Samut Sakhon WAS locked down....It is NOT & people are being allowed  to travel to Bangkok every day which is plain STUPID

6 minutes ago, FarFlungFalang said:

Where do you get  "a consistent positivity rate of ~ 9 %" from?Just trying to find out the numbers of testing being conducted.

 

Based on the daily CCSA briefing, where they have mentioned the 10,000 figure a few times.

8 minutes ago, mtls2005 said:

 

Based on the daily CCSA briefing, where they have mentioned the 10,000 figure a few times.

I've seen that 10,000 per day was mentioned as their goal but still haven't seen any numbers of actual tests published.

4 hours ago, Sheryl said:

Vast majority of the positive cases are in Myanmar workers.  

So they say 

4 hours ago, darksidedog said:

I suspect that the Myanmar workers have been packed in wherever they are, unable to distance themselves from others, so slowly but surely they are giving it to each other, which if correct means it won't slow down until everyone of them has got it.

yep, wouldn't surprise me if it started with 2 or 3 cases, then they were all packed together with 10,000+ other migrants

1 hour ago, Sheryl said:

 

Those who test positive and those known to have been in contact with a positive case are confined to quarantine centers (from which there are people discharged each day). Others are not.

Do you know if they are only incarcerating migrant workers who are close contacts or are Thai close contacts also incarcerated?

"I got some virus over here. How about you?"

"I'm practicing to be the first Thai astronaut."

There's a Burmese family living down the road from us haven't seen them or a while they are possibly and wisely keeping a very low profile!

 

 

1 minute ago, poohy said:

There's a Burmese family living down the road from us haven't seen them or a while they are possibly and wisely keeping a very low profile!

 

 

they've probably been locked in a big room with the infected

5 hours ago, Laughing Gravy said:

I get the feeling that once the authorities get to near 850 positive cases and they pull the plug on testing or reporting. The last few days are very conspicuous with around the same numbers.

 

Who do they think they are fooling!

Probably the limit of their daily testing.

5 hours ago, darksidedog said:

I suspect that the Myanmar workers have been packed in wherever they are, unable to distance themselves from others, so slowly but surely they are giving it to each other, which if correct means it won't slow down until everyone of them has got it.

When they decided to make some factories quarantine areas I saw the writing on the wall.

Lock-em in and keep the profits up.... sod the workers.

4 hours ago, jacko45k said:

and  are these many all illegals, who bypassed quarantine?

These are mostly migrants trapped in a locked down city and still working to keep the factories operating, infection will keep spreading among those who have not yet been detected and moved to quarantine.

The vast majority are NOT illegals.

 

Does Samut Sakhon have an impregnable, invisible magic ring around it that covid finds extremely difficult to breach? Individuals are infecting other groups but amazingly it seems that almost none have traveled elsewhere for the cycle to repeat itself. Mushrooms springs to mind.

Easy simply maths. Add 5% on even dates, minus 5% on odd dates.

????❤????????

3 hours ago, natway09 said:

I wish Samut Sakhon WAS locked down....It is NOT & people are being allowed  to travel to Bangkok every day which is plain STUPID

I live in SS. Passport renewal due. Beam me up Scotty.

 

We're now seeing the exponential growth from encouraging new year travel. Govt intends to kill us over CNY & Songkran. Thanks, Too.

Will someone please tell somebody in the Thai government that the tests are inaccurate. This is getting more insane by the day.

 

p.s.  https://youtu.be/Tz3EWP_y9jk

 

 

10 hours ago, ThailandRyan said:

You have to wonder at the plan of not mass testing elsewhere in the country.  I do understand they feel that the cases are strictly pinned down in Samut Sakhon, but then that makes no sense if that province is on a lockdown, how are people still visiting high risk Area's if the whole of Samut Sakhon is a high risk location to begin with.

 

It's a puzzler.  Pinned down in the area where everyone and their dog goes to buy their seafood?

One thing that strikes me odd in these news is that they sure give a lot of information about the deceased, such as gender, location, whereabouts before and after infection, age, nationality etc. Almost the only thing missing is their home addresses. Where I come from information of the dead is as vague as possible in order to not be identifiable and to protect privacy. There is general information about the age and sex distribution of the dead ones but that is about it.

12 hours ago, webfact said:

and 22 in Bangkok.

If they found 22, there’s a lot more they didn’t find. I hope they are aggressively contact tracing everyone those 22 have been in contact with.

 

Just how many of these migrant workers are in Samut Sakhon ? 

 

A few hundred thousand? 5-10 thousand? HOW MANY ?

 

Because this 800 plus has been going on for a while now. 

Why does journalists do not ask about the number of tests done?

I mean, journalist is a job or a hobby in Thailand?

19 minutes ago, Olivie said:

Why does journalists do not ask about the number of tests done?

I mean, journalist is a job or a hobby in Thailand?

Everything to do with covid has to go through the government I think under the emergency decree, so news can only be reported as authorized and cleared by them. In most countries it is called censorship, Thailand calls it not reporting or publishing anything that could cause or fear amongst the population. If you read all reports from CCSA in any online be it TV or BP they almost read word for word the same.

12 hours ago, hotchilli said:

These are mostly migrants trapped in a locked down city and still working to keep the factories operating, infection will keep spreading among those who have not yet been detected and moved to quarantine.

The vast majority are NOT illegals.

 

Any idea of the numbers.... ? Seems inexhaustible .... 

4 minutes ago, jacko45k said:

Any idea of the numbers.... ? Seems inexhaustible .... 

Thousands.

2 minutes ago, hotchilli said:

Thousands.

Not much help..... big difference between 2000 (which is not likely since many more than that have tested positive) and 900,000. 

3 minutes ago, jacko45k said:

Not much help..... big difference between 2000 (which is not likely since many more than that have tested positive) and 900,000. 

I think I read somewhere that in Samut Sakorn/Songkram areas up to 600,000 thousand migrants are located...

mostly living/working in the same very confined areas.

Hence the infection rates.