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Burnham's reindustrialisation gamble faces mountain of expectations

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Andy Burnham's promise to revive Britain's industrial heartlands is emerging as the defining test of his premiership, but analysts warn decades of economic decline will not be reversed without a long-term strategy backed by substantial investment.

The new Prime Minister has made reindustrialisation central to his economic agenda, arguing Britain must rebuild manufacturing capacity in sectors including steel, defence, energy and advanced technology after years of industrial decline.

Legacy of Decline Still Shapes Britain

Large parts of the UK continue to bear the scars of deindustrialisation that accelerated during the 1980s and continued through subsequent governments. While investment transformed public services and infrastructure in many former industrial areas, critics argue it failed to replace the secure, well-paid jobs that disappeared.

The result has been persistent economic inequality, political disillusionment and growing support for parties promising radical change in communities that once formed Labour's electoral backbone.

A Different Vision for Growth

Burnham has pledged a more interventionist approach, combining greater regional devolution with an active industrial strategy designed to spread investment beyond London and the South East. His supporters point to his record as Mayor of Greater Manchester, where local growth funds backed sectors including advanced manufacturing, green technology and life sciences.

The strategy represents a clear break from the economic model that prioritised financial services and globalisation during the New Labour years.

Cost and Delivery Pose Biggest Challenge

The scale of the task remains formidable. Economists argue meaningful industrial renewal will require sustained public and private investment running into hundreds of billions of pounds over the coming decade, alongside reforms to skills, infrastructure and energy.

Questions also remain over whether advances in automation and artificial intelligence will generate enough high-quality jobs, even if new factories and production facilities are built.

Political Stakes Could Hardly Be Higher

For Burnham, success would reshape Britain's economic geography and strengthen Labour's grip on former industrial regions. Failure, however, risks deepening frustration in communities that have repeatedly been promised renewal but seen little lasting change.

With Reform UK targeting many of those same voters, expectations are exceptionally high. The challenge is no longer simply announcing an industrial revival, but delivering one that produces visible jobs, sustained investment and renewed confidence in places that have waited decades for both.

I’ve seen what the death of major industry did to Britain. Without a good revival plan, Burnham cannot succeed

Andy would need skilled workers for that. Labour's easy and generous social payment schemes make it easier to go on the dole than to work. Why work when you can have a steady income, subsidized housing, healthcare, education, subsidized transport and other handouts.

Bit premature calling him the new prime minister.

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David Miliband is once again at the centre of Westminster speculation, with growing reports that the former foreign secretary could return to frontline politics under an Andy Burnham government.

As Burnham prepares to enter Downing Street, allies see Miliband as an experienced heavyweight who could strengthen Britain's international standing. But his return is already exposing tensions inside Labour before the new administration has even begun.

Foreign Office Role Gains Momentum

Miliband, who left Parliament more than a decade ago and now heads the International Rescue Committee, is widely regarded within Labour as one of the party's most accomplished foreign policy figures.

Supporters believe appointing him as foreign secretary would allow Burnham to focus on his domestic agenda while entrusting global crises to a seasoned operator. To join the Cabinet, however, Miliband would first need to enter the House of Lords.

Succession Talk Starts Early

Even before Burnham officially takes office, some Labour MPs are reportedly discussing who could succeed him if his premiership falters.

Persistent pressure from Reform UK in the polls, continued wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and Britain's uncertain economic outlook have fuelled concerns among some MPs about the scale of the challenge ahead.

According to reports, a handful of Labour figures already view Miliband as a potential future party leader should Burnham fail to reverse Labour's fortunes.

Cabinet Balance Sparks Backlash

The prospect of David Miliband returning alongside his brother Ed Miliband has prompted unease among some Labour MPs, who fear too many of the party's most powerful posts could be dominated by familiar New Labour-era figures.

Critics also argue such appointments risk reviving accusations that Labour is relying on political veterans rather than promoting a new generation of leaders.

A High-Stakes Choice for Burnham

For Burnham, the decision extends beyond one Cabinet appointment. Bringing back Miliband could add immediate experience at a time of international instability, but it also risks creating a powerful alternative centre of authority within government.

As Labour prepares for office, personnel decisions are already becoming an early test of how Burnham intends to balance renewal with experience—and manage ambitions within his own ranks.

Why Andy Burnham should bring back David Miliband

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Burnham faces SNP fury as independence row erupts before No 10

Andy Burnham’s pitch to reshape the UK through deeper devolution has come under immediate political fire, after reports claimed the prime minister-in-waiting has ruled out any second Scottish independence referendum. The clash has handed the SNP an early target, with ministers accusing Labour of promising change while defending the constitutional status quo.

Devolution Promise Meets Constitutional Wall

According to reports, Burnham told Scottish Labour MPs he would not support another independence vote if he succeeds Sir Keir Starmer in Downing Street. The reported remarks appear to sit uneasily alongside his recent calls for greater devolution across the UK, arguing communities from Dundee to Bangor often feel as remote from devolved governments as they do from Westminster.

That contrast has become the latest battleground in an increasingly tense debate over Labour’s constitutional agenda before Burnham has even entered No 10.

SNP Declares Burnham's Vision Is 'Unravelling'

Scottish Cabinet Secretary Ivan McKee said Burnham’s claims of empowering local communities were "unravelling" if they stopped short of allowing Scotland to decide its constitutional future.

He argued it was inconsistent to champion devolved power while refusing another referendum, describing the approach as "more of the same" from Westminster. First Minister John Swinney has also rejected Burnham's wider proposal for elected mayors in Scotland, adding another point of friction between Edinburgh and Labour.

