Oil is flowing, Iran offers a deal, Trump says no and war toll rises

Tehran offers a seven-day route to reopening Hormuz — but Trump rejects the proposal as oil shipments increase and US casualties mount

Trump rejects Iran's offer

Iran has put forward a proposal that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days and create a route back to nuclear negotiations, but Donald Trump has rejected the offer.

Tehran's proposal would involve a ceasefire, the lifting of the US naval blockade and some easing of oil sanctions. Iran has also linked the reopening of the crucial waterway to an end to hostilities, putting Washington under pressure to decide whether diplomacy or continued military pressure is the way forward.

Trump, however, has indicated that what Iran is offering does not go far enough.

Hormuz is moving again

There is nevertheless a striking change taking place on the water. Oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have increased sharply, with daily volumes now estimated at around 13 million barrels.

US forces and regional partners have also begun helping tankers make daytime passages through the strait, rather than relying predominantly on movements under cover of darkness.

That matters because Hormuz remains one of the world's most important oil chokepoints. Every tanker getting through reduces some of the immediate pressure on global energy supplies — but it does not mean the confrontation is over.

The military toll keeps rising

While oil is beginning to move more freely, the human cost of the conflict is continuing to climb.

The Pentagon's casualty figures have recorded another significant increase in wounded US personnel, with 29 Navy sailors and eight Marines added to the total. That brings the reported number of American troops wounded during the Iran war to 861.

There has been no detailed public explanation of when or how the latest group was injured. A Navy official has said the sailors have returned to duty.

A war becoming easier to manage — but harder to end

That leaves an unusual picture. The flow of oil through Hormuz is improving, with US military forces helping tankers get through, yet Washington has rejected an Iranian proposal specifically aimed at reopening the strait and establishing a ceasefire.

At the same time, the number of wounded American personnel continues to rise.

Iran's proposal may therefore have failed to produce the diplomatic breakthrough Tehran was seeking, but the combination of increasing oil traffic, a proposed ceasefire and mounting US casualties shows that the war is entering a new phase — one where the pressure to find a way out is growing even as Trump shows no sign of accepting Iran's terms.

AN ORIGINAL

henwants to crush the theocracy old goats running the cartel

I had heard Iran offered the old fool a realistic proposal and I KNEW he would f*** it up.

Edited 3 hours ago3 hr by HappyExpat57

Oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have increased sharply, with daily volumes now estimated at around 13 million barrels.

.......sharply?.............That's 7 ships a day......no way is that going to put a dint in oil prices.

This is just Trump trying to look strong and in control; the only way this can end is if they start talking and agree a negotiated settlement.

Trying to force a military solution is madness; it would see troops deployed to Iran, would likely be 10 or 20 times worse than Afghanistan and achieve nothing other than thousands of casualties, with the end result likely to be the same as Afghanistan. An air campaign alone will not achieve anything apart from more death and destruction and hatred.

Perhaps even worse, in Afghanistan the US had NATO and its coalition on its side; this time it is only Israel, and I doubt they would send any troops to help; they are spread too thin and busy in Lebanon and Gaza.

For me it comes down to either talking and reaching an agreement which costs nothing or carrying on as they are which risks the conflict spreading and pushing the world into recession.

The US may have the most powerful military in the world but it has its limits and is perhaps not as invincible as Trump would like to think it is.

Let's detail the specifics of the deal.

According to AI,

1. Cessation of all hostilities/fighting on all fronts, including in Lebanon (and references to Yemen in some related Iranian statements).

2. Lifting of the US naval blockade of Iranian ports.

3. Lifting/waiving of sanctions on Iranian oil sales/exports.

4. Release of frozen Iranian assets (estimated in some reports at least $12 billion).

The US loses a lot of leverage when Iran receives a large money infusion, is able to resupply with cargo ships, sell oil, sanctions lifted would allow oil and goods to be sold via water routes. Then let's say Iran is in a good position after a couple of weeks, then decides to attack ships from hostile countries or who don't pay the 1 million to 2 million Iran permit/passage fee