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beautifulthailand99

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Everything posted by beautifulthailand99

  1. There's a lengthy video on my Redditt channels of a larger group of Hare Krishna followers at an ashram in Ukraine trying to 'peacefully' fight off recruitment soldiers who are arremtping to drag away potential conscripts. No wonder hundreds are dying in the rivers and forests as they try to flee Ukraine. Any sane person would. https://archive.ph/AtE1o Matviy is now in another European country, chasing an engineering career that he says would have been cut short in Ukraine. He understands other Ukrainians may criticise him, but says he was driven by a survival instinct. He had seen enough of the “safari” in his own city in western Ukraine, where draft officers scour the streets for potential recruits. He still believes in his country, he insists. Ukraine will continue fighting for its freedom and independence. It could rise again after the war. But it will be without him. “The country does not exist for me any more. There’s no way back.
  2. Ukraine is grabbing men off the street barely teaching them to fire a gun and sending them to the frontline to face relentless barrage and probable death under ferocius artillery and glide bombs.It's beyond tragic and not a situation any informed person should condone. https://archive.ph/SxN3f There are no grenades for throwing in training centers, and there are no grenade launcher rounds in the training center,” said the officer, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to do so publicly. “This is the problem.” “We don’t have a proper training system in place,” the officer continued, adding that Ukraine needs its instructors to be taught by NATO trainers to condense the standard two-month basic training into one month.
  3. https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/ukraine-is-running-short-of-people-1.2079923.amp.html Ukraine are on western aid life support. If the money stops the country collapses. It’s a conundrum for President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, who is desperate to replenish his forces while ensuring that the shortage doesn’t damage an economy he needs to keep afloat. “We are now in a war of attrition,” Ukrainian Deputy Central Bank Governor Sergiy Nikolaychuk said in an interview in Kyiv. “It is very difficult to choose between butter and guns.” The problem will only intensify as the Russian invasion drags well into its third year and Kyiv is forced to fill a gap left by millions who have either fled the country, joined the army or fallen in battle. As Ukraine’s military struggles to hold the line against a fresh Russian offensive, its economy — which has lost a quarter of its output since the invasion began — risks being further weakened by the shrinking workforce.
  4. Very interesting and telling comment , there is going to be a de-facto accpetance of territorial gains and frozen front lines. The Korean armistice and cease-fire is coming and then hopefully the senseless slaughter can stop. All maximalists are doing now is prolonging the war and suffering for the same end result. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c722zxj0kyro.amp But Ukraine isn’t winning. Short of artillery, ammunition, air defences and most of all, troops, Ukraine is struggling to hold back the sheer weight of Russian firepower, glide bombs and massed infantry assaults that often border on the suicidal. What, I asked Prime Minister Kallas, is Estonia’s Plan B if Ukraine loses this war and Russia’s invasion ultimately succeeds? "We have no Plan B for a Russian victory," she replies, "because then we would stop focussing on Plan A" - helping Ukraine push back the Russian invasion. "We should not give in to pessimism. Victory in Ukraine is not just about territory. If Ukraine joins Nato, even without some territory, then that’s a victory because it will be placed under the Nato umbrella."
  5. The truth has been out there for along time for those that sought it out , it's time to move on from the binary good vs evil dichotomy and realise there are just bad guys and badder guys at the top with "we" being the former. It's time to seek the least worst option for everyone. It's time to talk. "Amid all the pressure to root out corruption, I assumed, perhaps naively, that officials in Ukraine would think twice before taking a bribe or pocketing state funds. But when I made this point to a top presidential adviser in early October, he asked me to turn off my audio recorder so he could speak more freely. “Simon, you’re mistaken,” he says. “People are stealing like there’s no tomorrow.” https://time.com/6329188/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-interview/
  6. As you appear to write content free micro posts I find little point in responding. An arguement, links from reliable sources acceptable in this parish or I will bid you good day.
