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Everything posted by mokwit
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As someone who worked as a FX dealer in London and as an equity strategist, I don't really need your link to an article. I used to be flown all over the world to advise people like those quoted in the article. I would say that while there are multiple takes at the time, with people focusing on what is important to them/what they look at, actually at the end of the day there is probably actually one right explanation which emerges after the event out of the 'fog of war' to explain the bulk of the buying and selling which caused a move in the market after the fact. I have been in the middle of this multiple times. So often it can be black and white at the end of the day. Right now what I would say is going on is that there is an increase in perceived country risk due to lack of confidence in the Government, and in particular Reeves, that is is leading to an increased country risk premium and that higher risk premium is driving the interest rate and the exchange rate in opposite directions. You could point to a strengthening dollar being the factor, rather than GBP weakness, increasing interest rates globally, or inflation being in the mix like the various people people in the article, and some may be transacting on those. Multiple investor types transact for multiple reasons. Effectively the UK IMO is perceived as being an old style "emerging market" with very high risk due to excess debt and inability to meet the obligations - think of Thailand in 1997. The growth that the debt level interest and repayments schedule had assumed, suddenly wasn't there. having no been an emerging market for a long time we have not put place the safeguards that "new style" emerging markets have done since learning their lesson last time. In short Labour are leading us into a Thailand 1997 situation and the market recognises this. I have kept it simple, but it probably has gone over your head as all you can o is post links. I take it you do understand what you posted, or did you just post it because it was the FT?
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Ah Chomper, good you are here, any comment on Labour's management of the economy? I'm surprised we haven't seen you clamouring for attention on this thread and insulting everybody left right and centre for criticising Labours economic policy. We are here to discuss Labours economic policy. kindly stay on topic like you are always demanding others do. Using his @Chomper Higgot was like summoning a demon.
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I must say, I'm surprised @Chomper Higgot isn't active on this thread. He is conspicuous by his absence, I would have though he would be on here crowing about what great things Labour are doing for the economy, and how well they are managing it. He was certainly crowing about their great achievements before.
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Exactly as I stated, it's all tactics to control and shut down, rather than fairly argue. I think we should be calling out these tactics every time, to the point where it becomes impossible to use them, but note, they are entitled to air their political views in accordance with free speech. This is a DISCUSSION board, not a propaganda forum.
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The tactic of screaming racism when asked to defend position can be a deliberate tactic t shut down debate, or more often than not it is used by useful idiots who don't have the intellect to argue a case. He demanded proof of something I posted: I am still waiting for his critique of the conclusions drawn about the so called "report" rather than an "analysis" based on comments he deems racist. He states that as it is not "peer reviewed" it doesn't count. Rather than critiques the methodology himself he switches the debate to racism. This is a tactic to control the debate. Racism is whatever the Left says it is, so if you engage you are now dealing on their terms. I engaged to clear this block and now am coming back to the original point. He states: "So your accusations are baseless and unfounded." When I present the analysis I get: 'Sorry but some unknown twitter account with a very disturbing timeline filled with dog whistle racism is hardly a peer reviewed critique of the report.' This is his "get out" from countering the points raised by the critique of the reports methodology. Again a tactic to shut down debate, or he doesn't understand what peer reviewed actually is (really what it is not) and what research it is applied to. If it is not peer reviewed then presumably it is noty credible is what he is saying, but does not point out how it is apparently not credible. The key point with Lefties, is that they are not trying to fairly win a debate with better arguments, they are trying to shut down or control the debate or move it to their terms with low tactics. To quote an Italian Communist of the '60's whose name I can't be bothered to look up: "It is not necessary to have better arguments, one merely has to control the media" I really hope someone like this is not teaching kids here (note: solely based on inability to argue and critically evaluate, no inappropriate behavior insinuation is being made)
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Sorry I don't understand the point you think you are making. it's all word play and semantics with your kind of leftie. Tactics to shut down an argument without arguing a case. I was being generous. There is no f*cking way I would trust a kid with a Pakistani Muslim I didn't know well and I don't know any well. Maybe she doesn't know any well so she says ALL. That would be sensible. I absolutely defend the right of a woman to be cautious of ALL Pakistani Muslim men not known to her, and if she doesn't know any, then that means ALL. Too many of them are predatory. there is one anti Paedophile sting operation that catches them by pretending to be an underage girl. It seems many have only been in the country a few weeks before they are at it, not all are resident. Where are the "community leaders" condemning rape gangs in their communities? Why are they not being informed on by their communities? Why do you think this is? Get you head out of your @rse and stop peddling this false narrative.
