https://www.yahoo.com/news/nate-silver-says-election-now-210456734.html
Harris now leads Trump with 45.5% of the expected vote, compared to Trump’s 44.1%.
According to Silver’s calculations, Harris now has 50.5% chance to win the general election, compared to Trump’s 48.8%. Harris also now has a 65.9% chance to win the popular vote—but the predicted elector share remains close, with the vice president only beating Trump by about 18 votes in the Electoral College.