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Everything posted by candide
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Could Trump's plan fail in a spectacular fashion?
candide replied to spidermike007's topic in Political Soapbox
No. Thanks to Putin! -
Could Trump's plan fail in a spectacular fashion?
candide replied to spidermike007's topic in Political Soapbox
Canada's GDP is a bit higher than Russia's GDP... -
Could Trump's plan fail in a spectacular fashion?
candide replied to spidermike007's topic in Political Soapbox
Still incoherent. The U.S. is not subsidising Canada. The U.S. can probably get aluminium, potash etc... from other sources, but it won't be cheaper. Probably more expensive considering transportation cost. So no benefit in doing so. And from a strategic point of view, it is less risky to be dependent from Canada than from Russia About the boycott issue, you come up with the same irrelevant comparison (Israel). Nobody cares about boycotting Israel because nobody is affected by Israeli policy (apart from Palestinian and close neighbours). Look at Tesla rather than Israel.... Many people in Europe love America but many people are increasingly disliking Trump and its policies, and it can only worsen if they are affected by tariffs and other decisions. -
Could Trump's plan fail in a spectacular fashion?
candide replied to spidermike007's topic in Political Soapbox
Single market. You are grasping at straws. 🙂 Trade between EU countries is irrelevant to the issues discussed in this thread! -
Could Trump's plan fail in a spectacular fashion?
candide replied to spidermike007's topic in Political Soapbox
You are including intra-EU trade in your %. That's irrelevant! 🙂 -
Could Trump's plan fail in a spectacular fashion?
candide replied to spidermike007's topic in Political Soapbox
It's not a country but there is a single market, and trade policy is a prerogative of the EU. Having said that, it's true that unemployment is an additional problem for the EU. Not so much for the US (so far). -
Could Trump's plan fail in a spectacular fashion?
candide replied to spidermike007's topic in Political Soapbox
There is a lack of coherence in your reasoning. If the U.S. can relatively easily substitute imports from some countries by imports from other countries, it will not bring back jobs to the U.S. So a lot of trouble for nothing! You cited the example of gas, which is a single standard commodity which can easily be substituted. If you had some understanding of industrial companies, you would know that it's far from being easy to change sourcing of suppliers. There's the same issue with MAGAs and Brexiteers. They completely ignore the difficulty of finding reliable suppliers and profitable customers. Companies are struggling every day about it, and cannot change easily by magic. As to the share of GDP represented by exports, it 's not so different from the EU. 11% for the U.S. and 15% for the EU. Oh, and Nikes and Apple are mainly produced in China!. You cited the case of the boycott of Israel. It failed because few people were personally feeling concerned. It won't be the case with a trade war. For example, there is a growing resentment against the U.S. in Europe after the aggressive and smearing statements, as well as announced adverse decisions, by the U.S.. Add to it, if tariffs are actually implemented, seeing domestic businesses in trouble and workers being laid-off, the perspective of a boycott is not unrealistic. -
Could Trump's plan fail in a spectacular fashion?
candide replied to spidermike007's topic in Political Soapbox
It's not that simplistic. To start with let's assume that the U.S. could substitute the current imports from countries targeted by tariffs by imports from other countries. It would certainly not happen without supply chain and production disruptions and extra cost. Then is it really worth the trouble? What's the benefit, apart from satisfying Trump's childish ego? The other point is that a trade war is not only about imports, but also about exports. After the implementation of tariffs on Europe, the countries under tariffs will represent more than 60 % of U.S. exports. So in case of a trade war, the U.S. will be the country with by far the highest percentage of exports subjected to tariffs by other countries. For example, while more than 60% of U.S. exports could be potentially subject to tariffs, only 20% of EU exports could be potentially affected by US tariffs. Finally, another issue is the possibility of a boycott of US products and brands by consumers. There are premises of it already with Tesla, and also some U.S. products in Canada. If it happened, it would be completely out of control, as even governments willing to keep good relations with the U.S. wouldn't be able to prevent it. -
Kremlin Slams Macron’s Nuclear Comments as ‘Confrontational’
candide replied to Social Media's topic in World News
Depleted uranium. Used by many countries, including Russia, to increase projectile penetration. The attack on Serbia was the consequence of Serbia attacking other countries (former Y members) and slaughtering people. -
Elon Musk’s X Withholds User Data from UK Authorities Amid Riots
candide replied to Social Media's topic in World News
A MAGA parroting Vance what a surprise! 🤣 -
Is it possible Trump is trying to sabotage the world economy?
candide replied to spidermike007's topic in Political Soapbox
It's all about himself. On top of it, he doesn't care about being re-elected as he's not allowed to. Après moi, le déluge! -
Come on! Enola Gay, that's suspiciously woke!
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Is it possible Trump is trying to sabotage the world economy?
candide replied to spidermike007's topic in Political Soapbox
Where is this mysterious agreement signed by the U.S. or NATO countries? -
Zelensky Optimistic About Upcoming US-Ukraine Talks in Saudi Arabia
candide replied to Social Media's topic in World News
I must admit that Putin is a better player at manipulating Trum than Zelinski..... -
US Toy Factories Boom as Tariffs Shift Manufacturing Home
candide replied to Social Media's topic in World News
In other words, it's peanuts.... -
Is it possible Trump is trying to sabotage the world economy?
candide replied to spidermike007's topic in Political Soapbox
After Canada imposed duties in October on Chinese-made electric vehicles and steel and aluminum products.