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  1. This is called the wormhole theory of inflation. Cause is at one end, and effect at the other. And in between, nothing. In this case over a decade. It offers no rational explanation of why it takes so long for inflation to appear in items consumed most. It's obvious why there is inflation in stock prices and other financial products. As the rich have increasingly aggrandized wealth, there are less places to park their money. So real estate, objets d'art and similar stuff zooms up in price as well. It doesn't have much relevance for the 99+ percent. As for commodity prices, why pork? Why not eggs? They're far more widely used in food production than pork How's the price of iron ore doing? As for lumber, which you cited, it had a brief peak and then a collapsed. Oil prices are determined largely by a loose cartel which exerts strong pressure on production when the economy is strong. And why did you cite the CPI at all as minimizing inflation if you're now claiming that there's a long delay before it shows inflation? I see you have no answer for what the billion prices project showed. All you've done is cherry pick. And ignore current events. Not a rational way to ascertain inflation.
  2. Thanks for the rocket. Thaivisa.com might just as well put a notice on my posts saying that I don't have a life.
  3. Just because you name specific "causes" that doesn't make it so. I remember when quantitative easing was instituted, and your fellow travelers predicted massive inflation. That was over 10 years ago. As they did for the consequences of big government deficits in the wake of the economic crash of 2008 to 2010. Where was the inflation.? And as for your nonsense about the CPI, some researchers started an alternative index called the Billion Prices Project and its succesor, Prostats. It was based on prices offered on the Internet for just about anything. Inflation hawks like yourself were sure it would expose the falsity of the CPI. You know how that worked out? http://econbrowser.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/bpp_pricelevel.png http://econbrowser.com/archives/2020/11/a-public-service-announcement-judy-shelton-does-not-believe-in-us-government-statistics As for the jump in prices. As anyone who has been following the actual news knows, there has been huge disruptions in supplies due to Covid. Such as a chip shortage which has resulted in a wide range of supply shortfalls including autos. That's a very large part of the problem.
  4. First off, thanks for the new word I can add to my vokabbuleree. I love that it's just one silbalill. As for the perils posed by gleeking, if it generates aerosols which can be inhaled, as seems likely, then yes, it's can transmit covid. The consensus about dirty surfaces is that they very rarely assist in transmitting the virus. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-00251-4
  5. Are you seriously going to claim that a price of a single commodity is a reliable indicator of the state of the economy? Such nonsense. Commodity prices have always been subject to occasional sharp swings. Your rant is clearly Pavlovian in that would be invokes it for any unfavorable economic news without addressing specific causes.
  6. Actually, it's both li·ter /ˈlēdər/ noun a metric unit of capacity, formerly defined as the volume of one kilogram of water under standard conditions, now equal to 1,000 cubic centimeters (about 1.75 pints). "a liter bottle of wine" https://www.google.com/search?q=liter&oq=liter&aqs=chrome.0.69i59j69i65l3j69i61l2.1242j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 And your claim that "There is no need to do any math: the measurement in milliliters and grams are always the same as I stated before." is still patently ridiculous. People in glass houses shouldn't throw stones at brick ones.
  7. They tested for antibodies. Not T-cell immunity. The article is very misleading.
  8. And there is some guesswork involved about what the prevalent strain will be. This year they got it wrong as far as preventing infection goes. But it should still work well against serious illness. Flu vaccines don't match the main circulating flu virus strain, researchers find "One of the main circulating influenza viruses has changed and the current flu vaccines don't match it well any more -- an indication they may not do much to prevent infection, researchers reported Thursday. But they are still likely to prevent severe illness. "From our lab-based studies it looks like a major mismatch," Scott Hensley, a professor of microbiology at the University of Pennsylvania who led the study, told CNN." https://edition.cnn.com/2021/12/16/health/flu-vaccine-mismatch/index.html
  9. What you fail to grasp is that VAERS stands for Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System. Not the Vaccine Adverse Effect Reporting System. Here's an explanation from the CDC: "VAERS accepts reports of adverse events and reactions that occur following vaccination. Healthcare providers, vaccine manufacturers, and the public can submit reports to the system. While very important in monitoring vaccine safety, VAERS reports alone cannot be used to determine if a vaccine caused or contributed to an adverse event or illness. The reports may contain information that is incomplete, inaccurate, coincidental, or unverifiable. In large part, reports to VAERS are voluntary, which means they are subject to biases." https://vaers.hhs.gov/data.html
  10. To take last things first, that's a report about antibody response. What we have consistently seen with coronavac is that it does far less well against transmission and mild symptoms but far better against serious illness and death. So far as I can tell, there have been no studies done about how well it perfroms against serious illness and death from Omicron. Although, it may be that Omicron doesn't pose much of a threat of serious illlness or death compared to previous variants. And what you didn't note is that my comment was a reply to someone who posted this: "I wonder who said the best vaccine is the one that is available now when all we had was Sinovac???" Do you that post is making a valid point?
  11. That's always a convincing refutation: one's personal feeling. I guess you think that's some kind of argument in support of the falsehoods you proposed?
  12. I don't know. I haven't read anything about the bill. Are you going to pretend that you have?
  13. It would be hilarious if that were true. You got a source for that? What it does call subsidies partially compensating industries and citizens for their fossil fuel consumption.
