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jerrymahoney

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Everything posted by jerrymahoney

  1. No -- I was only asking you as someone (I believe) with a military background and would know who CENTCOM was -- as opposed it would seem to many on here. Prior wartime CENTCOM commanders were Schwarzkopf and Petraeus who were hardly adverse to publicity. But seems Kurilla and CENTCOM have gone on the QT.
  2. OK this query for you: It is acknowledged that the mission HQ was at CentCom Tampa. FL, under command of General 'Erik' Kurilla. This is the official CENTCOM press release page. Note what is missing between June 24, 2025 U.S. and Qatari Forces Successfully Defend Against Iranian Ballistic Missile Attack on Qatar’s Al-Udeid Air Base June 6, 2025 CENTCOM Supports Partner Forces During Defeat ISIS Operations in Iraq and Syria https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PRESS-RELEASES/ ___________________________ "Operation Midnight Hammer" was known only to a small number of people in Washington and at the U.S. military's headquarters for Middle East operations in Tampa, Florida. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-strikes-against-iran-nuclear-facilities-incredible-overwhelming-success-2025-06-22/
  3. I posted 3 contiguous sentences and the 3rd one really doesn't make sense without the first 2.
  4. From the NYTimes above article: He said, however, that it would be “too much” to assert that Iran’s nuclear program had been “wiped out” after the Israeli and American bombing campaign. Mr. Grossi noted that not all of Iran’s nuclear sites had been struck, and said Iranian officials had told him that they would take “protective measures” for the uranium they had already enriched. Still, he said, the nuclear program has definitely suffered “enormous damage.”
  5. From the above: Q: Sir, you cited a body of credible intelligence to suggest the damage at Fordo and other places. What is that referring to, and when can we see it? SECRETARY OF DEFENSE PETE HEGSETH: I was reading from the CIA director's statement, which came out last night. CIA — again, they do the BDA. They do the assessment. CIA can confirm that a body of credible intelligence indicates — it also goes on to say new intelligence from historically reliable and accurate sources and methods.
  6. NY Times headline this AM: Fate of Iran’s Enriched Uranium Is a Mystery U.S. intelligence agencies had long assessed that, faced with the possibility of an attack on its nuclear facilities, Iran would try to move its stockpile.
  7. So who was in charge of the entire operation? It wasn't Hegseth, Caine, or Rubio.
  8. In the video, Sen. Duckworth says Trump is lying about the movement of uranium pre-strike.
  9. So, there's still hope, yes? Some Israeli officials said they also believed that the Iranian government had maintained small covert enrichment facilities so it could continue its nuclear program in the event of an attack on the larger facilities. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/us/politics/iran-nuclear-sites.html
  10. From the CIA: This includes new intelligence from a historically reliable and accurate source/method ... https://www.cia.gov/stories/story/statement-from-director-john-ratcliffe-about-intelligence-on-irans-nuclear-program/
  11. Trump denies Iranians moved nuclear materials before US strikes 06/25/25 11:13 AM ET President Trump on Wednesday maintained that nuclear materials were not moved prior to U.S. strikes on Iranian facilities, despite an internal preliminary assessment that indicated otherwise. Rafael Mariano Grossi, director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, has said the agency does not know the location of 900 pounds of enriched uranium from the sites. We are making an assumption, which is not speculative or pure speculation, because Iran officially told me, ‘We are going to be taking protective measures, which may or may not include moving around this material,’” Grossi said on Fox News’s “The Story.” https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5368790-trump-iran-nuclear-materials-moved/
  12. From the above linked WhiteHouse report: International Atomic Energy Agency Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi: “Given the explosive payload utilized, and the extreme vibration-sensitive nature of centrifuges, very significant damage is expected to have occurred. __________________________ Iran's Enriched Uranium Is Missing—Nuclear Watchdog IAEA Published Jun 25, 2025 at 9:32 AM EDT There is no information on the location of Iran's enriched uranium following U.S. strikes on the Islamic Republic's nuclear sites, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said. Rafael Grossi made the comments to Fox News when asked about the location of 900 pounds of potentially enriched uranium that Iranian officials said had been removed for its protection ahead of strikes on its facilities. Grossi had said Iran had protected its enriched uranium, and there was even a potential site near Isfahan where 900 pounds of the material enriched to 60 percent may have been taken. https://www.newsweek.com/iran-uranium-missing-iaea-grossi-2090434
  13. Statement from Director John Ratcliffe about Intelligence on Iran's Nuclear Program “CIA can confirm that a body of credible intelligence indicates Iran’s Nuclear Program has been severely damaged by the recent, targeted strikes. This includes new intelligence from a historically reliable and accurate source/method * that several key Iranian nuclear facilities were destroyed and would have to be rebuilt over the course of years. CIA continues to collect additional reliably sourced information to keep appropriate decision-makers and oversight bodies fully informed. When possible, we will also provide updates and information to the American public, given the national importance of this matter and in every attempt to provide transparency.” https://www.cia.gov/stories/story/statement-from-director-john-ratcliffe-about-intelligence-on-irans-nuclear-program/ * but for now we ain't telling
  14. From the above NYT via archive link: International inspectors and nuclear experts agree that the extensive damage to the conversion facility created a key bottleneck in the weapons-making process, and agreed that rebuilding it would most likely take years. But that assumes that Iran did not build another conversion plant in secret, as part of an insurance policy against the destruction of its declared facilities, which are inspected by the International Atomic Energy Agency.