Pressure Builds From Across Holyrood

The criticism did not stop with the Scottish Government. SNP MSP David Linden insisted Scotland had already voted for another referendum and deserved the opportunity to decide its future.

Scottish Green MSP Patrick Harvie echoed that argument, saying Burnham was entitled to oppose independence politically but should not prevent Scots from making the choice at the ballot box.

Labour Fires Back

Scottish Labour dismissed the attacks as a distraction from the SNP's record in government. Deputy leader Jackie Baillie accused nationalists of manufacturing another constitutional dispute instead of focusing on public services.

The exchange highlights the political challenge awaiting Burnham. Even before taking office, his plans for devolving power are colliding with Scotland's unresolved constitutional debate, ensuring the future of the Union will remain one of the first major tests facing any incoming Labour government.

Andy Burnham devolution claims 'unravelling' due to indyref opposition, SNP says

If he's serious about having a No. 10 in the north it should be in Scotland not Manchester.

A fundamental requirement for any successful industrial economy is a reliable supply of affordable energy. The march to 'net zero CO2 emissions' is the main problem in the UK, which has resulted in extremely high energy costs.

It is often claimed that renewable energy, such as wind and solar, are as cheap or cheaper than fossil fuels. This might be true if one ignores the cost of providing a reliable supply of energy to meet demand.

The intermittency of wind and solar, and the additional long-distance power lines required, are a huge problem that results in renewable energy being very expensive, causing manufacturing industries to move to other countries where energy is much more affordable.

1 hour ago, VincentRJ said:

A fundamental requirement for any successful industrial economy is a reliable supply of affordable energy. The march to 'net zero CO2 emissions' is the main problem in the UK, which has resulted in extremely high energy costs.

It is often claimed that renewable energy, such as wind and solar, are as cheap or cheaper than fossil fuels. This might be true if one ignores the cost of providing a reliable supply of energy to meet demand.

The intermittency of wind and solar, and the additional long-distance power lines required, are a huge problem that results in renewable energy being very expensive, causing manufacturing industries to move to other countries where energy is much more affordable.

Renewables are cheaper than fossil fuels.

IK energy prices are jacked up by ‘marginal pricing’ which transfers the cost savings of renewables into corporate profits at cost to consumers.

1 hour ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Renewables are cheaper than fossil fuels.

That's possible during periods when the sun shines, and the wind blows, and the water flows from hydro-electric dams.

The problem is providing energy when the sun isn't shining and the wind isn't blowing, and the hydro dams are lacking water.

Battery storage is enormously expensive to provide just a few hours of supply, as is fossil fuel used only during periods of renewable intermittency, and remaining switched off for most of the time

"IK energy prices are jacked up by ‘marginal pricing’ which transfers the cost savings of renewables into corporate profits at cost to consumers."

All corporations make profits at a cost to the consumers. How could it be otherwise? Consumers pay for the products they buy, whatever the type of product.

53 minutes ago, VincentRJ said:

That's possible during periods when the sun shines, and the wind blows, and the water flows from hydro-electric dams.

The problem is providing energy when the sun isn't shining and the wind isn't blowing, and the hydro dams are lacking water.

Battery storage is enormously expensive to provide just a few hours of supply, as is fossil fuel used only during periods of renewable intermittency, and remaining switched off for most of the time

"IK energy prices are jacked up by ‘marginal pricing’ which transfers the cost savings of renewables into corporate profits at cost to consumers."

All corporations make profits at a cost to the consumers. How could it be otherwise? Consumers pay for the products they buy, whatever the type of product.

Renewables are across the board cheaper, that economic argument has been won.

Nuclear + Renewables provide the reliability and resilience from the impact of foreign wars on the cost of fossil fuels.

Remove ‘marginal pricing’, let customers see the price saving and fossil fuel’s unpaid shills will evaporate overnight.

19 hours ago, Patong2021 said:

Andy would need skilled workers for that. Labour's easy and generous social payment schemes make it easier to go on the dole than to work. Why work when you can have a steady income, subsidized housing, healthcare, education, subsidized transport and other handouts.

Indians are hard working and skilled, so that shouldn't be a problem.

8 hours ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Renewables are across the board cheaper, that economic argument has been won.

Nuclear + Renewables provide the reliability and resilience from the impact of foreign wars on the cost of fossil fuels.

Remove ‘marginal pricing’, let customers see the price saving and fossil fuel’s unpaid shills will evaporate overnight.

And remove all government subsidies for both renewable energy projects and fossil fuel projects, and see who wins. 😉

1 hour ago, VincentRJ said:

And remove all government subsidies for both renewable energy projects and fossil fuel projects, and see who wins. 😉

Renewables are winning, they are cheaper.

13 hours ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Renewables are cheaper than fossil fuels.

IK energy prices are jacked up by ‘marginal pricing’ which transfers the cost savings of renewables into corporate profits at cost to consumers.

Your blanket statement that renewables are cheaper than fossil fuels is inaccurate. This does not apply in some fossil fuel abundant regions such as the Arab Gulf, Iran and Libya.

There are countries where renewable energy is controlled either by the state or by public and private undertakings, so the blaming of high prices on "corporates" is not always valid. Brazil's state company Eletrobas is one of the largest systems in the world, and its rates are not much better than its neighbors. Much of Canada's hydro electricity is controlled by provincial government corporations and there are large profits generated. Sweden has state controlled hydro electricity and consumers pay some of the highest rates in the nordic region.

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