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Blumpie

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Posts posted by Blumpie

  1. 18 minutes ago, JensenZ said:

    But they need to have customers to make it possible to open and start paying the bills. Once the cycle is broken it might never recover. How does a major hotel like the Hilton get to reopen? They need a lot of customers to break even - how do you get the ball rolling again? Apart from what they have lost already, they will need to run at a loss for a long time in the hope of becoming profitable again and when that happens is anyone's guess.

     

    Thailand's tourism business has not been badly affected. It has been destroyed. Saying it has been badly affected is assuming it still exists. It does not and it's the same in most countries.

     

     

     

     

    Oh I believe you, and to say that it isn't coming back anytime soon is the understatement of the century.  Again, unless a viable treatment option becomes widely available.  Seven billion people on the planet?  The widely part will take a long time.  

     

    Someone somewhere is throwing around news stories about how tourist numbers will be back in the fall.  That's so that people don't go crazy and freak out right now.  Kind of how they slowly locked the world down, instead of quickly doing it.  

  2. 4 minutes ago, Tony125 said:

    Scientists are nearly 100 percent comfortable that it will be developed, and with all the potential vaccines being trialed right now, one will work.  

    That is click-bait news circulating around.  

  3. 4 hours ago, Max69xl said:

    What will you achieve when asking a question like that here at TV? Do you think there are people here with info no one else have?  You'll get hundreds of posts and 99% are just rubbish. 

    Ahmen to this.

    There are a ton of perspectives on this, but the sad fact is that only where countries are going will dictate the outcome.  

    Tourism?  They aren't going to let you out of your country anytime soon.  And I personally guarantee China won't let them out for this kind of rubbish either.  The world's economy is at stake.

    Lots of doomsayers on here too, but remember as soon as there is a plausible treatment for the disease things can and will change very very suddenly.

    No, it will not take 6-8 years for a vaccine.  The entire planet stopped everything, everything! to get this vaccine done.  12-18 months as of 1 month ago, but these guys are being a little pessimistic.  Or not.  We just have to wait and see what occurs in the studies.  

    Thai GDP dependent on tourism they say is 15 percent, with a further 6 percent that feeds off the tourism industry, so what 21 percent drop in GDP?  Things could get bad.

    Let's hope that I"m wrong!   

  4. 1 minute ago, Captain Monday said:

    The loan should be based on a commitment to privatization and reorganization. The only 

    way Thai airways can be beaten into profitability is with professional management, Not with  Squadron Leader Somchai Nakhirandhiphoot as CEO. Even the unthinkable, bringing in a foreigner. As liberal as I am they cannot compete with professional management on the international stage without losing MONEY forever.

    In many closed off countries around the world they are FINALLY getting it and bringing foreigners in.  

    The poor management techniques are quite entrenched.  

  5. 3 hours ago, Swimfan said:

    Exactly. Cant even feed their own people adequately. But have money to poor into what is essentially a bankrupt airline. 

    I hear you!

    The real problem is if all these airlines go into receivership and governments don't bail them out then nobody is flying ever again.  It's a terrible situation.  

    Lots of businesses have to be bailed out, there is no other way.

    Our ponzi scheme is falling apart.

  6. 2 hours ago, timewilltell said:

    Lure is the perfect word for this place - a shiny thing to attract something by pretending to be wonderful and shiny but in reality a trap that leads to being caught, abused and the bigger you are the more likely to end in death.

    The sad thing is we are never going to be happy.  Going somewhere, doing something different doesn't usually help unless you're married to some horrid thing and get a divorce.  

     

     

  7. 38 minutes ago, lkv said:

    Which is to be expected, then it drops, then you remove another restriction and so on.

     

    In Thailand there will be zero cases once they drop to zero (in a few more days). And they will stay zero until they want to panic the population a bit, bring it back under control, then it will be in double digits.

     

    All they have to do is just test a bit.

    Yes it will always go up, because the curve is flattened now it's time to manage is properly.  

    Life will not be going back to normal until a vaccine is available.  This cannot be over-stated.  

     

  8. 9 hours ago, ChouDoufu said:

     

    just confirmed the hospital is offering covid testing for 230 RMB, about 1000 baht.

     

    and that's a good thing, i guess.  found out today that we here on hainan have a new case, first new case in over six weeks.  63-yo returnee from wuhan, asymptomatic. 

     

    they traced and tested 344 contacts.  closed and disinfected her housing area and a nearby supermarket.  (actually a small shop about the size of a mini-tesco convenience mart)

     

    worrying.  those from wuhan are required to undergo 14 days quarantine, being tested on arrival and again before release, same as with the overseas returnees.

     

     

    That is the worst part - the asymptomatic people.  

    To state that tourism being back in the fourth quarter is as ridiculous as injecting bleach in your veins.  

    The next thing that we need is a standard medical treatment or some drugs that will help with it.  

    Speaking from experience, when you ask for insurance overseas none of it is going to cover COVID.  A vaccine is required for travel.  Once it become available, then it's time to start talking about opening up to tourism and even then it will be a little while.  

  9. 11 hours ago, Burma Bill said:

    Fortunately no, the train was going too slow but because all the carriage windows were wide open (no air conditioning), the overhanging track-side bushes were being "pruned" and we were being showered with leaf and insect debris!

    Ha ha.  I got no sleep on the train, and my train-mate was drinking vodka.  Um no thanks.  Needless to say she got sick.  

    That was one crazy train ride, one I'll never do again.  Hsipaw is nice, but what a trip to get there.  

    • Thanks 1
  10. 5 hours ago, 3NUMBAS said:

    with boeing laying off 7000 who will be building planes ?

     

     

    Planes are parked all over the world right now.  They aren't going anywhere.  

    What we just saw was peak travel.  To get it back to what it was will take a long long time unfortunately.  

    I am sorry to sound so pessimistic but if things don't change with this virus we won't be doing anything anytime soon.  Best bet is it mutates into something relatively harmless to everyone.  Until then... 

     

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