  14. Really? You got some evidence that it's "mast all tax deductions related to cost of production and government contracts?
  15. It's a very small study but still cause for optimism.
  16. No, they're not and who said they were all supposed to be going to big oil. Don't you have anything better to offer than this class of tripe? And worldwide, the fossil fuel industries is subsided to the tune of about 6% of global GDP. As for subsidies for EV's and related projects, there may be subsidies but they don't indemnify these projects against financial failure. And Tesla, for example, is now so successful that it is no longer eligible for those subsidies.
  17. You don't seem to understand that that efficacy (effectiveness actually) is not just one thing. There is effectiveness against transmission, effectiveness against serious illness, and effectiveness against death. In the last 2 categories coronavac has performed very effectively.
  18. Actually, it's farangs who mostly use their hands to wipe the their butt. But, of course, their hands are protected by that impervious armor commonly called "toilet paper".
  19. The C.D.C. significantly lowers its estimate of Omicron’s prevalence nationwide. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimated that the Omicron variant now accounts for roughly 59 percent of all Covid cases in the United States, a significant decrease from the agency’s previous estimate... Last week, the C.D.C. said that Omicron accounted for approximately 73 percent of variants circulating in the United States in the week ending Dec. 18. But in its revision, the agency said the variant accounted for about 23 percent of cases that week. https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/12/28/world/omicron-covid-vaccine-tests#the-cdc-significantly-lowers-its-estimate-of-omicrons-prevalence-nationwide And I fail to understand what corrupt purpose was served by the CDC's overestimate. Do you doubt that Omicron is fast overtaking the Delta variant? Is the human population of the USA biologically distinct from those in Europe? What exactly is your point?
  20. When a politician or some other intellectually corrupt party finds themselves cornered by a criticism, instead of responding to that criticism, they just raise other issues instead. Which is what you've done here. I called you out on your claim that every report to the VAERS system is investigated. I pointed out that given staffing levels at the government agencies, this would be impossible. You responded by raising extraneous issues. Bloviating much? In addition, what makes your reply so particularly inept, is that, on the one hand, you claimed that all those reports to the VAERS were individually investigated. That sounds extremely conscientious on the part of the government. But on the other, you accuse the govt of being corrupt in regards to investigating possible harms. Contradicting yourself much? It seems you just spew out whatever factoids you need at any particular moment without considering the implications of what you invent.
  21. There have been about 1 million reports to VAERS. Do you believe that the FDA/CDC has staff to individually investigate each of them. Given that the CDC specifically says that these reports are unverified?
  22. The misguided indignation in your posts is palpable. Can you point to where in my comment I issued a command? Do you have anything to object to in the substance of my comment? Namely that it is irrational to have one's actions guided by the fear that the consequences of vaccination due to the possibility of long term latent effects given that there is no history of that ever being the case whereas there is a history of viral infections resulting in them?
  23. Whoever it was who said that, I think we can both agree, based on the strength of the evidence, that they got it right. Chilean study shows variations in success of COVID-19 vaccines Chile began one of the world's fastest inoculation campaigns against COVID-19 in December, having now fully vaccinated more than 60% of its population, predominantly with Sinovac's (SVA.O)CoronaVac. That vaccine was 86% effective in preventing hospitalization, 89.7% effective in preventing admission to intensive care units and 86% effective in preventing deaths within the population between February and July, health official Dr Rafael Araos said in a press conference on Tuesday. https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/sinovacs-covid-19-vaccine-585-effective-preventing-illness-chile-real-world-2021-08-03/ Sinovac Shot Controls Covid in Brazil Town After 75% Covered Vaccine prevents 80% symptomatic disease in town of 45,000 Deaths, hospitalizations and cases dropped sharply in Serrana https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/sinovac-shot-controlled-covid-in-brazil-town-after-75-covered
  24. Thanks for sharing with us your lack of understanding of the effectiveness of these vaccines. In the past, the Chinese vaccines have been less effective at stopping transmission but very effective at reducing the incidence of serious illness and death from Covid. No one yet knows how they effective they are against the Omicron variant in regards to serious illness and deaths. The Russian vaccine actually has performed excellently against Covid. Again, not known how it will perform against the Omicron variant. There has just been a study of how well the AZ vaccine performed against the Omicron after a booster. It performed excellently. As have Pfizer and Moderna. By the way, insofar as any vaccine can be assigned a provenance, the Pfizer vaccine was actually the work of Turkish immigrant scientists working in Germany. The name of their company is BioNtech. So, the Pfizer vaccine is not American.
  25. I have no idea what you are on about re: long term effects. I didn't mention the them in my response. The reason they don't call it a drug is simple: it isn't. It's a vaccine. It mobilizes the immune system to respond to diseases. In itself, unlike a drug, a vaccine does not act directly on the pathogen. Moreover, maybe out there is a drug that is prescribed to be taken once every several months. And as for the nonsense about the definition of a vaccine being changed, it was changed because the one it replaced could be construed to mean that vaccines guaranteed immunity. Befor Covid, no one objected that this wasn't the case for HPV or Influenza vaccines. Science marches on. Apparently, ignorance does also.
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