RCP Average	Date	Trump (R)	Harris (D)	Spread
Top Battlegrounds	10/19	48.3	47.5	Trump+0.8
Arizona	October 19th	48.8	47.4	Trump+1.4
Nevada	October 19th	47.9	47.1	Trump+0.8
Wisconsin	October 19th	47.9	47.8	Trump+0.1
Michigan	October 19th	48.3	47.4	Trump+0.9
Pennsylvania	October 19th	47.9	47.4	Trump+0.5
North Carolina	October 19th	48.5	47.5	Trump+1.0
Georgia	October 19th	48.7	47.6	Trump+1.1

 

https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

Trump outperformed his poll numbers by about 5% in 2016 & 2020. It may well not be as close as the RCP numbers show. Also, vulnerable Senate Democrat seems to be distancing themselves from Harris lately

This is what I have been saying, too.

 

It's just that nobody ever takes what i say seriously.

 

Trump is headed for a Landslide Victory....please mark my words...this time.

 

(Also, I don't get no respect.)

 

Edited October 19, 20241 yr by GammaGlobulin

1 hour ago, theblether said:

RCP Average	Date	Trump (R)	Harris (D)	Spread
Top Battlegrounds	10/19	48.3	47.5	Trump+0.8
Arizona	October 19th	48.8	47.4	Trump+1.4
Nevada	October 19th	47.9	47.1	Trump+0.8
Wisconsin	October 19th	47.9	47.8	Trump+0.1
Michigan	October 19th	48.3	47.4	Trump+0.9
Pennsylvania	October 19th	47.9	47.4	Trump+0.5
North Carolina	October 19th	48.5	47.5	Trump+1.0
Georgia	October 19th	48.7	47.6	Trump+1.1

 

https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

I certainly hope none of the Trump haters do anything dramatic like overdose on antidepressants or jump off the roof of a high rise building after reading this information.

But they love repeating over and over he’s losing ground, finished etc etc. complete with charts, graphs, statistics, spreadsheets and studies under the Biden administration.

 

It gives them a warm and fuzzy feeling.

Edited October 19, 20241 yr by G_Money

4 minutes ago, G_Money said:

I certainly hope none of the Trump haters do anything dramatic like overdose on antidepressants or jump off the roof of a high rise building after reading this information.

 

 

There's bound to be a few...though...

 

Still, on the UP side, looking at this in a positive perspective....

There will be no need to play that old song....by Donovan...

 

You know the song....right?

 

 

 

Edited October 19, 20241 yr by GammaGlobulin

8 minutes ago, GammaGlobulin said:

 

There's bound to be a few...though...

 

Still, on the UP side, looking at this in a positive perspective....

There will be no need to play that old song....by Donovan...

 

You know the song....right?

 

 

 

Do not remember that one. Herty Gerty man and Atantis, I think?

Praise the lord, in Trump we trust! 

3 minutes ago, proton said:

Praise the lord, in Trump we trust! 

 

YEAH!

 

The fault lies with the Party of the Dems, of course.

 

It never needed to be like this....absolutely!

 

Just a case of the lesser of two evils, I guess....

 

 

Edited October 19, 20241 yr by GammaGlobulin

41 minutes ago, nattaya09 said:

Trump outperformed his poll numbers by about 5% in 2016 & 2020. It may well not be as close as the RCP numbers show. Also, vulnerable Senate Democrat seems to be distancing themselves from Harris lately

 

Looks like whoever anointed Harris seriously misjudged the citizenry of The United States.

 

Also, perhaps they underestimated the impact of having scammed the People of the United States concerning Biden's lack of cognitive fitness to carry out the duties of Prez...during the past year.

 

 

Edited October 19, 20241 yr by GammaGlobulin

3 hours ago, nattaya09 said:

Trump outperformed his poll numbers by about 5% in 2016 & 2020. It may well not be as close as the RCP numbers show. Also, vulnerable Senate Democrat seems to be distancing themselves from Harris lately

 

Not only distancing themselves, they are actively promoting the work they did with Trump in his first term. 

