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Swimfan

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Posts posted by Swimfan

  1. 8 minutes ago, Sheryl said:

     

    It is a bit of both plus that the surge in cases in the south & west have been disproportionately in younger people as that is who rushed out into bars etc when they reopened.  What remains to be seen is whether this will be followed by a spike among older people. They do after all often live in the same family.

    The death rate often peaks several weeks after the rise in infection numbers, probably too early to tell yet. Though one Texas doctor i saw on the news stated the patients they are seeing now are ten time sicker than patients they were seeing in March/April.

    • Like 1
  2. 22 hours ago, samsensam said:

     

    thailand certainly has a bee in its bonnet about healthcare. i'm sure this happens in many countries, especially popular tourist destinations, but the adverse financial/economic cost is far outweighed by the income from tourism, the situation just needs to be monitored and managed effectively.

     

    my australian inlaws were over a few years ago and needed hospital treatment, they were given the excellent care that any uk citizen would receive, they should have paid, were billed, and said they would pay, however they just skipped off home. i have no doubt this happens all the time but is managed by the uk government without bureaucratic measures being applied to tourists, because guess what? the uk wants and welcomes tourists as they are a great source of income for the country.

     

    however every country has the right to deal with domestic issues as they see fit, and as i said, healthcare is a very sensitive issue for thailand.

    Doesn't the UK and Australia have a reciprocal Health Agreement 

  3. 3 minutes ago, PingRoundTheWorld said:

    The idea that herd immunity has to be at 60% and up to get any results is completely false. Think about it for a moment - who are those 6% who already got it? They are the people most likely to get it because they have the most contact with other people. There are significant portions of the population that have less contact with others who wouldn't get it even if they're not immune. Think elderly, kids who stay at home, stay at home moms, unemployed basement dwellers, and anybody who self-isolates. In reality you need closer to 20-30% to get herd immunity as the virus will just die out if it can't feed on the population most likely to get it. In places like New York and Stockholm they're basically done with it - it's dying out - and it's not due to "social distancing", it's due to the fact most active people already had it. There won't be a "second wave" there. For the rest of the world - yes - a second wave is coming and there will be a third and a fourth if they don't just let it runs it's course.

    So the stay at home mum never goes to the shops , the basement dweller never  takes delivery of his pizza in person and the elderly never get visits from their family ? I think you are just changing the science to suit your own narrative. There still is no consensus that those who have been infected will retain immunity long term so its still very much a hypothetical that herd immunity can even be achieved. Its still way to early to think that its still over for places like New York or Sweden.   

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  4. 1 hour ago, Jimbo2014 said:

    Will this include Americans?  At the rate they are going they will be testing herd immunity by August!

    Not likely. If current estimates of people who have had the virus at ten times known cases is correct that is still only 6% of the population. Still another 54% to get to herd immunity. Some areas might get there quicker then it will just move on to other areas. Its pretty much a runaway train in the USA now. Who knows what the final destination will be. 

    • Like 1
  5. 5 hours ago, scorecard said:

    Second wave - bad news in Australia. All looking good, then in last 2 days some increase in numbers allowed in restaurants, sports, family gatherings etc.

     

    Very quickly in Victoria in 1 day 25 new infections found, next day 10, also bad numbers in NSW. 

     

    There's a long way to go yet....

    What bad numbers in NSW ?virtually all in NSW are hotel quarantine cases. 

  6. I have one at home in Australia. Dimplex 4.4kw reverse cycle. Cools and heats the 50sqm living area with 3m ceilings no problem at all. I bought it on Ebay for $150 it was only 12 months old . It is slightly noisy but not overly have owned several over the years and its probably the quietest i have had. Input power is 1600w so its relatively economical to run. 

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