Walker88

Probably true. I fit at least two of those....well off and liberal. I'm younger than most here, I suspect, and only mostly white.

Oh my! I'm going to go out on a limb and guess your economics "knowledge" comes from POTUS' eponymous and failed "university". No other way to explain how you could be both so cocksure and so wrong. Here's some homework for you....look up "stagflation". Or go take a look at Mugabe's Zimbabwe as its currency crashed and import prices soared. People stopped spending, but inflation was a bazillion percent.

I think the economic knowledge of those "lefties" dwarfs your Dunning-Kreuger economic knowledge. Why, it only took a few minutes for one of those "lefties" to point out your error, noting Q1 2024, a year before the clownshow.

Now if POTUS is actually a 4 dimensional chess player, maybe he understands that GDP gets dinged by imports, so since many ports are already bereft of container ships, and store shelves are emptying out, imports might halt completely, and given the way GDP is calculated, POTUS could conceivably squeeze a positive GDP out of the second Quarter. Of course it would be deceptive, and he would take full credit for the "gain", but the economy would be in shambles. Though he's already blamed Biden for the SECOND Quarter negative GDP print, the guy is good at flipflopping, and his faithful can also switch on a dime and buy into whatever fantasy and sham he concocts.

I did not want the market to tank, I just knew it would. I did not want the dollar to tank, I just knew it would. I did not want to economy to tank, I just knew it would. I did not want the US to become the laughing stock of the world, I just knew it would. Take off the Chinese-made Golden Sneakers, take off the Chinese-made watch, put down the Chinese-printed bible, throw away the NFT cards that portray a fat, old, out of shape guy as a fighter pilot or astronaut, and one could see clearly what is coming. Eyes wide shut and all one sees is fantasy.

Zelenskyy was a comedian, and this might be his best joke yet. The minerals POTUS seeks are in areas currently under Russian control, not Ukraine's.

On 29 January 2024...note 2024...he posted that it was his stock market, "because my polls against Biden are so good that investors are projecting that I will win". Now that he is POTUS and the stock market, dollar and economy are tanking, suddenly it's all Biden again. Weak. MAGAweak.

And his Depression on 31 December, just in time for New Years.

You mean the announcement of a negative GDP and price rise higher than economists expected? No, not dark. Just what I knew would happen. I knew if anyone could take Biden's +2.8% growth and turn it negative within 100 days, it's the guy with 6 bankruptcies. I think Mark Burnett should start a new show, after POTUS is done or impeached....."a fat old man with no job skills and a record of abject failure, takes his resume around to such places as 7-11 or a nail salon or makeup studio, looking for work....hijinx ensue"

Stock market: Down Dollar: Down GDP: Down Inflation: Up Unemployment: Up Yea, he's like the guy who delivers your meal, already full of cockroaches and maggots. Okay if you're in a Russian Gulag, but not particularly good anywhere else.

Some people are proud of meaningful things they have achieved in life. Others, absent anything notable, think they're special because of endless posts, under endless iterations, on an obscure website. Are you going to post your Call of Duty score, too? That should be equally impressive. I bet the "chicks" are weak in the knees seeing what you've done.

Been sharing 30 baht street food with Elon, have you? I wondered how you would know what he thinks.

He can't handle the truth. Amazon should stay with it. Walmart and Target should follow suit. Everybody should know why they are paying more and who is solely responsible. Obviously POTUS wants to hide, probably so he can blame Biden or Obama or Joe Scarborough.

Personally, I'm a bit pedantic. I do my homework, so when someone tosses out nonsense, like "best economy EVAH!", I do things like search data bases and gather information. For example, I found POTUS45 presided over an economy whose growth was in the bottom 30% of all Presidents since the end of WWII---and that BEFORE Covid sent him even lower. I even posted charts from the BEA, a government agency, that should he had the worst economy since Herbert Hoover...again, BEFORE Covid. I often see that folks claim Republicans are better for the economy, so I went and gathered data going back to the beginning of the R Party, and found not a single Repub POTUS has ever NOT presided over the start of a Recession. Not even one. (POTUS47 will keep that record intact, and "skillfully" get it done in his first two Quarters. That level of incompetence is otherwordly.) Democrat POTUSs, however, have a few who never saw a Recession. The same is true for the stock market: traditionally, it performs better under Democrats. My factual posts get the same reaction as a Danish cartoonist who portrays a certain prophet. Cults of any stripe are like that.

