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The Australian dollar crashed to 59.64 US cents—its lowest level since April 2020—as markets reeled from Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, threatening higher prices for imports and overseas travel.

 

Key Developments:

  • Historic Lows: AUD fell over 6% in a week, hitting 59.64¢ against the USD and below 90 yen for the first time since 2023.

  • Market Meltdown: ASX lost $160bn in value as fears of a global trade war intensified.

  • Retail Shock: E-commerce experts warn of imminent price hikes for US-linked goods, including Temu and Shein purchases.

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Why It Matters:
A weaker AUD means higher costs for everything from electronics to overseas holidays, with travelers to Japan, Indonesia, and India facing steeper expenses. The currency’s slump reflects fears that Trump’s tariffs—and retaliatory measures from China and the EU—could trigger a global recession, crushing demand for Australia’s iron ore and other commodities.

 

Sector Impacts:

  • Retail: Prices for US-dollar-pegged imports will rise “significantly,” warns e-commerce analyst Kelly Slessor.

  • Travel: Japan trips lose appeal as AUD buys under 90 yen (down from 100+ in 2024).

  • Commodities: Iron ore demand at risk if China’s economy slows amid trade hostilities, says AMP economist My Bui.

 

Global Ripple Effects:
While the euro and yen gained against the USD, currencies of trade-reliant nations like India and South Korea fell. Markets now price in a “worst-case scenario” where Trump’s 10% global tariffs escalate into a full-blown trade war.

 

What’s Next:
Consumers are urged to buy now before retailers adjust prices upward. Meanwhile, the RBA faces pressure to cut rates further, with analysts warning the AUD could test 55¢ if China’s growth falters.

 

 

 

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