swissie Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 Multiple "Crisises" on the horizon. Too numerous to mention (especially if you live in Europe). But the global "share markets" are currently sending a clear signal: "It won't be that bad". Possibly taking the clue from "all the crisises over the last 75 years we have always mastered". And: "There is still so much liquidity sloshing around, that TINA (There Is No Alternative) to stocks is reason to buy stocks at the flimsiest positive news. Thus making a true "bear-market" a thing of the past. I am not so sure, this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparktrader Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 7 year linear regression Look at that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swissie Posted August 4, 2022 Author Share Posted August 4, 2022 48 minutes ago, Sparktrader said: 7 year linear regression Look at that Linear is relatively harmless. When it turns "exponential" on the downside, we will be in deep trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rwill Posted August 5, 2022 Share Posted August 5, 2022 Market crashes are normal and a great investment opportunity. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Lucky Bones Posted August 5, 2022 Popular Post Share Posted August 5, 2022 I worked in the superannuation/ pensions game for 30 years. Looked at markets and investment returns every day as part of my job. Simply put..."It's not timing the market but time in the market".???????? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post stoner Posted August 5, 2022 Popular Post Share Posted August 5, 2022 16 minutes ago, Lucky Bones said: I worked in the superannuation/ pensions game for 30 years. Looked at markets and investment returns every day as part of my job. Simply put..."It's not timing the market but time in the market".???????? 30 years in the market and the best you got is someone else's quote ? it wont be so bad ...brought to you by the people that made the 2008 gong show happen. then kicked the can down the road and played all nice for the last 14 years ? maybe print another few trillion that should solve the problem. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lacessit Posted August 5, 2022 Share Posted August 5, 2022 Michael Burry is predicting a major sharemarket crash, and he is putting his money where his mouth is. One of the few that did well in the GFC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucky Bones Posted August 5, 2022 Share Posted August 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, stoner said: 30 years in the market and the best you got is someone else's quote ? it wont be so bad ...brought to you by the people that made the 2008 gong show happen. then kicked the can down the road and played all nice for the last 14 years ? maybe print another few trillion that should solve the problem. Ever heard of a balanced portfolio? Sounds like you got badly burned in '08 & made some bad decisions. Better luck this time around.???????? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stoner Posted August 5, 2022 Share Posted August 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Lucky Bones said: Ever heard of a balanced portfolio? Sounds like you got badly burned in '08 & made some bad decisions. Better luck this time around.???????? ok. any other crystal ball info on hand ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post BritManToo Posted August 5, 2022 Popular Post Share Posted August 5, 2022 13 minutes ago, stoner said: ok. any other crystal ball info on hand ? Buy bitcoin and gold. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucky Bones Posted August 5, 2022 Share Posted August 5, 2022 20 minutes ago, stoner said: ok. any other crystal ball info on hand ? I suggest that 2008 has long gone, totally different world now - Move on. Plenty of opportunities out there. Research your goals (and remember that future expected returns should not be based on past returns.) If unsure.... "Cash can be King". Good hunting.???????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stoner Posted August 5, 2022 Share Posted August 5, 2022 2 hours ago, Lucky Bones said: I suggest that 2008 has long gone, totally different world now - Move on. you have made it clear now never to invest with you. wow 30 years and oblivious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stoner Posted August 5, 2022 Share Posted August 5, 2022 2 hours ago, BritManToo said: Buy bitcoin and gold. 14k and im buying in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucky Bones Posted August 5, 2022 Share Posted August 5, 2022 3 hours ago, stoner said: you have made it clear now never to invest with you. wow 30 years and oblivious. You have made it clear that you are still angry about whatever mistakes you made in 2008. Goodbye.???????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stoner Posted August 5, 2022 Share Posted August 5, 2022 16 minutes ago, Lucky Bones said: You have made it clear that you are still angry about whatever mistakes you made in 2008. Goodbye.???????? i wasn't investing in 2008 but please by all means continue to project. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deadbeat Posted August 5, 2022 Share Posted August 5, 2022 This is the Smita year, hang on to your hats. It kicks off on 25 sep. Dont say you weren't told. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sharksy Posted August 8, 2022 Share Posted August 8, 2022 On 8/5/2022 at 3:41 AM, Lucky Bones said: I suggest that 2008 has long gone, totally different world now - Move on. Plenty of opportunities out there. Research your goals (and remember that future expected returns should not be based on past returns.) If unsure.... "Cash can be King". Good hunting.???????? I thought Cash is Trash in an inflationary environment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucky Bones Posted August 8, 2022 Share Posted August 8, 2022 2 hours ago, sharksy said: I thought Cash is Trash in an inflationary environment. Hi Sharksy. Your call can be correct depending on the individuals personal circumstances (age is a large factor.) Generally, "Cash is King" relates to people who have a need to spend in the immediate future (eg: house deposit), and wish to protect their funds. Also for those who find they can not sleep at night through market volatility. The balanced portfolio provides some security from downturns and also allows a springboard when markets pick up. Yes....it's a brutal game.???????? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caldera Posted August 9, 2022 Share Posted August 9, 2022 There's always one crisis or another. That doesn't worry me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swissie Posted August 18, 2022 Author Share Posted August 18, 2022 Tiger, tiger lurking in the dark.......... Negative news increasing by the day. Globally. But the "markets" still signalling "it won't be so bad". Still massive liquitity looking for a home. The home was the share markets. Who want's to leave a cosy home? Still, I remain: Tiger, tiger lurking in the dark.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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