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shdmn
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Posts posted by shdmn
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16 minutes ago, Patong2021 said:One would be foolish to become over excited at the polling data. Yes, it it is good news for the Democrats as it suggests that Democrats are firming up their support and retaining the coalition who elected Biden. That's all. There is no overwhelming movement to Harris and no epiphany amongst Trump supporters. The core Trump voters will not change their votes. Trump will continue to poll 43.5% to 44.5% and Harris will poll 44.5% to 45.5% until election day, unless there is a critical event. The goal for the Democrats is that they must get their supporters to vote in the swing states. Absolute numbers mean nothing because Trump has absolute majority in some states, just as Harris has absolute majorities in other states.
Get excited when the Harris poll lead exceeds 4%, otherwise it will remain a nail biter until the bitter end.
The polls are largely meaningless. They are almost always designed to make it seem like a close horserace because that is what the media wants. Nobody would care if the polls said one side was running away with it, although that seems to be the narrative the media wants for the time being. It won't last. I have no illusions about that.
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Looking forward to the convicted felon and world's biggest loser whine again how the election was stolen.
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Being a world class loser himself, the 5 deferment convicted felon, who called military veterans suckers and losers, would certainly know.
https://www.independent.co.uk/tv/us-news/trump-veterans-suckers-losers-b2594431.html
QuoteKelly also described Trump as a person who has no respect for POWs as he thinks they are ’suckers’ because there is nothing in it for them.
He added, Trump did not want to be seen in the presence of military amputees because it didn’t look good for him.
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14 hours ago, Caldera said:
Immigration will link your passports in your profile.
If you obtain your new passport within Thailand, that happens when you transfer your entry stamp from your old passport to your new passport.
If you obtain your new passport outside Thailand, that happens when you enter Thailand the first time with your new passport. Make sure to also bring your old passport along when you show your eVisa that has your old passport number on it.
Any idea how long it takes to get that done at immigration and what the cost may be? Is it a half-day ordeal like trying to extend at Jomtien Immigration or is it usually a separate line where I don't have to go through that same queue? Also wondering if they are going to ask for all my freelancer proof documents again and another bank statement proving 500k baht.
I will NOT be getting my new passport in Thailand or anywhere else besides my home country. I will be entering Thailand with a new passport and a printout of my DTV eVisa, which will have my old passport number on it.
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https://www.cnn.com/2018/12/26/politics/trump-bone-spurs-vietnam-war/index.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/26/us/politics/trump-vietnam-draft-exemption.html
QuoteNew York Times: Daughters of foot doctor say he diagnosed Trump with bone spurs as ‘favor’ to Fred Trump
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Trump has faced criticism for his medical deferment from the Vietnam War draft, which he attributed to bone spurs in his heels. In 2018, the daughters of the podiatrist who diagnosed the then-22-year-old Trump said that the diagnosis was made as a favor to his father, Fred Trump, according to a New York Times report.
https://www.newsweek.com/jd-vance-confronted-donald-trump-avoiding-service-vietnam-war-1937536
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Asian women are much better long term as you get older. Latin women are best for short term fun. Their hot-bloodedness wears thin over the long term. I could never imagine living with one.
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8 minutes ago, MPoll said:
I have a 10 year pensioner LTR visa. My passport was to expire 2 years later. They gave me the LTR visa but only stamped me in until the expiration date of my passport. When I got my new passport I went in to the BOI office and Immigration and they transferred my visa to my new passport and stamped me in for 5 years after the issuance of the LTR. I don’t have to carry my old passport. Immigration transfers visas to new passports every day. You have nothing to worry about.
The stamp is only good for 180 days. What happens when I try come in on the new passport? No 'stamps'. The DTV eVisa is a PDF print out, not a stamp. I am assuming they would give me a 60 day visa waiver on arrival and tell me to go to immigration to get the visa updated and get the proper 180 stamp?
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8 hours ago, Caldera said:
Do you have a visa sticker or an eVisa?
