rabas

Common knowledge, earthquakes take finite time to propagate. For an epicenter in Mandalay to Bangkok, you have ~2-3 minutes before strong S waves arrive. Time for emergency exit from some trains and buildings. Alerts can originate at monitoring stations of which Mandalay has two. The LINE messaging system, much cherished by Thai, was tied to emergency communication in Japan, particularly in the wake of the 2011 Tōhoku earthquake and tsunami. So yes, even Thai know.

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In this particular case that may not be true, but only because of Burma's particular geology. The Sagaing fault in Burma is a major straight 1200 km "strike-slip fault" very similar to the famous (1200 km) San Andreas fault in California. But unlike the San Andreas fault, the Sagaing fault is known to produce cascading major earthquakes, one after another, spaced a year or so apart. One might guess this could happen after a long quiet period, just like before now: It's history of M7+ earthquakes (1906 M7.0, 1912 M7.5, 1929 M7.0, 1930 M7.2, 1930 M7.3, 1931 M7.6, 1946 M7.7, 1956 M7.1, quiet) ! Worse, yesterday's quake only partially ruptured a segment of the fault that 'should/could have' ruptured but didn't. Oops. For more detail below are two similar historical lists, differing only in fine criteria, both show this clustering.: List 1 Grok 1839, near Mandalay – M7.5–8.0 (estimated) 1930, May 23, near Bago – M7.3 1930, Dec 4, near Bago – M7.2 (noted as a distinct event in some sources) 1946, Aug 12, near Tagaung – M7.7 1946, Sep 12, near Tagaung – M7.5 1956, Jul 8, near Sagaing – M7.0 2025, Mar 28, near Mandalay – M7.7 List 2 earthquake paper 1906 – M7.0 1912 – M7.5 1929 – M7.0 1930 – M7.2 1930 – M7.3 1931 – M7.6 1946 – M7.7 1956 – M7. So when my Thai wife starting saying we must store things in safer places, etc. I laughed and said, 5555 there won't be another earthquake like this for decades! This morning I went and apologized...

As he's likely done before, rigging elections and assassinating candidates with poison? (Viktor Yushchenko) I can't fathom why some like him. Here is what he's up to now. Always civilians.

Meant as a helpful hint. The problems you foresee are likely with your own thinking, in your own mind. Clear those up and you and your wife won't have any problems. I've taken my wife to the US a few times. Never an issue.

Meanwhile, Gazan's are fed up and in their 3rd day of anti-Hamas protests. Money for US pro Palestinian protests likely stems from Iran. https://x.com/Osint613/status/190525398031530025

Here's my fact check. Grox, much more powerful core (brain). The agreements—like the Lisbon Protocol and Budapest Memorandum—worked as intended at the time: Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons, Russia took them, and the West got the nuclear stability it wanted. Ukraine got security assurances in return, with Russia, the US, and the UK pledging to respect its sovereignty and borders. On paper, it was a clean deal—Ukraine denuclearized by 1996, and the world exhaled. Then Putin’s Russia tore it apart. Starting with the 2014 annexation of Crimea and followed by the full-scale invasion in 2022, Russia blatantly violated the Budapest Memorandum’s guarantees. The promise to respect Ukraine’s independence and territorial integrity? Shattered. The invasion and land grabs—like Crimea and parts of Donbas—directly broke the agreement’s core commitments. It’s a brutal irony: Ukraine gave up the world’s third-largest nuclear arsenal for assurances that, in the end, Russia treated as worthless. The agreements held until they didn’t, and Ukraine paid the price.

So, he's not winning?

Notwithstanding Russian state propaganda says so almost everyday including where and what weapons?

Unfair, they gave Jesus 9 months to comeback and a peace deal just 7 days? But the anti Christ wanted Ukraine in 3 days, now well into his 4th year and still "winning" as Russia's economy continues to die. Removing Putin would help everyone including Russians.

NEW: As Ukraine steps up attacks on Russian military and energy infrastructure, Putin strives for mass civilian casualties. One of several new attacks on civilians and children:

Back to the threads subject, Putin dooms Russia's economy. We are now seeing massive hits on Russian energy and military infrastructure. "It was all destroyed", instead of "some damage", Today's knocked out was 1.7 million barrels/day.

