Putin regime could collapse ‘overnight’, spy chief warns Vladimir Putin’s grip on power could appear unshakable until the moment it suddenly breaks, according to Estonia’s intelligence chief, who says growing war fatigue is spreading through Russian society and the elite. Kaupo Rosin, director general of the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service, warned that internal pressure is building as the war in Ukraine drags on without a decisive Russian victory. Quiet doubts are spreading inside Moscow Rosin said increasingly senior figures are questioning the Kremlin’s strategy, even as a direct popular uprising remains unlikely. “There are certainly voices” urging Putin to continue, he told the Telegraph, but voices calling for him to reconsider are becoming stronger. Economic strain, high inflation and slowing battlefield progress are adding to the pressure. A sudden break could catch everyone off guard Rosin said Russia is currently in a “very bad place” and stressed that any political upheaval could happen with extraordinary speed. “If something changes in Russia, then it will happen in a very rapid manner and we will all be surprised,” he said. “It will be an overnight thing, if it ever happens.” That warning echoes the Kremlin shock of June 2023, when Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin launched an armed rebellion and his forces advanced towards Moscow before the mutiny collapsed. War fatigue reaches the elite The intelligence assessment suggests dissatisfaction is no longer confined to ordinary Russians struggling with rising prices. Rosin said unhappiness with the war is increasing “in all echelons of society”, extending from ordinary people to oligarchs facing sanctions and the consequences of prolonged military stagnation. The question now is Putin’s response Rosin said more Russians do not want the war to continue, but the crucial issue is whether that growing opposition can influence Putin’s decisions. For now, the Kremlin remains firmly in control. But Estonia’s intelligence chief is warning that if the foundations of that control ever give way, the collapse may be far faster than outsiders expect. Spy boss predicts collapse of Putin's regime: "It will be an overnight thing"
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