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swissie

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Everything posted by swissie

  1. For the last 40 years, I have tried to seperate "technical corrections" versus a "veritable trend change". I used all technical/fundamental indicators including the wisdom of a Romanian Cairvoiant Gipsy Lady. Age 102. Useless. I still can't seperate a "technical correction" from a "change of trend". Not after 40 years. 😂
  2. Simon has been a "world traveller", always with his HAM operational gear. His former posts suggest that he loved S/E Asia very much. But as time changes so fast, he may have found out that Myanmar has changed very little compared to other countries that he called "home" before. An endless civil war does not allow for fast changes. Myanmar may well be the last refuge for Farangs that do not feel at home in their former "home" in S/E Asia. Maybe not a bad choice as a Farang getting old. As "old age" is respected much in Myanmar still. Very much opposed to other S/E Asian countries, where hospitals ask about their "Farang Health Insurance" coverage first.
  3. Not to forget: Mainland China is making major efforts to catch-up with the Taiwanese chip industry and with "Silicone Valley" for that matter. Give it 5 years and Mainland China will not need the Taiwanese chip industry nor Nvidia. Then turning their attention to the Taiwan problem. By then they will also have reached a military equiliblium compared to the US. A peaceful overtaking of Taiwan will be extremely beneficial for your Chinese shares. Considering all this, your chances of quadrupling your money is quite good. UNLESS SOMETHING GOES WRONG, beyond the plans of mice and men.
  4. Also P/E Rato for Chines shares are low. I would just love to invest in Chinese shares. Why I am not doing it? In case of a military confrontation with regard to Taiwan, there is no telling what would happen to Chinese shares.
  5. No matter where US citizens live, they remaim married: To the IRS. Thai Banks fearing that the new administration will impose an "automatic reporting system" to the IRS for every US citizen living outside the US. Fearing that they would not be able to comply 100%. Thus fearing "repercussions" from the US, hampering their international banking activities.
  6. I like to take a look at worldwide P/E Ratios from time to time. The differences are massive. For example: S&P 500 = 27 Germany = 15 Brezil = 9 One would think that the US is the only game in town concering future growth. The rest is eighter "yawn" or "garbage" (Brezil). After a 2 year bull market in the US (P/E 27) a lot of future growth is priced in. Some global "re-adjustments" may take place soon. source: worldperatio.com
  7. Here we go again (once more). Not long ago, most financial analyst found that Gold can only go one way = up! Only disagreeing how much "up" it would be. Only confirming an old rule: If everybody including his Uncle have joined the bandwagon, it's time to leave the party. Lo and behold, Gold has "corrected" significantly since. It remains to be seen if Gold has only "corrected" or turned into "sleep-mode" that can last for years. It has happened before. NOTE: Currently most analysts have concludet, that the US markets have only one way to go: UP ! I am getting increasingly nervous, especially as my Uncle bought some US tech-shares lately.
  8. Great guitar players come a dime a dozend. As such they admired each other, knowing well that their talent to write good songs were basically non existant. Without the talent to write songs one can only remain as a" good craftsman". Hendrickes "Hey Joe" is the only thing that will remain of his efforts. Becks efforts have been long forgotten as they were without significance. Just a good guitar "craftsman".
  9. Indeed, Conrad was not his real name. A "pen name". Other pen names: Gutenberg. His real name "Gansfleisch" = Goose meat. Elon Musk? His real name is: Octavius Mercantilius Muskrat. 😊
  10. Thank God, the Ukraine has an endless supply of young and willing soldiers. Dwarfing Russian human resources. 😂
  11. Everything seems to fall into place as I predicted. Best case: The Ukraine will "give" the eastern Ukraine to the Russians, cementing it by a "demarcation" line like we have it in Korea. That would be the best case for the Ukraine. But why would Putin agree to such an agreement, especially as he is winning this war. Donald is not going to make any difference.
