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Harris Holds Narrow Leads in Key Battlegrounds, Trump Ahead in Others


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With just two weeks left before Election Day, a new poll reveals that Vice President Kamala Harris holds slight leads over former President Donald Trump in four crucial battleground states, while Trump is polling ahead in two others. The Washington Post-Schar School survey, released Monday, focused on seven pivotal swing states that are expected to determine the outcome of the election.

 

Among likely voters, Harris is leading in Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while Trump holds a slight edge in Arizona and North Carolina. In Nevada, the two candidates are locked in a dead heat, each receiving 48 percent support.

 

In Georgia, Harris is polling at 51 percent, compared to Trump’s 47 percent. The state, which President Joe Biden narrowly won in 2020, has been a focus of Harris’s campaign, with the vice president spending a considerable amount of time there.

 

The results also show Harris leading in Wisconsin, where she has 50 percent support to Trump’s 47 percent, and in Michigan, where she holds a slim 2-point lead over the former president. The Democratic governors of these states, Tony Evers of Wisconsin and Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, have been actively campaigning on Harris’s behalf in an effort to maintain Democratic control.

 

The contest in Pennsylvania is particularly tight, with Harris leading Trump by just 49 percent to 47 percent. Pennsylvania's 19 electoral votes are highly coveted, and both campaigns are fighting hard for every vote, knowing that the state is likely to be one of the most fiercely contested in the country.

 

Meanwhile, in Arizona, a critical state that Biden narrowly won in 2020, Trump is polling ahead of Harris by 49 percent to 46 percent. Immigration has become a central issue in Arizona this election cycle, and Trump has made significant efforts to regain his support there. Trump also leads in North Carolina, where he is polling at 50 percent to Harris's 47 percent. Both candidates are expected to make appearances in North Carolina soon, especially after the western part of the state was hit by Hurricane Helene.

 

According to an aggregation of polls from The Hill and Decision Desk HQ, Harris holds an overall lead of just 1.5 percentage points over Trump in these swing states. The Washington Post poll was conducted from September 29 to October 15, surveying 5,016 voters across the seven swing states. The poll has a margin of error of 1.7 percentage points, suggesting that the race remains highly competitive and could shift in the final days before the election.

 

Based on a report from the Hill 2024-10-23

 

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