To save people clicking, this is Rupert Lowe's report, though the poster chooses not to identify it as such, in order to obfuscate. This report is not the source of the 250,000 claim. The claim comes from Lord Rannoch, during a 2019 debate on "Grooming Gangs". Lowe's report almost copies his Lordship's words during the debate. Indeed, the report acknowledges this claim on page 13. The report claims an extrapolation of 1400 cases in 2014 and 1000 cases in 2022 support this estimate. But this claim is not without dispute. https://www.thejournal.ie/250000-victims-of-grooming-gangs-in-the-uk-lord-pearson-of-rannoch-statistics-elon-musk-6596961-Jan2025/ The office of Lord Rannoch provided an explanation of their estimate: There is obviously a glaring, GCSE maths error in that statement, which some argue would make the problem appear 10x worse (calculating percentages correctly would indicated 2.5 million victims). That does mean that the problem must be even worse, but it does raise a big red flag over the model developed to come up with the estimate. The critique argues that Lord Rannoch's estimate of 250,000 victims is methodologically flawed because it extrapolates from inquiries into three exceptional and geographically diverse areas; Rotherham, Telford and Oxfordshire, which were investigated precisely because they were major child sexual exploitation (CSE) hotspots. The figures used in these reports relate to all forms of CSE, not specifically to organised "grooming gangs", Muslim or Pakistani perpetrators, or white victims. None of the reports break down victim numbers by perpetrators' ethnicity, and the Oxfordshire figure was also misapplied by treating it as relating only to the city of Oxford rather than the much larger county. Since there is no national estimate for victims of grooming gangs as a distinct category, the critique contends that Bannoch conflates overall CSE with a much narrower subset of offending and then projects rates observed in notorious hotspots onto the entire UK population without evidence that these areas are representative, producing an unreliable national estimate. There is no doubt a serious issue of child sexual abuse. But that is not news. Rannoch's estimates, repeated by Lowe's report. All this report does is take the same sources as Rannoch. It accepts Rannoch's estimates largely without question, and provides no additional statistics to corroborate those estimates. The report consists of mostly anecdotes, sad and shocking as they are. The report contain a cod-theological analysis of Islam and British legislation. Its also important to understand that the 250,000 claim is not an estimate that 250,000 girls now have been the victim of "Pakistani Grooming Gangs", but this is a number based over a 30 year period. Over a 30 year period, there would have been about 15 million falling into the age cohort considered. Obviously this claims to be an independent inquiry, not supported by the authorities, and it needed a Crowd Funder to commission it. The panel consisted of: Sammy Woodhouse: A survivor of the child sexual exploitation scandal in Rotherham who has become a campaigner on child sexual abuse issues. She chaired or led the inquiry panel. Nat Enderby-Shenton: Describes herself as "Rotherham whistle blower". She works for children's services at Staffordshire County Council Marlon West: A parent of a grooming victim Debra Sudbury: Previously a Community Psychiatric Nurse for the Rotherham Criminal Justice Liaison Service. Now retired. Julie Ballan: Unknown Editorial team: Charlie Downes: Campaigns Director and Spokesman for Restore Britain Joshua Ferme: Psychologist, TV presenter, and journalist. Main host of The Lotus Eaters. Youtuber. While he has not identified himself as a Restore Britain supporter, he is described as "right-wing, national-conservative and libertarian-leaning" Harrison Pitt: Writer and senior fellow at Restore Britain Graham Smith: Barrister The Inquiry Panel are emotionally invested in the topic for various reasons. The editorial team has a distinct political bias aligned with Mr Lowe. This cannot be described as an Independent Inquiry. No doubt its findings will be submitted to the actual Independent Inquiry into Grooming Gangs. Those with a genuine interest can follow it here: https://www.grooming-gangs.independent-inquiry.uk/ If anyone on this forum wishes to submit evidence, they can, via a form. The panel and their bios: https://www.grooming-gangs.independent-inquiry.uk/chair-and-panel/ It will run for 3 years, so will present findings after the next General Election. https://x.com/Femi_Mohammed1/status/2066891992949215573?s=20 Obviously the issue is the lack of reliable data, creating an opportunity for bad faith actors like Lowe, who really is only interested in political opportunism.
Create an account or sign in to comment