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candide

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Everything posted by candide

  1. Right, there were no wars during the pandemic....in particular from Russia which population decreased by one million in one year. Not a good time to start a war. Afghanistan, oh yeah, this perfect agreement negotiated by Trump, only with the Talibans, consacrating them as unique interlocutor. On top of it, followed by a unilateral withdrawal of most U.S. troops and the release of Taliban fighters from prison, without the Talibans needing to respect their commitments, it worked quite well... Same m.o. as Trump's so called peace initiatives in ME, designed without the Palestinians and Iran, what could have gone wrong? 😃 As to Putin's motivation, it is common knowledge that he was encouraged by the Jan.6 events and that he was betting on internal U.S. divisions. In the same as he is currently comforted by the MAGA opposition to supporting Ukraine further.
  2. Which articles? Why don't you link them? Even Fox News mentions only 34,000! 😅 https://www.foxnews.com/politics/soros-family-other-high-profile-megadonors-helped-fuel-political-career-new-york-ag-suing-trump
  3. Gag!🤣 Oops! Republican Congressman Admits Hunter Biden Subpoena Double Standard https://news.yahoo.com/oops-republican-congressman-admits-hunter-180159422.html
  4. Come on! Not this debunked ridiculous Trump's claim again! https://www.forbes.com/sites/tommybeer/2020/11/06/trump-and-allies-keep-claiming-republican-poll-watchers-were-banned-thats-a-lie/?sh=12693c5b44da “Pennsylvania and Michigan didn’t allow our poll watchers and/or vote observers to watch or observe.” https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/12/donald-trump/trumps-wrong-claim-election-observers-were-barred-/
  5. So there was a phantom company, a shell company, and also a conflict of interest as Comer was supervising agricultural activities as a committee member.
  6. China talking about weaponizing legal tools against political opponents! That's rich! 😀
  7. According to this article, she received $34,000 from the Soros family. https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-judge-letitia-james-trial-george-soros-truth-social-republicans-1841020 @Skipalongcassidy What's wrong with being funded by Soros (among others)? Because of a conspiracy theory claiming that a network of people from a certain religion are trying to control the world?
  8. I doubt money goes back to China. It's more valuable in Thailand than in China. Chinese businessmen are eager to put their money out of CCP's reach That's the main reason why they were buying condos in Thailand. Since China banned crypto trade, It's more difficult for them to export their money. I would not be surprised Chinese networks had organised private compensation systems in order to avoid moving money.
  9. 40% is likely excessive, but stats provided by the Chinese government have never been reliable and are influenced by political concerns. It is very likely much worse than 5%. https://www.scmp.com/economy/economic-indicators/article/3201003/how-reliable-chinas-job-data-and-who-included-unemployment-rate https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2012/10/05/162319548/no-one-trusts-chinas-unemployment-rate
  10. And a perfect one! 😃 Fact check: Elise Stefanik tried to get election overturned, promoted election lies https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/06/politics/fact-check-stefanik-big-lie-election-trump/index.html
  11. In nearly every country in the world, life was better pre-covid than now: less inflation, lower gas prices, etc.... and people are often blaming their current governments for the current inflation, although It's a global trend. That's the case in the U.S. too. Trump had no responsibility in pre-covid inflation level and gas prices, as it was also a global trend, but some people tend to attribute some merit to him about it. Will Biden's economic achievements, I.e. GDP growth and employment, overcome the perceived blame for inflation level? It's not the case now but will have to wait how it fares next year. In any case, he's lucky to have Trump as potential GOP candidate so they are currently tied. https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls
  12. There's usually an economic aspect in all Germany's decisions. At the time of the first migrant waves, the economy was doing well and Germany needed manpower to replace retiring baby boomers, because of its low birth rate. Now the economy is stagnating and they don't need much additional manpower.
  13. I think they are talking about this. https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls
  14. They are surely not predicting the winner, but they give an indication of the current state of public opinion.
  15. It's too early to know whether it will last or not, but the trend is changing. https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls
  16. And we all know Manchin would have voted for it! 😀
  17. Trump have tried to piss-off the judge in order to provoke a reaction he may be able to use in appeal. The judge is obviously too smart for that.
