CAPITAL

Bangkok submerged in a decade: study

By The Nation

A weather model study has found that Bangkok could be submerged by seawater in as few as 10 years, says the director of the Sirindhorn International Environmental Park's Energy for Environment Centre.

Seree Supharatid said the capital was among nine Asian cities at risk of being flooded.

If the city received water at a rate of more than 4,100 cubic meters per second - combined with 5 per cent increased rainfall, a land subsidence rate of 4 millimetres per year and a rise in the Gulf sea level of 1.3cm per year - the inner city area would be submerged within a decade.

Some 680,000 residents and 1.16 million buildings would be affected, especially in Bang Khun Thian, Bang Bon, Bang Khae, and Phra Samut Jedi.

-- The Nation 2010-12-17

Well, you can achieve almost anything with models if you enter rubbish data like a 'rise in the Gulf sea level of 1.3cm per year', when all the latest studies point to an global average sea level rise of between 1.0 and 1.7 millimeters per year, or 4 to 7 inches per century.

If you exaggerate data by a factor of 10, you can create any result you want. I wonder if he studied at CRU, which specializes in this kind of chicanery.

Garbage in, gospel out.

Edited December 17, 201015 yr by RickBradford

Well, you can achieve almost anything with models if you enter rubbish data like a 'rise in the Gulf sea level of 1.3cm per year', when all the latest studies point to an global average sea level rise of between 1.0 and 1.7 millimeters per year, or 4 to 7 inches per century.

If you exaggerate data by a factor of 10, you can create any result you want. I wonder if he studied at CRU, which specializes in this kind of chicanery.

Garbage in, gospel out.

It is all about money. Some contractors are looking for big contract to skim the public fund by scaring the public

Anything possible when you build a city on a flood plain. Has happened all over the world so far.

The key word is "model". By tweeking it here and there you can pretty much get a climate model to perform any way you want.

According to climate models, Europe should be experiencing less and less snowfall to the extent that children will grow up never seeing it in real life. Yet Europe has had back to back two of the coldest winters in living memory, all the while CO2 levels continue to increase. Did any models predict that? Absolutely not.

These 'scientists' can confidently predict what will happen to the climate 10, 50 or even 100 years in the future, but they don't know what the weather will be like next Tuesday. That tells you a lot about these people and the crap they are peddling.

We have property in the foot hills of the north. Get some of this ocean view (coming soon) property before the price rises with the tide.

The model is 100% correct.

Whether the input parameters are correct or not, is another question.

We have property in the foot hills of the north. Get some of this ocean view (coming soon) property before the price rises with the tide.

You will probably get toxic chemicals,, human poop and debris washing in with that tide. It would be like living on the edge of New York's Love Canal.

Whether the city is flooded or not, the issue of what will happen below ground. Water supplies will be tained and waste will spill everywhere.

I have a dread feeling that the Military might look at this as an "Emergency" and they will have to take over until its passed

When I arrived in BKK 10 years ago they were saying the same thing then.