A good reminder to pro Putin laughing all way posters what despot Putin is really about. He greatly upped his civilian kill while saying he wanted peace. Latest of many examples:

Where I heard it first? Moscow, 1966, when I toured a massive Russian propaganda factory. 90% of their product was in English for export for you to read. That began a lifelong close relation with Russia and its people. Haven't been confused since. 💂‍♂️

Textbook Russian propaganda—top to bottom deflection from their illegal grab, militarization, and reckless endangerment of Europe’s biggest nuclear plant. Ukraine shelling it? Sure, and they blew up their own dam too, right? Meanwhile, the IAEA’s just thrilled with the chaos.

Poof! And there it is. No facts, no refs, zero effort, and not a care. Deep Russian what-about-ism propaganda. Never mind Putin's passion for assassination by radioactive polonium and nerve agents so toxic they are completely banded, it's the CIA. Did you know that weaponization of what-about-ism was a Soviet (read Russia) cold war development?

Corroborative, Putin's claim is sufficient disproof. "We are not going to invade Ukraine!. Plus 150+ years of Russian state propaganda, yes even the tzars.

'Even' Putin? Putin is the mother geyser of Russian disinformation. Considering the current critical symbolic importance of Kursk. I wouldn't trust either side, especially Putin. A good source is ISW's daily Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment based on open source intel, including Russian. Here is what they say about 'encirclement'. March 14 ISW has observed no geolocated evidence to indicate that Russian forces have encircled a significant number of Ukrainian forces in Kursk Oblast or elsewhere along the frontline in Ukraine. Putin seized on a statement by US President Donald Trump about the supposed encirclement of Ukrainian forces in Kursk Oblast to distract from his recent rejection of the US-Ukrainian ceasefire proposal. Kremlin statements following Putin's meeting with US Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff on March 13 underscore Putin's rejection of the US-Ukrainian ceasefire proposal and continued unwillingness to engage in good-faith negotiations to end the war in Ukraine March 15 Russian milbloggers and Ukrainian officials continue to deny Russian President Vladimir Putin's unsubstantiated claim that Russian forces have encircled a significant number of Ukrainian troops in Kursk Oblast. Russian milbloggers published maps on March 14 and 15 showing Russian and Ukrainian positions in Kursk Oblast that do not indicate Russian forces have encircled Ukrainian forces, and two Russian milbloggers explicitly denied Putin's claim that Russian forces encircled a significant number of Ukrainian forces in the area on March 13 and 14. No picture, didn't happen. https://understandingwar.org/publications

You see only what you want to see. That's not science. They said that lab leak was their #1 choice, the most likely cause, but the confidence level was low. "Give me the apple pie, but my mom's was better". Question, what did he eat?

DW: COVID pandemic likely unleashed by lab mishap: Germany's BND https://www.dw.com/en/covid-pandemic-likely-unleashed-by-lab-mishap-germanys-bnd/a-71897701 The BND reached its conclusions as early as 2020, the papers said, giving them a likelihood rating of 80% to 95%, but the assessment was kept from the public at the time. MSN: German Govt Reportedly Concealed Intel That Wuhan Lab Leak Was 80 To 95% Likely https://www.msn.com/en-us/politics/government/german-government-reportedly-concealed-intel-that-wuhan-lab-leak-was-80-to-95-likely/ar-AA1ANJ0W

Things that are predicable:

From Lithuanian defense minister on Lithuania Independence Restoration Day (yes, those Russians again):

Now send the defensive weapons.

I did too at first glance. The lighting looked almost too perfect but the image appears be taken about 10 am or 2 pm with soft, cloud filtered light striking the soldier's face and tank. The lighting and depth of focus and are exactly what one expects in a real image. Further. high level online AI fake image analysis shows no signs of any AI manipulation. AI can do some very funny things that users can't control. I remember one perfect image from inside an airplane cabin with passengers, a pretty girl standing in the aisle, and people's faces sticking out of overhead compartments. Further computer analysis also shows that the level of sharpness and contrast enhancment, which makes the image look too good and possibly fake, is the same level as used by many modern high quality mobile phones. So before you call him fake and a liar why not ask him what model phone he has?