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Crude Drop %20, But Gas Still At 41+ At The Pump. What'S Wrong?


nikkoid66

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Oil industry rule of thumb: retail prices never go down, no matter what happens with the crude price. Observed in over 60 years in the USA, watching prices climb from 19¢ a gallon to over $4.50 a gallon. Thai company execs must have been trained in the west. ;-)

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Got nothing to do with the oil companies. It's the futures markets where speculation takes place on the oil supply based on what's in the pipeline, international reserves and demand. The 20% drop in futures prices we have seen recently are due to increased margin requirements on oil futures trading. Traders don't have the leverage they once had, therefore can't lever up on futures contracts, reducing their exposure and their broker's. Another factor is deflationary trends hitting the markets, again due to our friends the Greeks. Everyone and their brother is de-levering, raising cash and reducing risk.

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It is a simple market rule. If prices of oil go up, prices at the pump station go up. If prices of oil go down, prices at the pump station stay up. May conflict with logic, but it is economics 1.1

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Prices have gone down last week, but don't expect too much as the government blew the emergency oil fund on their popularist policies dropping the price per litre by about 5 or 7 baht ?

No one is allowed to sell cheaper than PTT and no one would buy it if you tried higher if there is one near you.

Selling prices from 16/4/12- 18/5/12 95-91- Diesel.

48.82 43.87 32.05 48.82 43.87 32.05 48.82 43.87 32.05 48.82 43.87 32.05 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 48.42 43.47 31.65 47.92 42.97 31.15 47.92 42.97 31.15 47.92 42.97 31.35 47.92 42.97 31.35 47.42 42.47 30.85 47.42 42.47 30.85 47.42 42.47 30.85 47.42 42.47 30.85 47.42 42.47 30.85 47.42 42.47 30.85 46.62 41.67 30.45 46.62 41.67 30.45 46.62 41.67 30.45 46.62 41.67 30.45 46.62 41.67 30.45

and todays price which went down on Friday or Saturday 46.32 41.37 30.15

So thats a drop of 6%.

Edit: sorry the table has had a mind of it's own.

Edited by arthurwait
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Well we hoped you would not notice prices going down, but now you have we will put it on the agenda for next month, thank you for bringing this to our attention!!

Always quick to raise prices at the pump, not so quick to reduce, same in the UK. Thers is nothing you can do about it, its out of our control.

I remember seeing headlines like "Govt ( or someone in GOVT) gives the nod for price hike." Never see the headline " Govt gives nod for price fall."

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For what it's worth, wholesale refinery prices are only up a few baht per litre (for diesel, gasoline, gasohol) over the last six months. What you see at the pump has more to do with PT fooling with the various taxes / levies associated with each fuel type to meet campaign promises and then re-adjust to reality where cutting the taxes is a bad idea.

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