OK, I went to the actual source. https://pr.moph.go.th//assets/uploads/news/2568/d62f018add623ebcf36966b7ec9f883a.pdf
8,862 is a projected estimate for new infections for 2025. Probably based on a modeling exercise. The MOPH announcement says nothing about a "surge" or increase, and from the numbers none is projected.
As mentioned in prior post, the actual figure for 2023 was 9,300. I don't know what 2024 was as that information is still be compiled/verified but it is clear that cases are not on the increase, though they are also not decreasing as fast as would be desired.
So any social media reports of a "sharp increase"are fake news.
This is exactly why there is a Healht Forum specific rule against reporting news articles etc...they are so very often (indeed, most often in the case of social media) inaccurate.
"4. Posting/pinning of news articles: The forum is for members to seek advice on health/beauty related matters. it is not the place for general dissemination of news, research findings etc. Members are not to post news articles/research findings unless in the context of a discussion specific to an ASEAN NOW member's health/beauty related problem."
https://aseannow.com/topic/1341934-rules-specific-to-the-health-forum/
Thread closed.