Sometimes it's necessary, and Miss Small, our 3rd grade English teacher, is still sitting on our shoulder, especially when people use "would of" instead of "would have". "Of" is a preposition. It does not precede verbs. "Would have + verb" is a conditional perfect tense. The English language is a rich and beautiful means of expression. To butcher it, as one does when using abominations such as "would of", is both an affront to decency and indicative of a poor education.

Not sure why the MAGAs keep posting selfies. Even Hegseth....he's supposed to be this big Alpha male type, but in the shirtless silly-tatt photo, he's hardly got any definition. I guess lifting shot glasses doesn't quite deliver the same benefits as a bench press. Rather than the makeup room the metrosexual installed at the Pentagon, he should have put in a private gym.

Yours is so typical MAGA that I wonder if his eponymous university taught a course in absurdity. He says something stupid. Instantly MAGAs either parse it to explain “what he REALLY meant”, or else claim he is just joking. He repeats the same stupid thing. MAGAs suddenly change to being fully supportive of whatever stupidity he uttered, such as “not ruling out military force to seize Greenland”. Initially most MAGAs actually did think he would end the war in an afternoon, along with bring down egg and other prices. Eggs hit an all time high price this April. Inflation is on the rise. GDP went from +2.8% in Biden’s last Quarter to -.3% in the new guy’s first Quarter. “Nobody could mess things up more than me; some people are saying I’m the worst ever” he should say, but won’t. Instead, he blamed Biden. That he not only knows nothing, but his knee jerk reactions exacerbate existing problems, is lost on the cult.

As I noted in another post, traders trade; advisors advise. Advisors have no skin in the game, and when wrong---which is usually---they say “nobody could have seen this coming”. Traders accept responsibility. We get paid only if we’re right. Advisors can be eternally wrong, but still get paid. You claim to have been an adviser to hedge funds. Maybe, maybe not. I haven’t seen any wisdom coming from you that would suggest to me any hedge fund worth anything would contract you for advice. I doubt you advised the funds with whom I worked. Of course, if you are consistently wrong, maybe we would contact you knowing fading what you say is the path to gains. I had two advisors like that, one worked for Goldman, the other for Morgan Stanley. Whenever I was in doubt, I called them in. Whatever they told me, I tended to fade. Thus, “advisers” can have some value, but generally not the value they intended. As for the fund managers I noted, I had a long business relationship with one of them, and I worked for the other.

Well, fella, you got two things wrong….. I did not predict a 25 year bear market. I predicted that the highs we saw in Dec-Jan will not be topped for 25 years. The difference might be too subtle for you, but I will try to educate you. Japan hit a high of 38,915.87 on 28 Dec 1989. Its bear market lasted until about 2009, around 7000 basis Nikkei, but it wasn’t until 2024 that the Nikkei beat the 1989 high. Get it? As for “only idiots” predict a 25 year bear market, in January of 1990, a kind of famous trader named Paul Tudor Jones predicted the Nikkei would be at least 25 years before breaching its Dec 1989 high. Paul was actually off by 10 years, as it took 35 years. With a net worth above $8 billion, which I’m going to bet tops yours, Paul must be a really lucky idiot. Generational highs occur when there is a perfect storm of negative conditions. Excess exuberance, excessive valuations, and a change in underlying economic fundamentals come together to create tops. Often there is also fraud involved. We certainly have the first three, though fraud tends to be revealed only after the fact. We also have oodles of stupidity in the persona of POTUS, who already changed the economic fundamentals to negative, as the GDP figure showed. He’s good at failure. I get a kick out of the outrage my prediction has caused the MAGAs here. So married to his self-claimed greatness, and so hopeful he can add some value to their lives, that anything that paints him in a negative light affects them deep in their psyche. I might turn out to be wrong---especially if Dems retake the Congress and stop POTUS’ madness---but the reaction I have seen is quite amusing. Thanks for the laughs.