  7. More westerm Wunderwaffe that hit's the stark reality of the front and that highlights the strategic and logistical nightmare of the vast menagerie of wetern kit, often outdated , sometimes in bad condition , without cyrillic labelling or extensive training hits the organised chaos of front lines. F16s will join that in due course should they ever materialise. We are heading to a Korean outcome with an effective undeclared armistice and frozen lines that will be fortified like no other and the new defacto Ukraine will be the result. No one will have won but Russia is never coming back to Europe and the Sino-Russian alliance has been born from those ugly ashes. Democracy and the rule of law are not a given , dark ages often follow a period of enlightment and that is what his happening now. https://www.newsweek.com/us-abrams-tanks-amor-failing-ukraine-1905927
  8. My mistake you are right I was unintentionally misinformed, I simply don't have the time that you have to fact check exhaustively I'm a busy man. Killed and injured which is still probably on the high side but in the ball park. And I'll re-iterate the losses are most probably parity on both sides particuarly after the last few months. So my point that in war of attrition , where China tacitly supports Russia and Russia goes on a total war footing Russia eventually wins still stands. It's not just me saying it either. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-68778338 As a footnote ; The last PM of South Vietnam Thiệu went on to excoriate the US, attacking "our great ally, [the] leader of the free world". "The United States has not respected its promises" he declared. "It is inhumane. It is not trustworthy. It is irresponsible."He added, "The United States did not keep its word. Is an American's word reliable these days?", and "The United States did not keep its promise to help us fight for freedom and it was in the same fight that the United States lost 50,000 of its young men." It was ever thus. https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-losses-war-half-million-gruesome-milestone-1904713
  9. These guys would all be punting domino theory at the time of the Vietnam War - this is just the new reboot.Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose. Sadly I'm very busy in real life at the moment so will probably have to say goodbye, that and I have been offered a mod role on a much bigger site that I am contemplating.
  10. Well I'm suggesting it's an educated guess, it's roughly parity and my sources broadly support that. If you add in the lack of air defences on the front line in the last few months and the brutal effect of almost undefended bombing sorties with FAB bombs on the poor pretty much defenceless conscripts and add in they are needing to recruit prisoners suugests their casulaties are much more than they are admitting too. I stick by my figures roughly 100,000 dead on both sides and 3x that in severely disabled. Horrific figures for sure and the sooner this war stops the better it is for all concerned. https://archive.ph/b7mKJ
  11. Nor will China who has taken up the slack in supplying vital tech and equipment and mutually supportative markets. They know if Russia was to lose it's their turn next. Deadlock or not just ask Nguyễn Văn Thiệu who was besties with the US until he wasn't. Died in Boston in 2001.
  12. Let's not go down the rabbit hole of who in Europe supported Russia - most goverments and a huge amount of businesses did back then. Ukarine's best buddy Boris mad his KGB son's mate Lebedev a meber of the House of Lords a position he still holds. Who is conning who here ? Asking for friend.
  13. I would say that's about right - Mediazona which works with the BBC - trawling all public records in Russia and other methods with meticlulous methodical approach is saying 85k so rounding up 100k is probably about it. Ukrainian goverment are saying over half a million which is so far from that I would question any of the figures they put out about loses whether personel or equipment. The number of Ukrainians is like to be the same the NYT last August - qouted below suggested a figure.The severely disabled is probaly 3 times that. However, it's estimated that in modern conflicts, the ratio of KIA to severely disabled is around 1:3. This means for every soldier killed, approximately three are severely wounded or disabled. The population of Russia is roughly 3.5 times larger than the population of Ukraine - they simply can't win a war of attrition just maximise the death and suffering on both sides, probably in the end for the same result. https://en.zona.media/article/2024/02/24/75k https://war.ukraine.ua/faq/what-are-the-russian-death-toll-and-other-losses-in-ukraine/ https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/18/us/politics/ukraine-russia-war-casualties.html While several U.S. officials and one former senior Ukrainian official said about 70,000 Ukrainian soldiers had died in the conflict so far, other American officials said the number could be lower.
  14. While there's no strict timeline for acquiring NATO-compliant equipment upon joining the alliance, new members are expected to work towards interoperability with other NATO forces. This means gradually aligning their military equipment, procedures, and training with NATO standards. Several factors influence the pace of this transition: Existing equipment: If a new member already has some equipment compatible with NATO standards, the process can be faster. Financial resources: Acquiring new equipment can be costly, so the transition might be gradual depending on the country's budget. Industrial capacity: Domestic defense industries might need time to adapt and produce NATO-compliant equipment. NATO provides support and guidance to new members throughout this process, including assistance with defense planning, training, and exercises. The goal is to ensure that all members can effectively contribute to collective defense and participate in NATO operations. For further information, you can consult the following resources: NATO website - Enlargement and Article 10: https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_49212.htm 10 things you need to know about NATO: https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/126169.htm
  15. They are in NATO now. They have to clear out their old junk to fill everything with shiny brand new NATO compliant kit - them's the rules.