I am talking about the passport number on the eVisa.
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Nothing wierd talking about your daughters in a sexual way. Just locker room talk.
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Several popular figures in the MAGA movement are sounding the alarm about what they see as a weak ground game and campaign.
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7 hours ago, Hanaguma said:Vance served in a war zone.
Vance completed his full enlistment.
Vance was a regular, not a "weekend warrior".
As I have said, Walz server in the Guard honourably. But let down his unit in the end. As a senior NCO, he should have shown more responsibility and less selfishness.
Anything to distract from the convicted felons bone spurs.
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43 minutes ago, cjinchiangrai said:
SusanLea Probably a bot but maybe just a Russian troll.
Must be considering their post frequency. Thousands in just a few months. Even the most rabid knucklehead in a meat suit is not going to be posting that much.
There are also troll/click farms. You can pay those outfits to get your click rate up, either directly or to post controversial opinions to rile people up and increase click/post counts that way. I saw a news story where they busted one of these places recently. It was a small room with hundreds of smartphones connected, giving one person the ability to look like hundreds.
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In that thread talking about the right wing UK mobs attacking police and immigrants, I would say most of the accounts supporting them are Chinese/Russian bots and troll farms trying to rile people up. Immigration is their favorite subject.
The more important question is what are the people who run this site planning to do about it?
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10 hours ago, Geir Rasch said:
You sure mix left and right. Mussolini was a fascist. Look up the word fascism: An extrem right wing politic!
You are trying to argue facts and reason with a bot or troll that makes like a hundred posts a day on here and has zero interest in that. You are better off just adding them to your ignore list. This whole site seems to be overrun with them.
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8 hours ago, HappyExpat57 said:
"Dementia is the loss of cognitive functioning — thinking, remembering, and reasoning — to such an extent that it interferes with a person's daily life and activities."
The convicted felon/serial sex offender/fraudster recently told a story how he and the former mayor of San Francisco, while together in a helicopter, had to make an emergency landing.
THIS NEVER HAPPENED!
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/08/politics/trump-helicopter-story-willie-brown/index.html
If he ever gets the nuclear codes again, mightn't he mistakenly shoot them at a wrong target because his mind has gone?
Will his delusional sycophants ever admit that enough is enough and face the truth - 45's cheese has done slid off his cracker?
Are you suggesting the convicted felon is not qualified or fit for office? All the bots and trolls on here seem to disagree.
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5 minutes ago, Upnotover said:
Presumably they will transfer things to the new passport, like they do already for other things. Although I think they don't currently transfer visas(?), but there again what do they do with "elite" visas, I can't imagine it's going to be a problem, they will surely have thought all this out in advance🤔
I would not just assume they have thought it out. TiT. They come out with new rules and laws all the time without thinking it all out in advance. See new marijuana laws for a recent example.
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The DTV includes the passport number. When I get a new passport in a couple more years the number will be different than what is shown on the DTV. Expired documents are never accepted by immigration so I doubt that showing them the expired passport will be the solution. I would rather not have to carry around my expired passport anyways.
I suspect I would have to go into immigration to sort it out. Has anyone heard anything about this from official sources? It will be something a lot of people will have to deal with on a 5 year visa.
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Apparently, wierdo runnmates of convicted felons are not popular.
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Republicans are reeling from Trump’s undisciplined approach to the opening stages of his race against Harris.
Donald Trump spent Monday morning labeling the turmoil in the global financial markets the “Kamala Crash,” giving Republicans hope that he might turn his focus to an economic message.
It didn’t last. By midday, the former president was already back to re-litigating his controversial appearance in Chicago last week, where he questioned Kamala Harris’ Black identity and suggested a major network journalist should be fired — “I didn’t know who she was, she was nasty,” he told a livestreamer.
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/05/republicans-cringe-trump-harris-attacks-00172724
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JD Vance in full drag while attending Yale Law School
in Political Soapbox
Posted
The guy is not very bright.