More like a bum gun. VERY useful and cleansing. Back after the election, those opposed to POTUS, myself included, predicted the guy would tank the market, tank the dollar and tank the economy, all while not lowering inflation. Check, check, check and check. It really isn’t any sort of prescience or a Nostradamus impersonation; it’s just knowing how incompetent POTUS is. His fans here chortled at our lack of belief in POTUS’s omniscience, but we were right. 100% right. POTUS took the booming Biden economy and sent it into negative territory in his first 100 days. That’s uncannily bad. He also will keep the Republican record alive of not a single R POTUS NOT presiding over the start of a Recession or worse, going all the way back to the 1860s. So bad is this POTUS, that it will only take him his first 2 quarters to achieve that ignominious record, as the definition of Recession is two straight quarters of negative growth. As his “policies” take hold, Q2 is a guarantee of negative. Also, prices rose more than even economists predicted, which means the other thing anti-MAGAs predicted: Stagflation. So weak is he, the Blame Biden is not at all unexpected. Let’s see….+2.8% growth in Q4 2024, and -.3% decline in Q1 2025…..a person has to be not just dumb, but MAGAdumb to believe it’s Biden’s fault. I suspect POTUS will branch out, spread the blame, and add Fed Chief Powell, maybe Obama, and maybe even Hillary. Of course, if GDP had been up, he’d be taking full credit. To deflect attention from his self-inflicted disaster, look for him to start a war. Maybe he chooses an easy win, as Reagan did with Grenada. That would put Panama in the crosshairs. I think he might choose to attack Iran, figuring it might galvanize the country behind him. It won’t. It will only make things worse, as Iran will be aided by China, and also sink ships in the Strait of Hormuz, sending the price of oil to $100 a barrel or higher and over $5/gallon at the pump. Iran using Chinese weapons will sink US carriers. Of course, he'll blame Biden for that mayhem, too. Elsewhere, I have said the stock market will not see a new high for 25 years. Some MAGAs don’t seem to understand what that means, as they think it means a 25 year bear market. No, it just means no new highs for 25 years. The bear market might end in a decade or less, especially if Dems retake both houses of Congress in 2026 and the White House in 2028. Dems always have to clean up Republican messes. Clinton did, Obama did and Biden did, as each inherited a Recession. To add some historical perspective, Japan peaked at 38,915.87 on 28 December 1989. It’s bear market lasted until around 2009, hitting a low of 7000 basis Nikkei. It began a recovery at that point, but did not set a new high for another 16 years, or 35 years from its 1989 peak.

Not once have you pointed out anything wrong in my post, which would have been difficult, as you claimed you did not read it. In fact, I even beat those dastardly socialist lefties at the Wall Street Journal, who used "blink" instead of my "caved" to note how badly Harry Frazee POTUS has done his "dealmaking". And I did not just make $30 million. But I'd hate to make you feel more inadequate than you already do. Was I lucky? Maybe. The money spends just as well. You advised hedge funds? Traders trade; those who cannot trade "advise". I bet Paul Jones and George Soros held their breath waiting for your wisdom. (I know both of them through work, and I'll go out on a limb and say they did not seek out your thoughts.) I used to have a few favorite analysts. Whenever I was unsure of a trade, I would call them into the office and listen to what they had to say, and then fade them, as they were incredibly consistent in their lack of prescience. I should have paid them a commission, so consistently bad were they.

Starting in with your Nazi drivel again, eh? Not very transparent. Not my place to say, but didn't you get suspended a few days for tossing out your Nazi meme?

Obviously folks should be asking the guy who made a whole 5000 baht in a single day trading, and was so proud he boasted about it on this Forum....albeit under one of his many earlier iterations. That level of trading prowess is an inspiration to us all. That being said, I stand by my view, which is NOT a 25 year bear market, but rather 25 years before the major indices see new highs. The bear market will probably end in 2027, maybe somewhere around S&P 3100. At that point Dems will control the House and the Senate, POTUS---if he's still alive, as he is old, senile and woefully out of shape---will have been neutered and will spend his days schlepping meme coins and golden sneakers, and of course cheating at golf incessantly on the Taxpayers' dime. Japan peaked at 38,915.87 on 28 Dec 1989. Its bear market hit a subsequent low of around 7000 Nikkei. That ended the bear market, though it was still a decade and a half from making new highs, which finally occurred 35 years from the day of it's previous high. If you actually had any money after emptying the "manly" pockets of your elephant pants or cargo shorts for your 30 baht street food repast, I'd challenge you to back up the truck and load up on equities.

That is some pretzel logic! The world is ignoring the petulant child in the Oval Office. Even Gavin Newsome has done more negotiating with China about a China-California trade deal. Fed Chief Powell ignored him. Heck, even Harry Frazee is a better dealmaker than POTUS.

It is known that North Korea runs most of its government off crypto its highly skilled hackers have stolen from across the crypto spectrum. How funny would it be, if when the "200 largest investors" in POTUS meme coin, half the crowd is made up of North Koreans, and that in a place POTUS is known to mishandle highly classified information. Even The Onion couldn't make up a more absurd scenario than POTUS' latest self-dealing corruption.