2 hours ago, GammaGlobulin said:

 

Looks like whoever anointed Harris seriously misjudged the citizenry of The United States.

 

Also, perhaps they underestimated the impact of having scammed the People of the United States concerning Biden's lack of cognitive fitness to carry out the duties of Prez...during the past year.

 

 

 

It was hilarious when Brett asked her about how long she knew Joe was brain dead. She responded Biden isn't on the ballot. Well gee whiz really why is that and how long did you conceal that his brain  was mush.  If he is just fine why are you running if you won't change a thing? 

 

 

 

Also on TV it is bizarre seeing ads air with dems featuring Trump in them and how they worked with him. I went out for some lumber the other day on the Pennsylvania side of the line. On the local firehouse there was a huge billboard type sign that said "Democrats For Trump" 

 

There is just so much wrong with her campaign. 

Edited October 19, 20241 yr by Cryingdick

12 minutes ago, Cryingdick said:

 

It was hilarious when Brett asked her about how long she knew Joe was brain dead. She responded Biden isn't on the ballot. Well gee whiz really why is that and how long did you conceal that his brain  was mush.  If he is just fine why are you running if you won't change a thing? 

 

 

 

Also on TV it is bizarre seeing ads air with dems featuring Trump in them and how they worked with him. I went out for some lumber the other day on the Pennsylvania side of the line. On the local firehouse there was a huge billboard type sign that said "Democrats For Trump" 

 

There is just so much wrong with her campaign. 

 

Where where you shopping?

Bucks County?

That part of the line?

 

Serious question: Is Joe Biden still president of the United States?  If so - where has he been? I don't see him much in the media these days.

27 minutes ago, GammaGlobulin said:

 

Where where you shopping?

Bucks County?

That part of the line?

 

 

This would be in Beaver County. PA/WV line not far from Butler where they shot trump.

5 minutes ago, Woke to Sounds of Horking said:

Serious question: Is Joe Biden still president of the United States?  If so - where has he been? I don't see him much in the media these days.

He was in Germany or somewhere on a trip last I heard.

12 minutes ago, Woke to Sounds of Horking said:

Serious question: Is Joe Biden still president of the United States?  If so - where has he been? I don't see him much in the media these days.

 

I think they just put Governance of the USA on AutoPilot, and hope for the best.

 

The US Gov is so finely tuned that it pretty much just runs itself.

 

ANTIFA hates this one wierd trick.

 

 

5 hours ago, theblether said:

RCP Average	Date	Trump (R)	Harris (D)	Spread
Top Battlegrounds	10/19	48.3	47.5	Trump+0.8
Arizona	October 19th	48.8	47.4	Trump+1.4
Nevada	October 19th	47.9	47.1	Trump+0.8
Wisconsin	October 19th	47.9	47.8	Trump+0.1
Michigan	October 19th	48.3	47.4	Trump+0.9
Pennsylvania	October 19th	47.9	47.4	Trump+0.5
North Carolina	October 19th	48.5	47.5	Trump+1.0
Georgia	October 19th	48.7	47.6	Trump+1.1

 

https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

 

Quote

In November 2020, The New York Times published an article alleging that since 2017, when many of its "straight-news" reporting journalists were laid off, RealClearPolitics showed a pro-Trump turn with donations to its affiliated nonprofit increasing from entities supported by wealthy conservatives.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RealClearPolitics

26 minutes ago, tgw said:

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RealClearPolitics

The RCP Averages above are  an average of several pollsters, including the NY Times, for each of those states. RCP didn't conduct the poll(s)

First, it was Bill Clinton lamenting the murders by Harris/Biden newcomers. 

 

Now it's Lizzo giving Trump a boost, at a Kamala rally:

 

Pop singer Lizzo spoke at a campaign rally for Vice President Kamala Harris in Detroit, Michigan, Saturday, telling the audience that “if Kamala wins then the whole country will be like Detroit.”

 

It just keeps getting better and better.

