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Orac

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Posts posted by Orac

  1. 8 minutes ago, rabas said:

    IIRC early predictions were for about 120,000. In a wave of irrational optimism that was lowered to 60,000 to 80,000.  Unfortunately we will easily blow past 140,000 due to the ongoing surge.

     

    OTH, the US has kept its death toll relatively low. It is still below the EU core 6 countries of Germany, Switzerland, Spain, France, Italy and UK with 150,000 deaths. The EU Core 6 has an equivalent population to the US. But the EU has mostly flattened out so US fatalities will soon surpass them.

     

    Switzerland joined the EU?  Mised thst happening.

  2. 8 minutes ago, scorecard said:

    Re schools closing, good response, well done.

     

    But my comments remainใ

    Also the local MP (and deputy health minister) has got the information out locally as to where thos guy stayed and went which does include a certain shopping mall that strongly denied his presence yesterday. Free testing available at 2 sites now for anyone who wants it.

  3. 8 minutes ago, scorecard said:

    Why not totally isolate the whole hotel and surroundings and all staff, and all other guests and tradespeople visiting etc. Plus the staff on the next shift?

     

    Seems to be a case of the monkeys leading the monkeys, again. 

     

     

    To be fair they have done quite a bit that is not really making the news. Not sure how much isolation is being done for staff but where they had children the schools were immediately closed. Several other schools in the area such as REPS have also closed for the rest of the week.

  4. I am no fan of the current govt and have great reservations about how they are handling this, however, there are some very tough decisions being made and the ‘science’ they have to rely on paints a very grim picture.

     

    For those looking for a long read there is a link below to the Imperial College’s latest impact assessment which has a bleak summary at the bottom of the first page.


    https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf


    Bottom line is that suppression seems to be working in the short term in some places but will society be able to handle it for possibly in excess of 18 months.

     

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