  12. Amazing, we always hear about the horrible losses of the Russian army. Whereas Ukrainian losses are never publisised. How is it possible, that the Ukrainian army has no losses, but still losing the war?
  13. At this point, it is unknown who will win the election. But one thing is for sure: Under both candidates the Federal Budget Deficit will increase some more. For the first time in American history, just to service the dept will cost more than the defence budget. Food for thaught. Cheers.
  14. At this point, it is unknown who will win the election. But one thing is for sure: Under both candidates the Federal Budget Deficit will increase some more. For the first time in American history, just to service the dept will cost more than the defence budget. Food for thaught. Cheers.
  15. You may have a point here. In the US as well as in western Europe, parlamentary decisions were always in favor of the political/financial Elite for the last 20 years. (Don't hurt the financial Elite). While "the working class" is satisfied to defend their meager pay increases over the last 20 years. The "little people" find it increasingly disturbing, why the "rich" are getting richer and they themselves are getting nowhere. Maybe, what's happening in the US is just a harbinger of things to come in the rest of "the western world".
  16. Abortion? Financially underpriviledged women (the "Husband" has disappeared), must now travel to a state where abortion is still possible. Often depriving them of their last financial means. Long live "American State Laws".
  17. Mainly that Trump wants to "detach" the US from Europe. Since 1492 (Columbus) America and Europe were a political/economical powerhouse. Making civilisation possible. Now, Donald wants to make friends with other potentates, west of California. His preferrance to Autokratic Regimes is well documented. Always west of California: China, North Korea, Russia. Never East, as there are western democracies that oppose a "New Cesar" having started out as a well furished real-estate developper. No wonder, that Donald doesn't like the european concept of democracy.
  18. Thank God you have found out that only Democrats produce "fake news". Donald is above "fake news". Every word he says is "gospel". (Of course, as he is the Messias). Welcome to the "sect". Formerly known as the Republican Party.
  19. How long will you be a respected Republican party member if you oppose some of Donald's views?
  20. Donald has turened the Republican Party into a "sect". Him the "Messias", the high priest. As the Messias, he will not care much about any "platforms".
  21. The 2 stratetic errors of the Democrats. a) Accross party lines, most Americans want some sort of "Deportations" of illegals. (Kamala has not joined this bandwagon). b) There is a number of white voters that will never vote for a black female for president. Under no circumstances. Those missing 1 to 2 % will prevent Kamala from becoming president. 2 stratetic errors of epic proportions.
  22. Thanks. I use windows 11. I am a user. I always thought that the only "administrators" sit in Silicone Valley or Coppertino. Honestly, to high for me. Scary, what one must do to re-establish control over ones computer. Appearantly, no big deal for Internet users. No outrage! "Eat what Bill Gates serves you for dinner" and be happy that Bill allowes you to be part of his universe.
  23. Maybe this will help to find the culprit. Browser is Mozilla Firefox. VPN is Nord VPN. Adblocker is Adblock.
  24. Never mind the outcome of the US elections. The very fact that half of American voters are willing to vote for Donald is cause enough to be alarmed. The rest of the "western world" simply doesn't understand this phenomen. Every empire must decline. Is it so, that half of Americans want to stem the decline, by voting some modern day "Wizard of Oz" into office, to make America great again. Him not having any concrete and valuable plans as to how to achieve this? Is Donald's success based on "desperation"?
  25. Appearantly, I have lost control over my laptop. On websites, I want to apply my own settings. By the next startup, standart settings are back in place. My settings were simply ignored. Has this something to do with the the latest Microsoft update? Or is my VPN or Ad Blocker the culprit? Also: Writing an e-mail via Hotmail is ridiculus, always some "text recommendations" and other unwanted "recommendations" pop up while trying to type. On SKYPE I receive "required translations" although I never ever required any translations. I can't believe that I am the only one affected by such things. What's going on? At any rate, I feel that I have lost control over my computer.
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