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Starmer Condemns 'Lies and Misinformation' Over Child Sexual Abuse
mokwit replied to Social Media's topic in World News
deleted duplicate meme. -
Biden's Last Stand: The Twilight Moves of a Defiant President
mokwit replied to Social Media's topic in World News
Never heard that. Maybe not a SE UK thing. -
Maybe four levels of "farmers" Large landowners, often who rent to tenant farmers and whose land has been passed down generations, although often NOT as long as you think Few trace their title/Landholdings to the Norman conquest period. People buying land for inheritance tax avoidance reasons. Gentleman farmers- farm is large enough they can pay others to do the work. single family small farmers. Labour have got it wrong with the tax and it's level on these - it will cause non viable farms to be created on the death of the current owner if inheritance tax is applied. It will then be parcelled up and sold to people who buy farmland like Bill Gates who visited Starmer around this period, as did Fink of Blackrock. I have personally sat in a meeting with the head of the Family office of a billionaire UK resident who was buying farmland. What were working farms in my youth now already are not. Wheat fields are subcontracted out to corporate farmers. Part of this is the non viability of the old small farmers 'bit of everything' model against large farms specialising.
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I really don't think I need any help from someone like you. Different values. When I temped at the CPS there was a case where a child was sent to the uncle for a haircut and after uncle cut his hair he bent him over the stool and sexually assaulted him - this came to light when teacher asked the kids what they had done over the weekend. I remember the calamity at court, the relatives in attendance couldn't understan why he was in the dock for this and were asking the Imam how this could be. So, if I had a small child I would not trust for him/her to be around any Indian subcontinent/Afghani Muslim I didn't know well, even though it might only be a small minority with the values on display at court. Do you know how popular "dancing boys" are in Pakistan/afghanistan. US troops were told not to intervene despite the screams.
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She is just stating her experience in the first. Judging by the number of grooming convictions and an estimated 250,000, maybe 1m victims, perhaps her father knew something and was trying to protect his daughter. Groomers hung around school gates FFS. What is going on here? It looks very suspicious, a teenage girl passed out in the back. Mods: If this breaches any rule can you delete just the vid, and not my writing. I pasted it and now can't delete it leaving just my writing, nor can I start a new post with just the text without it still being there in the old one because we can't delete a post. Lorelle is making the point in the second that Muslims seem to regard any woman who isn't covered up or who isn't Muslim as fair game. This does seem to be the case - if they tried to groom women in their own Muslim community the family would probably kill them, so they go after the easy meat of non Muslim girls - victims fathers can't even report the crime for fear of being the one arrested. Also the reported in court abuse hurled at these girls by the rapists seems to confirm extreme disrespect for white girls. It is not racist to say how things are. My sister who is 63 told that when she was early tens 13/14 Indian subcontinent men would approach her in the street and try to talk to her. Is that racist to recant? I don't see anything racist here, just an accurate statement about the behavior of a material number of member of the Pakistani/Bangladeshi Muslim community in UK towns. The figures show a highly disproportionate number of rape convictions in the Muslim population in some towns. So, I don't see anything racist, if you are going to apply the political word and say I am "racially stereotyping", that is a reflection of your political position. If I had a teenage daughter I would tell her not to use Pakistani/Bangladeshi taxi/uber drivers, because whilst the large majority are very decent men I am sure, there is a higher than normal risk with this group, based on ACTUAL CONVICTIONS. You haven't addressed my other points about the research, preferring to hide behind some tweets you regard as racist rather than the points made about how the "research" was literally a perversion of the facts for political ends.