  16. Either Putin has taken over the Telegraph or a stark reality is being reflected in western media and a new narrative is being created. The US has no longer the appetite or cause to trouble itself too much with European problems. It wants to move onto China which this conflict has strengthened the Russo-Sino alliance immeasurably and brought Chinese influence to the borders of Europe. My monies on Zelenskiy being forced into a peace settlement which he won't like or he is removed so that so one is in place who will. Just a hunch. https://archive.ph/3sfmW
  17. In the very pro Ukraine anti-Putin Daily Telegraph. This article evidences Ukraine’s problem - a shortage of manpower. They had to move forces from the East to stop the Russian advance in the North. No amount of drones, pick up trucks, money or peace conferences will make up for that. The so called peace conference will be Zelensky pleading to those stupid enough to turn up without Russia, for more cash. Time to realise the situation on the ground and try to salvage a deal before a total collapse occurs.
  18. Saying the quiet part out loud. Zelensky’s team appear concerned that, as attention on both sides of the Atlantic turns to domestic elections and leaders are forced to pick between foreign and domestic priorities, Ukraine’s fight against Putin will fall by the wayside. He has good reason to think so. Despite Zelensky’s appeals, it appears that Biden is likely to skip his planned peace summit, apparently preferring to attend a fundraiser in California with celebrities including George Clooney and Julia Roberts. Speaking yesterday, Zelensky condemned Biden’s reported plan to skip it, saying “[His] absence would only be met with applause by Putin.” But while these words would once have held weight, they now look likely to be shrugged off. https://archive.ph/NsrtF
  19. And there you have it might is right let's not argue about morals anymore just who is winning. I think you're right btw.
  20. He is totally without shame and by bringing the comparison with the horrors of the Holocaust shows he has zero morals or scruples. Truly the darkest moment in Israeli history where their duly elected PM and defence minister stand accused of extermination and mass starvation of civilians in pursuit of war aims. Here is Putin's crimes this is far worse. Mr Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin, born on 7 October 1952, President of the Russian Federation, is allegedly responsible for the war crime of unlawful deportation of population (children) and that of unlawful transfer of population (children) from occupied areas of Ukraine to the Russian Federation (under articles 8(2)(a)(vii) and 8(2)(b)(viii) of the Rome Statute). The crimes were allegedly committed in Ukrainian occupied territory at least from 24 February 2022. There are reasonable grounds to believe that Mr Putin bears individual criminal responsibility for the aforementioned crimes, (i) for having committed the acts directly, jointly with others and/or through others (article 25(3)(a) of the Rome Statute), and (ii) for his failure to exercise control properly over civilian and military subordinates who committed the acts, or allowed for their commission, and who were under his effective authority and control, pursuant to superior responsibility (article 28(b) of the Rome Statute). https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/situation-ukraine-icc-judges-issue-arrest-warrants-against-vladimir-vladimirovich-putin-and
  21. Criminals look for a sh7t hot lawyer to get off but anyway they don't even recognise the court. So for clarity do you recognise the court and the gravity of the crimes that are being investigated if not then all those who talk about the rule of law and the international rules base order need to keep quiet about the other ICC wanted honcho one V.Putin , because we see your hypocrisy and apologia for abhorrent war crimes. I accept this pre-trial submission in full and without hesitation and hope others do to. No ifs no buts , no whataboutery.
  22. And then track them back to Putin and the ICC to see if they are indeed hypocrites or truly wish to defend the rules based order but only when it suits them. https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-may-20-2024/ “An institution that is unable to distinguish between the aggressor and the defender, between a democracy that respects human rights and a terrorist organization dedicated to its destruction in the name of the values of extreme Islam and murderous fanaticism constitutes a danger to humanity,” he continues. “Prosecutor Khan’s decision” denies Israel its right to self-defense and “will be infamously remembered as the turning point where international legal institutions lost their moral compass.”
  23. The relationship between Xi and Putin is built to last - A shared antagonism towards the US will prevent tensions between China and Russia from coming to the fore - GIDEON RACHMAN FT. As ever a prescient take from Gideon and this time it is different. In Washington, however, the consensus view is that China is the more dangerous long-term adversary. Some American strategists worry about driving Russia into the arms of China and so altering the global balance of power in Beijing’s favour. Despite his long-standing admiration for China, this seemed to be the view of Kissinger himself. He told me shortly before his death he was concerned that a weakened Russia would in effect become a satellite of China, with the result that Beijing’s sphere of influence could extend to a few hundred miles from Warsaw. Viewed from Beijing, the defeat of Russia would risk leaving China dangerously isolated. As one Chinese diplomat puts it, sardonically, America’s proposition to Beijing could be summarised as: “Please help us to defeat your closest ally, so that we can turn on you next.” https://archive.ph/W2xxg
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