Global COVID vaccination saved 2.4 million lives in first 8 months, study estimates

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

November 1, 2023

 

"The COVID-19 vaccination campaign in 141 countries averted 2.4 million excess deaths by August 2021 and would have saved another 670,000 more lives had vaccines been distributed equitably, estimates a working paper from University of Southern California (USC) and Brown University researchers.

...

By extrapolating the results to the 141 countries, the researchers estimated that 2.36 million lives were saved in the first 8 months of the global COVID-19 vaccination campaign. The averted deaths were economically valued at $6.5 trillion, roughly equivalent to 9% of the combined gross domestic product (GDP) of the 141 countries.

 

In terms of absolute numbers, India and United States benefitted the most from the campaign, with 451,778 and 429,486 lives saved, respectively."

 

(more)

 

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/global-covid-vaccination-saved-24-million-lives-first-8-months-study-estimates

 

 

 

"The benefits of the COVID-19 vaccines are far-reaching by multiple measures, said co-author Christopher M. Whaley, an associate professor of health services, policy and practice at Brown.

 

"Our study shows the enormous health impacts of COVID-19 vaccines, which in turn have huge economic benefits,” Whaley said. "In terms of lives saved and economic value, the COVID-19 vaccination campaign is likely the most impactful public health response in recent memory."

 

The findings suggest that vaccination and therapeutics are much better at preventing death than other policies aimed at slowing the spread of the virus, the authors said."

 

https://www.brown.edu/news/2023-10-30/vaccine-impact

 

 

[Eleftheros]

30 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

"The COVID-19 vaccination campaign in 141 countries averted 2.4 million excess deaths by August 2021 and would have saved another 670,000 more lives had vaccines been distributed equitably, estimates a working paper from University of Southern California (USC) and Brown University researchers.

...

By extrapolating the results to the 141 countries, the researchers estimated that 2.36 million lives were saved in the first 8 months of the global COVID-19 vaccination campaign.

More computer modelling, more unwarranted assumptions, more fodder for the gullible.

[Bkk Brian]

17 minutes ago, Eleftheros said:

More computer modelling, more unwarranted assumptions, more fodder for the gullible.

Feel free to use pen and paper if you like, or perhaps even a calculator if your really daring.

 

Or go for a smaller cohort, more localized where its pure data.............yep totaled up, so get the pen and paper out again or use a computer........lol

 

Clear evidence that COVID-19 vaccines and boosters are saving lives

https://directorsblog.health.azdhs.gov/clear-evidence-that-covid-19-vaccines-and-boosters-are-saving-lives/

[Eleftheros]

2 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Feel free to use pen and paper if you like, or perhaps even a calculator if your really daring.

 

Or go for a smaller cohort, more localized where its pure data.............yep totaled up, so get the pen and paper out again or use a computer........lol

 

Clear evidence that COVID-19 vaccines and boosters are saving lives

https://directorsblog.health.azdhs.gov/clear-evidence-that-covid-19-vaccines-and-boosters-are-saving-lives/

I don't care if someone uses an abacus, or their toes, or a dartboard to come up with the figures.

 

To estimate the global effect, we extrapolate our findings from the main regression model to a broader set of 141 countries

 

It is clearly nonsense to extrapolate the findings from one computer model to a full set of 141 countries, which have wildly different demographic profiles, health systems, and means of data collection. This single statement undermines the entire effort.

 

Here we see again the low-resolution, one-size-fits-all kind of thinking which proved so disastrous throughout the pandemic. This is just publication for publication's sake, to justify a research grant.

[Bkk Brian]

2 minutes ago, Eleftheros said:

I don't care if someone uses an abacus, or their toes, or a dartboard to come up with the figures.

 

To estimate the global effect, we extrapolate our findings from the main regression model to a broader set of 141 countries

 

It is clearly nonsense to extrapolate the findings from one computer model to a full set of 141 countries, which have wildly different demographic profiles, health systems, and means of data collection. This single statement undermines the entire effort.

 

Here we see again the low-resolution, one-size-fits-all kind of thinking which proved so disastrous throughout the pandemic. This is just publication for publication's sake, to justify a research grant.

Well I gave you another example where there was no extrapolation needed.