 

https://dailycaller.com/2024/10/19/lizzo-tells-swing-state-voters-support-kamala-whole-country-will-be-like-detroit/

 

 

 

What dirty tricks does the left have to steal this election, is my only question

3 minutes ago, mdr224 said:

What dirty tricks does the left have to steal this election, is my only question

There we go again.

I take a balanced approach to reading the tea leaves. Looking at the fundementals such as early voter turnout, the keys system of Allan Lichtman, with much less interest in polling.

I've got my own predictions now:

Harris will win Pennsylvania and Georgia.

Harris will win the electoral vote but narrowly.

Trump will claim that he won very early well before the electoral count is certain.

The maga fascist deep state of anti-democracy will fight very hard with an army of lawyers to create social unrest, even violence to overturn their loss (as they did last time but this time much better prepared so BEWARE!) up until January 20 when Harris will be inaugurated.

 

Needless to say I could be wrong.

 

As far as the psychology of the polling posted here, it could be argued such numbers will encourage more Harris voters to turn out (as it's so close within margin or error) and Trump fans to stay home thinking he's won anyway.

 

Cheers.

Edited October 20, 20241 yr by Jingthing

3 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

I take a balanced approach to reading the tea leaves.

 

I had to toss my cornflakes and start with a new bowl.  Too much spit in them...

 

9 hours ago, GammaGlobulin said:

 

YEAH!

 

The fault lies with the Party of the Dems, of course.

 

It never needed to be like this....absolutely!

 

Just a case of the lesser of two evils, I guess....

 

 

Its all about hate with them:

 

6 hours ago, Woke to Sounds of Horking said:

Serious question: Is Joe Biden still president of the United States?  If so - where has he been? I don't see him much in the media these days.

Hiding in his basement eating an ice cream cone.

 

Officially a lame duck do nothing President.

No different than the last 4 years, just officially now.

Edited October 20, 20241 yr by G_Money

10 hours ago, GammaGlobulin said:

Still, on the UP side, looking at this in a positive perspective....

There will be no need to play that old song....by Donovan...

 

You know the song....right?

Donavan on Sunshine Superman album.  Also played by Super Session with Al Kooper, Mike Bloomfield, and Steven Stills.  Classic Song.  I'll have to crank those up on my Spotify today.

6 hours ago, Woke to Sounds of Horking said:

Serious question: Is Joe Biden still president of the United States?  If so - where has he been? I don't see him much in the media these days.

 

Sine he stepped down from the presidential race, due to the dementia that the left said was just a speech impediment, he's been keeping a low profile.  I think they believe that he can only harm the Dems' image.

 

It says a lot about how active he actually is as a president in the first place.

Hardly surprising, outside of what never-Trumpers say, Harris doesn't seem too popular.  It's very hard to transform someone's image from the female George Bush to the female Obama overnight.

58 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

I take a balanced approach to reading the tea leaves. Looking at the fundementals such as early voter turnout, the keys system of Allan Lichtman, with much less interest in polling.

I've got my own predictions now:

Harris will win Pennsylvania and Georgia.

Harris will win the electoral vote but narrowly.

Trump will claim that he won very early well before the electoral count is certain.

The maga fascist deep state of anti-democracy will fight very hard with an army of lawyers to create social unrest, even violence to overturn their loss (as they did last time but this time much better prepared so BEWARE!) up until January 20 when Harris will be inaugurated.

 

Needless to say I could be wrong.

 

As far as the psychology of the polling posted here, it could be argued such numbers will encourage more Harris voters to turn out (as it's so close within margin or error) and Trump fans to stay home thinking he's won anyway.

 

Cheers.

 

So now...

You are beginning to engage in wishful thinking...maybe.

 

I am sure you are familiar with the stages of grief.

 

There's Denial.

Then, there is Petitioning a god that does not exist.....absolutely.

 

Then there is Fantasizing.....maybe.

 

I'm sure the DEMs will become even more familiar with these stages of grief...come November 6th.

 

But, can't say that I did not warn them....

I DID!