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bignok

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Everything posted by bignok

  1. It's a guess based on certain assumptions, educated guess. That's all it is. If a forecaster has a good record you might listen to them. If not you should'nt.
  2. History is fact. Take the average 10 year growth rate and project forward. Buffet does that with shares.
  3. Which is just a forecast. Known to be wrong. Forecasts are guesses.
  4. https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/imfs-economic-crystal-ball-is-cracked-2022-01-25/ Yet another website.
  5. https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/why-imf-s-poor-forecasting-matters
  6. https://switzer.com.au/the-experts/peter-switzer/unreliable-forecaster-the-imf-says-aussie-outlook-is-dismal/ IMF is known for being wrong.
  7. https://www.ft.com/content/60581224-3335-11e8-b5bf-23cb17fd1498 Very bad forecast record. "In that October, the IMF predicted an economic expansion for 2009 for both the US and Japan. Instead, the world’s largest economy contracted by nearly three percentage points and Japan’s economy shrank by 5.4 per cent, its worst annual performance since the second world war"
  8. This is true. My gf is very good looking. Just looking at her makes me smile.
  9. Good business sense. Lose 50% of customers with a sign like that.
  10. One of the best places in southern Thailand. Has better food, more things to do, cheaper hotels than anywhere else in the south.
  11. They can't. If you can't even swim 50m then you can't swim 80 miles. These futuristic models are pure nonsense.
  12. They can't even forecast weather accurately 5 days ahead. These "might be" things in 80 years are pure nonsense.
  13. Avoiding toxic people means avoiding most people.
  14. Phattalung free caves and temples near town. Bird lake is good. Overall nice place.
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