dinsdale

I'm reading elswhere that Pita has announced his coalition and it includes Phue Thai.

This coalition would still need the support of the military senate.

Isn't it 300% on imported vehicles.

They would have to dance with the devil. Not sure it will be forgotten. Democrat voters certainly didn't forget. Not sure Thaksin, who has said PT should support MFP (I know maybe not the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth), can change the direction of the voting public demonstrated by a massive mandate for change. The % of the young vote will increase by the nxt election and the mood for change would have grown substantially. PT is in a tricky position and risks losing a lot of their support base.

I think I read somewhere as of now it is only 6 so need another 60.

Sorry but I have to disagree on the point of senators being promised seats. The senate needs to be elected by the people. This can be done in seperate elections if the senate has let's say a six year term whereas the House of Reps is a four year term or together in the case of a double dissolution where both houses are dissolved at the same time necessiting both a vote for the house and the senate. I guess, however, in the short term it is a possible solution until the new constitution is written and sent to referendum.

A very good article. Will PT jump and risk losing more votes at the next election? Will MFP get 66 senators to come onboard. As I have been saying a minority govt is unworkable so this option seems unlikey but it is a way to cause civil uprest which IMO the army is looking for. Lots of questions raised all because of non democratically elected senators put in to protect the 'three pillars' from the people's wishes. Interesting times.

Rediculous comment. The politics of a country affects ALL the people living in said country.

Ah! I missed that. Thanks. Well that's the end of them.

We've known this for some time but it depends on Pheu Thai. Will they jump ship and form their own coalition? I don't think so. They would have to align with the military. Having a majority in the House of Reps as we know does not guarantee formation of govt. due to the double house sitting and the gang of 250 senators selecting the new PM who can then select their own cabinet. Yes they (MFP coalition) will be a majority (if PT stay in the coaltion) but the question is will they be a majority in government or in opposition. If they are a majority opposition then parliament will be unworkable and dissolved as soon as there is a vote of no confidence in the minority govt. Thailand has an extremely complex political system but this of course became more complex in 2017 when Prayut planted his mates in the Senate. Again I say BJT might join the coalition which will take them over the line or the senators will abandon ship or maybe both. Very intriguing indeed.

Pressure is building on the gang of 250.

Which could all be thwarted by non democratically elected senators who make sure they pick the winner not the people engaged in said democratic process. May 15th? Not exactly hot off the press.

Interesting stuff here no matter what you think of him. He is right the 250 should have no say as the 27 million voters against the military have spoken. As for "inspire" I just think this is a poor choice of word. Maybe motivates or encourages would fit better.

What a messy business. One thing's for sure it is only the 250 senators put in by Prayut that's making it this messy. If the Senate was elected by the people, which it should be, the reults of who becomes PM and who can form a majority party in the house would be a bit clearer.

So you have this article stating: "Despite this, Thaksin reaffirmed his belief in Pheu Thai’s democratic spirit, stating that he expects the party to vote for the MFP’s Prime Minister candidate, irrespective of the circumstances." and another article stating "Olarn said Pheu Thai would have to consider whether working with Move Forward was a good choice to pave the way for Thaksin’s return. But he doubts Pheu Thai will opt to ally with Move Forward and risk a collision with the elites." Interesting times if Phue Thai decides to form it's own coalition which would leave MFP high and dry although winning the election and pretty well all of Bangkok at odds with Puue Thai and a military coaltion. I still can't see a PT coalition with minor military parties happening. One thing is for certain and that is the future of Thailand is uncertain.

The Democrats and BJT have 2 options as I see it. Spport MFP or support a miltary backed govt. If they do the latter both parties will be decimated at the next election.

Basically will the 250 military lackeys in the senate be enough to form a minority govt.

Ok. Do it and join with MFP to make up for your last very poor decision. That would make an 8 party coalition (LOL) with I think 398 seats.405(?) seats. Well more than enough to take the 250 completely out of consideration in naming the new PM.

There are 4 other minor parties not associated with the current regime. BJT would make a 7 party coalition.

Well the military backing PT is something I would be very suprised to see. And if it happens PT getting in bed with the military will lose their voting public. Next election MFP will have the votes of their own support base and the majority of PT to go with it. Just like the Democrats it would IMO be political suicide.

Grow up or military rule. The latter will be a blood bath.

They have less seats than MFP so who do they form govt with?

If they were it didn't work. Now for stage 2 rigging.

This is complete nonsense. People in high risk groups have to look after themselves. This is the reality. People with auto immune disease have to look after themselves. That's what happens. That is reality. It's life so get on with it.

So Europe, America, Uk, Australia etc where masks have come off all these countries and people are setting a bad example. You can't be serious. People have accepted that it's Omicron and is for the majority a non serious and non fatal virus.