  18. Personal predictions are not facts.
  19. Do you really believe what Trump says? 😃 https://www.forbes.com/sites/tommybeer/2020/11/06/trump-and-allies-keep-claiming-republican-poll-watchers-were-banned-thats-a-lie/?sh=12693c5b44da “Pennsylvania and Michigan didn’t allow our poll watchers and/or vote observers to watch or observe.” https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/12/donald-trump/trumps-wrong-claim-election-observers-were-barred-/
  20. I never claimed there was 0 influence on inflation. My claim is that most of it comes from global inflation (in particular global oil price). The 50% figure comes from right-wing propaganda and absolutely doesn't make sense if one compares with other countries (see the FT chart you also cited). So maybe 2 points in 2022. However, as the graph show, the early peak in 2022 was followed by lower inflation than other countries, which compensates for the 2022 peak. As to your claim that the U.S. is responsible for global oil prices is still ridiculous. The U.S. produces around 15% of the world production. As concerns OPEC: "Approximately 69% came from the top ten countries, and an overlapping 38% came from the thirteen current OPEC members, in the table below. Members of OPEC+, which includes current OPEC members produce 58% of the world's petroleum." https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_oil_production But most important fact, the OPEC, as its name indicates, is composed of the most exporting countries (and has the explicit goal of controlling prices). The U.S. produces more or less what it consumes, so it plays a neutral role. Now you resort to making predictions, because you lack factual arguments. Facts are: - lower inflation that other G7 countries after the initial post-Covid peak, - a GDP growth which has been twice that of other G7 countries, compared to pre-pandemic level, - strong unemployment decrease, oscillating in 2023 around historical record. - oil production and export increase, energetic independence improved. - strategic independence increased, Etc... Not bad for a "phony loser" 😃 You mentioned other issues. What has been done is certainly not enough, but as mentioned by other posters, he had to compose with two DINOs who were eager to block some initiatives, and since the midterm elections with a GOP house majority. There's not much hope to improve the situation of the poor with a GOP majority. So yes, the situation is harder than before the pandemic for most people, and it's the same all over the world. However, some countries, such as the U.S., are doing better (or less worse) than the others.
  21. Why don't you cite your sources? https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2022/apr/20/jane-timken/bidens-american-rescue-plan-fueled-inflation-so-di/#sources The second part of the assessment from this source: "However, none of the experts we reached, liberal and conservative, said Biden’s actions were responsible for all of the inflation. Past government spending, COVID’s disruptions to labor markets, energy prices and supply-chains also played significant roles. Most recently, the war in Ukraine has made a challenging situation worse." Of course, it had an impact in 2022, but the priority at this time was to relaunch the economy and reduce unemployment, and these objectives have been fully reached. Not to mention the necessary restructuring of the American industry in order to get more strategic autonomy from countries such as China, and less dependence from oil markets. What would have been better? A bit less inflation in 2022 (it was only slightly above other countries with no American rescue plan), but more unemployment and less growth?
  22. You've been proven wrong about most of your claims in several posts. Why don't you check data and information before making assertions?
  23. And some people may be claiming It's not related to global oil prices.... https://www.statista.com/statistics/326017/weekly-crude-oil-prices/
  24. This is becoming pathetic, and "period" is not a factual argument. I post below the graph from the FT again: It shows that, after the initial post-pandemic surge, the U.S. (pink line) has been able to tackle inflation and reached one of the lowest level of inflation in G7. I am not claiming this is all due to the government, but the other G7 countries or the Eurozone also had central banks increasing interest rates. https://www.ft.com/content/088d3368-bb8b-4ff3-9df7-a7680d4d81b2 Actually, the most remarkable is not so much the reduction of inflation itself, but the fact that it has been reached while achieving a stronger GDP growth than other G7 countries (see graph). https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn02784/ As to the US being the main oil price maker and not the OPEC, it is simply ridiculous. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC, /ˈoʊpɛk/ OH-pek) is an organization enabling the co-operation of leading oil-producing countries in order to collectively influence the global oil market and maximize profit. It was founded on 14 September 1960 in Baghdad by the first five members (Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela). The 13 member countries account for an estimated 30 percent of global oil production. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/OPEC
  25. Gag! 😀 Asked about whether he was involved in valuations in 2021, Mr Trump said: “I was so busy at the White House… my threshold was China, Russia and keeping our country safe.” Prosecutor Kevin Wallace responded, saying: “Just to clarify you weren’t president in 2021, correct?” 😀 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/politics/2023/11/06/donald-trump-testify-live-new-york-trial-fraud-real-estate/
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