Jump to content

dinsdale

Advanced Member
  • Posts

    11,696
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    7

Everything posted by dinsdale

  1. "Run Forrest Run". Harris makes Forrest Gump look articulate.
  2. Great to see another worthy and intellectual comment added to the discussion. Cheers. Keep up the good work.
  3. Have you thought this through. Why would Republicans do this in a solid blue state that 100% will NOT turn red. A couple of drop boxes will make absolutely no difference in any possible way. My thoughts are it's a false flag to get idiot Democratic Party voters to say "Look! See what those white supremacist, Hitler loving, garbage Republicans are doing.
  4. What Trump is saying is that it's up to the individual states. A decentalisation of power from Washington. He is not anti abortion though his stance is anti late term abortions.
  5. Kangaroo courts of course originating in the US.
  6. Extremely well balanced, intellectual and unbiased opinion otherwise known as complete emotive red man bad BS. Your post will certainly pass the NOT disinformation/misinformation test when the 1st Amendment is further eroded if Harris wins.
  7. Again I say it is possible that Trump will win the Electoral Collage vote, the popular vote, the Senate and the House.
  8. Great to see another worthy and intellectual comment added to the discussion. Cheers. Keep up the good work.
  9. Great to see another worthy and intellectual comment added to the discussion. Cheers. Keep up the good work.
  10. No she's not Biden. Biden is/was much smarter.
  11. Opinion from the Trump side of things but definitely highlights Harris' failures. Doesn't matter what your opinions are about the Youtuber what comes out of Harris' mouth is all that matters. I'll guarantee no Harris supporter on here will watch this yet will react negatively. Negativity of course being what the Harris campaign has focused on.
  12. Yep big mistake having this type of comedian on. Everyone has distanced themselves from this and the staffer who let this guy through is no doubt regretting their decision big time. It won't be a significant vote a loser if at all and it certainly won't cost him the election. The left have grasped this and will run with it (your source being an example) but I think it's already lost a lot of steam. People want to know about key issues and how they will be fixed.
  13. J D Vance going on Rogan. Harris says she will do Rogan but Rogan must come to her and it can only be one hour.
  14. This demonizing rubbish won't work nor will Harris' "we must look forward" "turn the page" new generation leadership" rhetoric. Everyone knows that she's been in office for the last 4 yrs as VP and that's why she can't rest on what they've done in that time because the three main issues with voters are the economy, inflation and the border.
  15. Interesting indeed. A whole lot bigger than the "I worked at McDonald's" lie if this turns out to be true.
  16. Biden calls Trump supporters "garbage". LOL Biden suggests Trump supporters are ‘garbage’ after comic’s insult of Puerto Rico https://www.thestar.com/news/world/united-states/biden-suggests-trump-supporters-are-garbage-after-comics-insult-of-puerto-rico/article_a82801bc-bbe3-5552-959f-30c6c5fbcbbe.html
  17. Data averaged from 64 polls has Trump up +0.6 in PA. https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/pennsylvania/trump-vs-harris Pollymarket 62% to win. It's certainly going to be the key state.
  18. 'Prediction markets are places where people have money on the line, skin in the game. People don't lie with their money.' Kalshi, Polymarket and other such platforms have quickly emerged as a way to put money on elections legally and gauge who's ahead, after cycles in which when pollster forecasts crashed and burned. The opinion polls, which involve asking people how they plan to vote, said then-candidate Hillary Clinton would easily defeat Trump in 2016. In the end, it was close and the Democrat lost — the polls could not have been more wrong. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/us-politics/article-14011085/man-2024-election-betting-odds-predictor-polls-tarek-mansour.html
  19. Ok. It's time for you to put your money where your mouth is. Where's your evidence that says Polymarket isn't a predictor and the prediction market is somehow not a predictor? So far all you have done is say it isn't and show an NBC poll and talk about a French guy. Not exactly a pass mark when debating a point.
  20. Sorry but you seem to have misunderstood me. I never argued about there not being three seasons. If you say I do I would like you to show me where. All I'm saying is the true wet normally starts in July.
  21. Here's a few of quotes from an academic paper submitted to the University of Arizona titled PREDICTION MARKETS VS. POLITICAL POLLS: FORECASTING ELECTION OUTCOMES "Overall, both prediction market contract prices and polling scores both sources accurately predicted the winner of the nomination within the last few days of the race. But the prediction market contract price data more quickly responded to key milestones during the race for the nomination which allowed the market to predict a winner with larger margins when compared to the polling scores." "New research has shown that prediction markets are effective at predicting future events because of their timeliness and ability to adapt to new information more quickly than other forecasting and polling methods (Snowberg, Wolfers, Zitzewitz, 2012)." "There is evidence that changes in the candidates’ prediction market contract prices are positively correlated with candidates associated polling scores. Since contract prices and polling scores are positively correlated it can be inferred that if there is an increase/decrease in a candidate contract price the associated polling score will also increase/decrease." https://repository.arizona.edu/bitstream/handle/10150/666656/azu_etd_hr_2021_0133_sip1_m.pdf?sequence=1 I'm sure you'll find a way to argue that Polymarket isn't a predictor even with what I have posted to support my argument shows it is.
  22. Maybe you should read this "Polymarket is an American financial exchange and the world's largest prediction market," https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymarket#:~:text=Polymarket is an American financial,City and offering event contracts. or this https://www.forbes.com/sites/georgecalhoun/2024/10/23/prediction-markets-how-reliable-are-they-really-part-1/ or this (this is behind a paywall but there is one sentence visible) "Polymarket offers a useful gauge for predicting the upcoming election...." https://fortune.com/2024/10/22/trump-musk-harris-election-presidency-polymarket-crypto/ Polymarket is part of the prediction market so it must follow that Polymarket is indeed seen as a predictor. I suggest you do some homework before commenting on something you clearly state as NOT being a predictor.
  23. Did I say it was? No I didn't. I clearly stated that the above vid is based on Polymarket betting odds and make of it what you will. I will obviously need to simplify my language so as to not cause any future misunderstandings.
×
×
  • Create New...