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Mr. Zelensky’s approval ratings have risen, according to two recent polls, and his political opponents have said publicly that now is not the time for elections. Suggestions by political opponents and some analysts that Mr. Zelensky should share power and form a coalition government — a Ukrainian team of rivals — have not gained traction. And even if critics haven’t exactly rallied around the president, they haven’t outright attacked him. https://archive.ph/zqpnM#selection-943.0-943.442 Trump works his electoral magic again!

Traders place record bet on rising Japanese yen, eyeing further rate hikes Speculators have mounted their biggest ever wager that the Japanese yen will continue to rise as they position for further Bank of Japan interest rate hikes, an abrupt reversal from huge bets against the currency last year. The yen has strengthened by 4% this year as stronger inflation data has pointed to more rate hikes, calling into question the once hugely popular yen carry trade, which drove investors to position heavily against the currency over the last two years. Net long positions in yen futures among non-commercial traders - such as hedge funds and other speculators - soared to 96,000 contracts in the week ended February 25. https://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/traders-place-record-bet-rising-japanese-yen-eyeing-further-rate-hikes-2025-03-03/

What in that chart contradicts what I wrote?

Not surprising to read slurs based on nationality coming from you. As a matter of fact, the Japanese yen has been rising for the last 2 months or so. And the fact that the yen has been falling for a very long time and is now rising maybe should tell you something.

That's an anonymous quote from Woodward's book about the Bush administration's conduct of the Iraq war. Supposedly it came from Karl Rove. And the usual consequences of overweening hubris ensued.

Another stupid evidence - free allegation about a member's nationality. As for how Europeans are going to feel about when the Americans leave?. Pretty stupid for having ever trusted America. Just like so many private parties feel about having put their trust in Trump's keeping his word when it comes to contracts.

China doesn't allow the yuan to float freely. So no rational person is going to park their money there.

Quantum Strategy’s David Roche said “NATO is dead” as the US distances itself from European allies and warms up to Russia. That makes Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping the big winners and the US the “big loser,” he added, with Japan’s yen displacing the dollar as the world’s safe haven currency. An American promise is looking more doubtful as the US upends traditional geopolitics, with repercussions in global financial markets, according to Quantum Strategy’s David Roche. https://fortune.com/2025/03/09/us-treaty-nato-ukraine-russia-trump-japan-yen-safe-haven-dedollarization/ There's also the fact that Trump is violating a trade agreement, the USMCA, the impetus for which he himself initiated and then signed onto.

No respectable educational institute would offer courses that support your methodology. Those 19 year olds must have taken those courses at Trump University.

You're confused. It's true that I wanted Hillary in 2016 and Harris in 2024 to win. But I made no predictions. But of course you have the advantage of me. After all, even when your candidate loses, you claim he won.

You're the one who offered polls as evidence. If you don't believe in them, why offer them?

So bizarre. You arbitrarily chose a low point for Trump from more than a year ago and compared that to this year's polls running to Mar 6. That's called cherry picking. What I did was to try and control for variables as much as possible. Which means choosing statistics that have as few variables difference as possible. That's the opposite of of cherry-picking. That's why I choose the RCP average for the same stretch of time in Trump's 2 terms. And you don't seem to have a clue about the significance of trends. Trump is doing significantly worse already according to the RCP averaging than he was doing just 6 weeks ago. And once again with the fake statistic. You've got nothing.

Not a very high IQ take on the facts of the case. First off, you chose a period ending Jan 19, for Trump's first term. Given that today's date is Mar 9, 2025, why did you choose that time period? (Not that you even specified what year that figure is for. I'll give you the benefit of the doubt and assume it was for 2017) Today's date is Mar 9, 2025. The last poll taken this year was on Mar 7. So I compared RCP's polling average of Mar 7 of 2017 to Mar 7 of 2025. And the difference between the respective margins is 6%. Apparently, you believe that 6% difference means Trump is "hugely popular" compared to where he was at this stage during his first term.

The usual blather from you. You cite a made up statistic and don't engage with the facts raised.

Both knowledge and ignorance are no respecter of national borders. What's more, given that members of aseannow.com are anonymous, their claims of nationality are impossible to prove or disprove.

Here is where Trump's popularity stood on Mar 7, 2017 https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating-1st-term Here's the up to date chart: So, if you subtract 1.4 percent from his starting popularity margin of 8.5% on jan 21, 2025, there has been a decline of 7.1% over 6 weeks. And this is your idea of good news for Trump? The trend line doesn't exactly look promising for him.

More right-wing nonsense. Very few illegals. And the amount of fentanyl coming from Canada is exiguous. As for unequal trade, Trump should blame the incompetent who negotiated the trade agreement that was the successor to NAFTA. Who was that person?

Most Canadians disagree with you.. and that includes even the head of the Canadian conservatives who is pretty far to the right.

Army Corps knew Trump order would waste California water, memo shows Army Corps of Engineers colonel responsible for releasing water from two California reservoirs at President Donald Trump’s direction in January knew that it was unlikely to reach the southern part of the state as Trump had promised, according to a memo obtained by the Washington Post. The agency carried out Trump’s directive, which came in the wake of catastrophic wildfires in Los Angeles County, on short notice on Jan. 30, though it would normally require days to coordinate. A memo written four days after the release, obtained by the Post through a public records request, shows how federal officials rushed ahead with the plan to release irrigation water despite objections from the state’s elected officials and some local farmers. https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2025/mar/07/army-corps-knew-trump-order-would-waste-california/

Actually, China has less than a trillion dollars in treasury securities.

He's also giving businesses the heebie jeebies. Such whipsawing makes it impossible for them to plan for the future. And it's certainly not going to give them confidence to trust that Trump won't continue in the same vein. The fact is, the Canadians and Mexicans called his bluff and he folded. It has also torpedoed consumer confidence which has cratered since he took office. And in the case of Canada the border issue is ridiculous.

A month ago, President Trump announced that he would impose sweeping tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico before reaching a last-minute deal to delay them for 30 days. This week, after markets revolted when the tariffs were put in place, Mr. Trump watered them down with a monthlong reprieve for automakers. And then on Thursday, he opened up even broader exemptions for many other products that are imported from America’s neighbors to the north and south after intense lobbying from business groups that warned of rising prices. https://archive.ph/UGUbK

Trump said "Jump" and the Canadians complied. Well, kind of. They pounced on him.

Private sector job creation slowed to a crawl in February, fueling concerns of an economic slowdown, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Companies added just 77,000 new workers for the month, well off the upwardly revised 186,000 in January and below the 148,000 Dow Jones consensus estimate, according to seasonally adjusted figures from ADP. The total was the smallest increase since July and comes at a time when worries are rising that economic growth is slowing and worries brew that President Donald Trump’s tariff plans will spark another round of inflation. https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/private-employers-added-just-77000-jobs-february-far-expectations-adp-rcna194888

Not surprised you believe that.