  15. From the above post: ⚡️Israel Atomic Energy Commission: “The devastating US strike on Fordow destroyed the site's critical infrastructure and rendered the enrichment facility inoperable.” From NY Times update: As part of his effort to counter the preliminary intelligence report from the Pentagon, Mr. Trump, during his news conference, read part of a statement from the Israel Atomic Energy Commission. “The devastating U.S. strike on Fordo destroyed the site’s critical infrastructure and rendered the enrichment facility totally inoperable,” the president said. The statement, which the White House had distributed earlier, did not contain the word “totally,” but Mr. Trump inserted it. via https://archive.ph/ONygg
  16. The DIA assessment also indicates some of Iran's enriched uranium stockpile was moved before the strikes, one of the sources said. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-iran-strikes-set-back-nuclear-program-by-months-intel-assessment/
  17. Outsiders tried to divine which faction was ascendant based on whom Mr. Trump met with at any given time. Mr. Trump seemed almost gleeful in telling reporters that he could make a decision “one second before it’s due, because things change, especially with war.” All the while, Mr. Trump was making blustery statements indicating he was about to take the country into the conflict. “Everyone should evacuate Tehran!” he wrote on Monday last week on Truth Social, the social media platform he owns. The following day, he posted that he had not left a meeting of the Group of 7 in Canada to broker a Middle East cease-fire but for something “much bigger.” So, he told the world, “Stay tuned!” These public pronouncements generated angst at the Pentagon and U.S. Central Command, where military planners began to worry that Mr. Trump was giving Iran too much warning about an impending strike. NYTimes via https://archive.ph/374Cz#selection-815.0-895.199
  18. The topic title is: Trump confirms surprise US airstrikes. With Trump comments like: 'I may do it, I may not do it' and leaving the G7 saying he was going for "something bigger" there was discomfort at the military planer level that he was saying a little too much. and maybe gave the Iranians a heads up
  19. So "total obliteration" is a good place to start and we can work backwards from there.
  20. (as above) Karoline Leavitt told CNN: Everyone knows what happens when you drop fourteen 30,000 pound bombs perfectly on their targets: total obliteration.”
  21. Exclusive: Early US intel assessment suggests strikes on Iran did not destroy nuclear sites, sources say Updated 4:54 PM EDT, Tue June 24, 2025 The US military strikes on three of Iran’s nuclear facilities last weekend did not destroy the core components of the country’s nuclear program and likely only set it back by months, according to an early US intelligence assessment that was described by four people briefed on it. The assessment, which has not been previously reported, was produced by the Defense Intelligence Agency, the Pentagon’s intelligence arm. It is based on a battle damage assessment conducted by US Central Command in the aftermath of the US strikes, one of the sources said. But the early findings are at odds with President Donald Trump’s repeated claims that the strikes “completely and totally obliterated” Iran’s nuclear enrichment facilities. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth also said on Sunday that Iran’s nuclear ambitions “have been obliterated.” White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told CNN in a statement: Everyone knows what happens when you drop fourteen 30,000 pound bombs perfectly on their targets: total obliteration.” https://edition.cnn.com/2025/06/24/politics/intel-assessment-us-strikes-iran-nuclear-sites
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