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candide

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Everything posted by candide

  1. As usual, Comer cannot stop winning! ???? ‘Sexy’ Biden and family get-togethers: Comer views new email details https://news.yahoo.com/sexy-biden-family-togethers-comer-201314139.html
  2. And to some extent, still believe it.
  3. My assumption is that he has a direct communications channel upwards. That may be useful.
  4. From what I understand, it would be similar to what EFTA members currently have.
  5. That was excluded by the red lines set by UK
  6. The report is about a proposal for a redesign of the EU, in order to take into account the significant number of accession candidates -and also the differentiated attitude of current members towards further integration. The third circle is not particularly targeted at UK. In particular, it can be conveniently used as waiting position for accession countries. The full report can be accessed here: https://institutdelors.eu/en/publications/sailing-on-high-seas-reforming-and-enlarging-the-eu-for-the-21st-century/
  7. Could it lead to a witness tampering charge? “The worst part of the report is not, believe it or not, in my mind, the to-do lists on the back of classified documents,” the former New Jersey governor told Fox News’ Neil Cavuto on Tuesday. “The worst is when he called that assistant when she was going to go before the grand jury and said, ‘You don’t know anything about my boxes, my boxes of documents.’” “That is active witness tampering. That’s active obstruction of justice,” he added. Chris Christie Pinpoints The Very ‘Worst Part’ Of Bombshell Trump Report https://news.yahoo.com/chris-christie-pinpoints-very-worst-092723328.html
  8. Have you really read my post? Neither me nor the BBC claimed that what Hunter did was not illegal (and I couldn't care less in case he would be charged). The comment was that other people have rarely been charged in similar cases, and also that one of the charge may not be constitutional. A jury will ultimately make a decision, and that's fine for me.
  9. From the BBC article: "Legal analysts have said, however, that the basis of the gun charges against Mr Biden may be subject to a constitutional challenge. Mr Biden has no prior criminal record. He had the weapon for fewer than two weeks and never used it. Few people matching that profile face such charges, let alone prison time, say legal analysts."
  10. Some issues raise more interest than others for different reasons, and in particular their level of mediatisation. In the case of this conflict, it works both ways and It's a self-reinforcing phenomenon. There have been an incommensurate level of criticism of Irael just as an incommensurate level of support of Israel. Actually, It's the Zionist organisations which mediatised this issue and raised international attention to it. It's true that it's a pity that other causes get less attention, such as the Kurds or the Ouighurs. As concerns Ouighurs, it is noticeable that Muslims tend to look the other way, apart from a few extremist organisations.
  11. Hasn't the establishment of illegal settlement (according to International laws) played a role in the enduring negative attitude of some countries (and/or their population) towards Israel?
  12. And here's the real reason why Kim stopped launching missiles. NK had completed most previous programs and was working on new programs. It can be seen clearly on the attached graph. When NK resumed launching missiles in 2019, it was mainly about new short-range missiles short-range missiles, and in 2020 a new version of its cruise missile. Same for nuclear tests. The program was completed. https://missilethreat.csis.org/north-korea-missile-launches-1984-present/
  13. Anothere news "Trump reportedly told an aide, Molly Michael, not to discuss "boxes" with the FBI. "You don't know anything about the boxes," he reportedly told her. Michael also said that Trump wrote to-do lists on the back of classified documents." Trump reportedly told aide that she doesn't 'know anything about the boxes' after she was contacted by the FBI https://news.yahoo.com/trump-reportedly-told-aide-she-213137628.html
  14. Trump said: “Brad Raffensperger, the head – who, by the way, last week said I didn’t do anything wrong. He said, ‘That was a negotiation.’ Brad Raffensperger, who I was dealing with, I appreciate that he said that. But he said last week, I didn’t do anything wrong.” ???? https://edition.cnn.com/2023/09/17/politics/fact-check-donald-trump/index.html
  15. Actually, other polls were showing a slight advantage for Biden in June, so no pro-Biden bias from YouGov. Anyway I am not sure to understand the point you are trying to make. My point is that Biden and Trump are more or less tied in polls, with a slight increase for Trump recently (but not really statistically significant). So the YouGov polls are similar to the others within the usual margin of error ( ex the Times poll which is not a YouGov poll). Nor better nor worse. NB In order to get a broader overview, it is better to have a look at what aggregators are showing, such as this one: https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls#google_vignette
  16. The YouGov poll you linked (showing the 41% vs 41% you mentioned,) is from 15 June. I wrote "recent posts". I cannot read the other link
  17. It will surely be remembered as a period of history during which baseless conspiracy theories have flourished....
  18. And? It's within the margin of error of what other polls are showing. For example, the aggregation of different polls shows: 43.7% for Biden 44.1% for Trump 0.4% difference between the two, which has a low statistical significance https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls#google_vignette Edit. What is your source? It seems there is no recent YouGov poll with the results you mentioned
  19. Your reply confirms what I wrote in my post.
  20. It seems you have no idea of how polling organisations are working and/or you don't like the result so you criticize it. These organisations have long-tested procedures to ensure that results are reliable (at the time they conduct the survey). Of course, inside a margin of error they calculate and indicate. Two hints for you: - In the document linked by JonnyF, they have calculated the weighted sample, it means they have corrected the weight of the different categories to make sure it reflects the composition of the UK population. So no "chose the demographics" B.S. - as concerns YouGov, they have used the same methodology over several years, and they were showing a stronger support for Brexit at different periods of time. So when they were showing stronger support for Brexit, they were also wrong? https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2023/07/18/britons-would-vote-rejoin-eu
  21. Lucky for UK that the EU is not its first trade partner, so it wouldn't be affected by a crisis in Germany and/or in the EU! Oh wait a minute... ????
  22. It seems that right-wing media are also starting to find Trump embarrassing. No headline about the interview on the Washington Examiner website, and a rather critical article with a small headline on the NYPost website: Legal experts that have been publicly critical of Trump pounced on that segment of the wide-ranging interview. “Trump just threw his whole ‘following my lawyers’ advice’ defense under the bus. No, let me correct that: — not just under the bus but under a roaring, speeding, ginormous freight train . . . .,” Harvard University professor emeritus Laurence Tribe posted on X, formerly Twitter. “And here is where Trump loses his defense that he relied on his lawyers,” attorney and former Rep. Barbara Comstock (R-Va.) said. https://nypost.com/2023/09/17/trump-it-was-my-decision-to-believe-2020-election-was-rigged/
  23. Former President Donald Trump delivered a laundry list of his familiar election lies and other false claims – plus some new falsehoods on subjects ranging from abortion laws to his policy on dealing with drug cartels – in an interview that aired Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press.” https://edition.cnn.com/2023/09/17/politics/fact-check-donald-trump/index.html
  24. What is so difficult for you to understand? The ONS changed the calculation method by applying the SUT framework. The previous numbers were initially calculated with the "old" method (as well as GDP numbers from other G7 countries to which UK GDP growth was compared). Applying the SUT framework leads to increased GDP numbers. Other countries have not implemented this framework as UK did (it's time-consuming and requires significant resources). When other countries will apply it fully, it is likely that their GDP numbers will be also be increased, and that the gap between UK and other G7 or the Eurozone will remain at a similar level. Explanations about the new calculation method here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/articles/impactofbluebook2023changesongrossdomesticproduct/2023-09-01
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