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'twitter account with a very disturbing timeline filled with dog whistle racism' That is just a view that is a reflection of your obvious personal politics. Can you please point out some examples of this 'dog whistle racism'. The fact is someone can do a credible analysis but has no control over the comments. BTW, peer reviewed is not what you probably think it is. Have you studied science formally ? Perhaps you would like to give a critique of her points that led you to dismiss it, or have you so completely dismissed it, seemingly based on comments, rather than the analysis itself. I went through what she had written as someone who was taught data analysis as part of a science degree/finance and it seems credible to me. Others can make their own judgement based on what she writes, rather than a supposed 'disturbing timeline filled with dog whistle racism' The Guardian is accepted as a source here despite the fact that it accepted GBP319m from Bill Gates. In wouldn't think I was getting unbiased "reporting" from middle aged journos terrified of losing their job if The Guardian folds if it isn't accepting donations like that. What was their stance on vaccination? Remind me.
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Desperate Russians using wooden logs for protection
mokwit replied to 3NUMBAS's topic in The War in Ukraine
Also doesn't understand that this is an extremely SPECIFIC to Israels situation example, and armies spend their money depending on the tradeoffs and what war they expect to have to fight. Russian equipment used in Ukraine was largely designed for fighting as part of a large force on the German plains. Also armies can have completely different philosophies and priorities depending on all kinds of situations that affect decisions on how to equip. All kinds of cost and tradeoff decisions are made. Israel is a small country surrounded by larger population countries mostly, so just like Germany in late ww2, the focus is on crew protection. l already stated that the expectation of fighting in a built up area like Gaza, not the German plains would justify armoring the most 'at risk' APC's. This is why Israel, and I think ONLY ISRAEL, developed the anti missile machine guns for mounting on armoured vehicles - because that is what fitted the war it expected to fight and e.g. population considerations. as I said, I can't be bothered to reply to him anymore, but will answer anybody elses queries on anything I post. -
Desperate Russians using wooden logs for protection
mokwit replied to 3NUMBAS's topic in The War in Ukraine
He doesn't know what propaganda is and how it fools people like him. Literally a photo of APC and a lorry with wood tacked on and he thinks the Russian army has collapsed. Note they put it on a TRUCK. trucks are generally not used for assaulting enemy positions, but they are used to bring up supplies for armies My best guess is that due to the RECENT RUSSIAN RAPID ADVANCES the supply trucks have to go through areas with pockets of Ukrainian troops left stuck there by the advance, so non frontline vehicles* traveling to the front have to protect themselves from attacks by feral Ukrainians, who likely have hand held anti APC level weapons like RPG7s. We don't see any wood on any footage of tanks. In ww2 the territory between the Normandy beaches and the front line was referred to as "Indian Country" due to left behind pockets of German soldiers shooting at trucks taking supplies to the front. SO: what he thinks shows Russia is losing is more likely a reflection on the success of Russia's advance. *the APC is the old model BT1, which would likely not be used in the front if newer models were available (the propaganda is they use the old models because all the BT2 have been destroyed already). -
No, I just can't be bothered to look for a link from my X feed. I skimmed through it and felt the author and the analysis/points being made were credible. People can make a judgement on what I say based on their judgement of me as a poster. I skim through a very broad front of things for my own interest and don't @nally save links for posting here like the "Link Brigade". if I can easily locate a link/source I post it, if not people can make a judgement as to my credibility based on my previous posts. This demanding of links is a tactic of those on the Left as much of the accepted media is left biased, so demanding links means they are at an advantage as their points can be supported by propaganda accepted as a veritable source. OK I wrote the above thinking I hadn't bookmarked the link, but I did so here it is BUT what I say above still stands. Presumably some will say as this is not from the Guardian it isn't credible.
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Desperate Russians using wooden logs for protection
mokwit replied to 3NUMBAS's topic in The War in Ukraine
I would have thought that proved my point. As per the Grok answer, it is sometimes fitted to "at risk" APC's. Israel is hardly a good example as any Bradley used in urban areas like Gaza is at extreme risk from RPG7 and the Hamas developed hollow charge personal anti tank rockets. They are fitting it to "at risk" APC's as per the grok answer there are multiple reasons why it is not normally fitted, but you are highlighting THIS ONE example from a different conflict which is a different situation as somehow proving a point. You think you are making a point but you are not making any point at all. Seriously, just stop replying to my posts this is the third time I have schooled you in 24 hours and each time you come back with a non answer. After I have left this here long enough to be sure you have seen it I will put you on ignore. Others on this web board can judge for themselves as to which of us knows what he is talking about and which doesn't. I am happy for them to make that judgement for themselves.