candide

Exactly. It's only based on the most reliable data at this point of time, and may be revised later. BTW same as the estimate of negative growth in Q1 for Germany.

Ok. However, you where all cheering about the IMF forecasting 0.4% GDP growth for UK in 2023. So if the IMF forecast is moot for other countries, it's also moot for UK, right? In addition, if we cannot talk about future growth, we can still talk about past growth. The latest Q1 figures have been released not only for Germany, but also for UK. So on 12 May, the ONS claimed that: "The level of quarterly GDP in Quarter 1 2023 is now 0.5% below its pre-coronavirus (COVID-19) level (Quarter 4 2019)." https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/januarytomarch2023

Ok. So let's say that given the fact that his associates have already been convicted for the same case, there is a significant probability he may be convicted too. Additionally, given the fact that he asked for a pardon, he was himself estimating that there was a significant probability he could have been convicted in the previous trial.

Ooops! Now corrected, thanks!

Read the report. Only Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan remain supportive of Russia.

Germany switched from 60% Russian gas dependence to zero. Few people thought they could make it, including Putin. Unfortunately there is a price to pay for that. Hats off to Germany!

Brexited UK has exceeded pre-pandemic level.... for immigration! ????

Priceless. A MAGA fan trying to defend someone who scammed MAGA fans! ???? The only reason he's not already convicted is that Trump pardoned him. His associates have already been convicted for the same case.

Your assessment is biased because you only make a comparison with the worst case. According to the same IMF you now seem to trust, UK 2023 growth forecast is below all other G7 countries except Germany. And the "failing" EU is also doing better than UK (Eurozone 0.8% growth forecast).

It depends how votes are geographically distributed.

So easy that you are not able to explain how previous ONS estimates could be more reliable than more recent ONS estimates....

An estimate of past growth is partly based on verified data. It's an estimate because the verified data set is not yet complete, so the other part is estimated. It's the latest estimate, which means there is no other more reliable estimate. The FT article your refer to was based on ONS estimates made one month before.

That's the correct scientific attitude. That's why It's important to get the latest estimate as it includes a higher share of confirmed data. The next estimate next month will be even more reliable.

Which is outdated (from 13 April) as the ONS has now more recent data (12 May). According to the ONS report on 12 May (quote): "The first quarterly estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) shows that the economy increased by 0.1% in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2023 (Figure 1). This follows growth of 0.1% in the previous quarter. The level of quarterly GDP in Quarter 1 2023 is now 0.5% below its pre-coronavirus (COVID-19) level (Quarter 4 2019). https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/januarytomarch2023

It's not good for any country with a significant trade with Germany, including UK. Germany is UK's second trade partner (measured by country). And if it affects the whole EU as you seem to rejoice about, it will also affect UK (EU=42% of UK exports).

Not much according to the latest figures from the ONS (12 May) Quote: "The first quarterly estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) shows that the economy increased by 0.1% in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2023 (Figure 1). This follows growth of 0.1% in the previous quarter. The level of quarterly GDP in Quarter 1 2023 is now 0.5% below its pre-coronavirus (COVID-19) level (Quarter 4 2019). https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/januarytomarch2023

So Florida universities and their faculty must be very good and efficient then. I wonder why DeSantis is attacking them and wants to change a system which works very well.

There was no previous experience about the process of leaving. Howrver, there was a clear knowledge about possible options from previous trade agreements with other countries (Norway, Turkey, Canada etc...) and there was also a clear knowledge about the principles and concerns of the EU, as UK participated in previous negotiations as EU member state. UK was not treated in an unexpected way, and was not treated worse than other third countries which negotiated an agreement with the EU.

There is no straight pride because straight people don't feel the need for it, as they are not facing any problem in society for being straight. There is an LGBT pride for two main reasons: - they celebrate their recent (more or less) equal rights, - they protest for full equal rights in an untertaining way, because they are still facing problems. The OP is a very good example: no one is threatening Target employees for selling clothes and other items for straight people.

Your link uses outdated data. The ONS report uses the latest data as it has been released one month later.

Can't you read what I posted? According to the latest results (Q3 data released on 12 May, not forecast): "The level of quarterly GDP in Quarter 1 2023 is now 0.5% below its pre-coronavirus (COVID-19) level"

The ONS report was published on May 12th. Release date:12 May 2023 Have you noticed this on the FT article? Valentina Romei in London APRIL 13 2023

Hmmmm... The latest 2023 Q1 report by the ONS (released 12 Mai, so more up-to-date data than the article you linked) "The first quarterly estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) shows that the economy increased by 0.1% in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2023 (Figure 1). This follows growth of 0.1% in the previous quarter. The level of quarterly GDP in Quarter 1 2023 is now 0.5% below its pre-coronavirus (COVID-19) level (Quarter 4 2019)." https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/januarytomarch2023

When other G7 countries have recovered pre-pandemic level at latest last year and UK still won't reach this level at the end of 2023, it strongly suggests there is a negative impact of Brexit. "Project fear" confirmed so far.

Barely avoiding recession with a predicted GDP growth of 0.4% is not "rosy". It won't even allow UK to reach pre-pandemic level at the end of 2023. About your second claim, well, It's always the fault of others....