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bignok

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Everything posted by bignok

  1. bignok

    Buriram

    Looking at 3 nights in Buriram. Any tips on restaurants or things to do beside Phanom Rung. With gf so not looking at girly bars. Live music be cool though.
  2. Looks good time to buy assets. Buy low sell high the old cliche.
  3. The UK is doing better than many countries and forecasts are guesses. Just fancy ones with spreadsheets. Some people get rich in recessions so forecasts don't really matter if you do your own thing.
  4. How can it be most likely if forecasts are most often wrong? It is their educated guess on what they think is most likely, not actual most likely. Just a educated guess based on spreadsheet forecasts. One forecast on top of other forecasts. Nothing factual about forecasts.
  5. It's a guess based on certain assumptions, educated guess. That's all it is. If a forecaster has a good record you might listen to them. If not you should'nt.
  6. History is fact. Take the average 10 year growth rate and project forward. Buffet does that with shares.
  7. Which is just a forecast. Known to be wrong. Forecasts are guesses.
  8. https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/imfs-economic-crystal-ball-is-cracked-2022-01-25/ Yet another website.
  9. https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/why-imf-s-poor-forecasting-matters
  10. https://switzer.com.au/the-experts/peter-switzer/unreliable-forecaster-the-imf-says-aussie-outlook-is-dismal/ IMF is known for being wrong.
  11. https://www.ft.com/content/60581224-3335-11e8-b5bf-23cb17fd1498 Very bad forecast record. "In that October, the IMF predicted an economic expansion for 2009 for both the US and Japan. Instead, the world’s largest economy contracted by nearly three percentage points and Japan’s economy shrank by 5.4 per cent, its worst annual performance since the second world war"
  12. This is true. My gf is very good looking. Just looking at her makes me smile.
  13. Good business sense. Lose 50% of customers with a sign like that.
  14. One of the best places in southern Thailand. Has better food, more things to do, cheaper hotels than anywhere else in the south.
  15. They can't. If you can't even swim 50m then you can't swim 80 miles. These futuristic models are pure nonsense.
  16. They can't even forecast weather accurately 5 days ahead. These "might be" things in 80 years are pure nonsense.
  17. Phattalung free caves and temples near town. Bird lake is good. Overall nice place.
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