Analysts expect money to flow out of Thailand due to new US economic policies

[webfact]

Analysts expect money to flow out of Thailand due to new US economic policies

 

BANGKOK, 7 December 2016 (NNT) - Analysts have forecast that new US economic policies will pose a challenge to major trade partners such as China, India, and South Korea, potentially resulting in cash leaving emerging markets, such as Thailand. 

The outflow of investment has already begun, as the US Federal Reserve has strongly indicated it will raise interest rates at the end of the year. Signs of further rate hikes the following year has resulted in money flowing back into the US currency. 

Money flowing out of Thailand is happening at a smaller rate than neighboring countries, due to confidence in Thailand’s economic fundamentals as well as various government stimulus measures. The government is also expected to implement further stimulus measures next year, while infrastructure development projects in 2017 expected to total 1.4 trillion baht. 

Analysis expect Thailand’s SET composite index to range between 1,400-1,600 points, while the Thai baht is expected to range between 35 - 36.5 baht against the US dollar.

 

-- nnt 2016-12-07

[Sunderland]

Isn't money already flowing out (or not flowing in) due to local economic policies here in the L.O.S.?

[debate101]

 

Analysts expect money to flow out of Thailand due to new US  xenophobic, erratic government and poor economic policies.

 

There. Fixed the headline for you.

[Brer Fox]

No surprises here. It has been flowing out since 2014.

[TheLobster]

Just out of curiosity how easy is it to transfer large amounts of money (by bank transfer) out of Thailand?

[Dustdevil]

Money's flowing out a lot faster from Malaysia where corruption and the Islamic government's arrogance and oppression is rampant all the way to the top--especially the top.

[ToS2014]

13 hours ago, debate101 said:

 

Analysts expect money to flow out of Thailand due to new US  xenophobic, erratic government and poor economic policies.

 

There. Fixed the headline for you.

Good thing there was an election to fix your headline.

[elgordo38]

16 hours ago, debate101 said:

 

Analysts expect money to flow out of Thailand due to new US  xenophobic, erratic government and poor economic policies.

 

There. Fixed the headline for you.

And the truth shall set you free??? Rather surprised to read this. Usually the articles from analysts are of the up up and way type. Saying negative things here can put them on a slippery slope. 

[Eric Loh]

4 hours ago, Dustdevil said:

Money's flowing out a lot faster from Malaysia where corruption and the Islamic government's arrogance and oppression is rampant all the way to the top--especially the top.

 

Thats very true. Foreign investors are pulling their funds out of Malaysia plus the MDB1 corruption has hammered the ringgit down to uncharted level. Central Bank splashed out significant amount of their hard earned foreign reserves to defend the ringgit. Fortunately, foreign investors are not the majority in Thailand and the outflows have not caused heavy devaluation of the Baht.

[YeahSiam]

16 hours ago, Brer Fox said:

No surprises here. It has been flowing out since 2014.

 

Overwhelming consensus is frequently wrong and I think it's wrong in this case too.

 

The current narrative is based on a fantasy in which the US spends a gazillion dollars on fiscal stimulus and the Fed simply raises interest rates to compensate for higher inflation.

Aside from the fact that if it were that simple, the previous administration would've tried it years ago, the truth is very much hiding in plain sight.

Put simply, it doesn't matter how high US interest rates go, it's meaningless if inflation is eroding the real return for investors holding US debt.

As the self-proclaimed "King of Debt", Donald Trump knows this.

Once investors finally realise the scam, money will return to emerging markets or alternative assets a lot faster than most believe.

Position yourself now

[Brer Fox]

4 minutes ago, YeahSiam said:

 

Overwhelming consensus is frequently wrong and I think it's wrong in this case too.

 

The current narrative is based on a fantasy in which the US spends a gazillion dollars on fiscal stimulus and the Fed simply raises interest rates to compensate for higher inflation.

Aside from the fact that if it were that simple, the previous administration would've tried it years ago, the truth is very much hiding in plain sight.

Put simply, it doesn't matter how high US interest rates go, it's meaningless if inflation is eroding the real return for investors holding US debt.

As the self-proclaimed "King of Debt", Donald Trump knows this.

Once investors finally realise the scam, money will return to emerging markets or alternative assets a lot faster than most believe.

Position yourself now

Not in the slightest bit interested in American politics or the opinions of those who wish to express them.

I was commenting on the Thai economy. There has been an outflow of money since the junta took over. Simple as that.

http://asia.nikkei.com/Politics-Economy/Economy/Foreign-investment-into-Thailand-plummets-90-in-2015

Maybe there will be an inflow of capital when democracy returns whenever that might be. 

[PatOngo]

Nevermind....it will flow back in with 40 million tourists.

[khunken]

1 hour ago, YeahSiam said:

 

Overwhelming consensus is frequently wrong and I think it's wrong in this case too.

 

The current narrative is based on a fantasy in which the US spends a gazillion dollars on fiscal stimulus and the Fed simply raises interest rates to compensate for higher inflation.

Aside from the fact that if it were that simple, the previous administration would've tried it years ago, the truth is very much hiding in plain sight.

Put simply, it doesn't matter how high US interest rates go, it's meaningless if inflation is eroding the real return for investors holding US debt.

As the self-proclaimed "King of Debt", Donald Trump knows this.

Once investors finally realise the scam, money will return to emerging markets or alternative assets a lot faster than most believe.

Position yourself now

Only for US domestic investors. US inflation is meaningless for foreign investors who are looking for a low-risk better return than elsewhere.

[thurien]

20 hours ago, TheLobster said:

Just out of curiosity how easy is it to transfer large amounts of money (by bank transfer) out of Thailand?

 

would you pls re-address this question to local politicians, law men, the (financial) trades & industry circles?