Pollsters Say They're Working To Make Better Predictions: Thailand

[webfact]

POLL
Pollsters say they're working to make better predictions
The Nation

BANGKOK: -- Suan Dusit Poll chief Sukhum Chaloeysub has released a letter publicly apologising for the incorrect predictions for the governor's election.

Pollsters said they were sorry they released wrong projections for both pre-election and exit polls over who would win the race. They explained there were several factors affecting the accuracy of the poll.

The letter said the Dusit Poll team met on Monday to find out why its survey had come up with the wrong results.

The meeting resolved to change the "process of survey" in the future, by getting pollsters to plan better and train their staff; double-checking all data storage, including mapping and telephones; keep a better control on variables in data analysis, such as popularity flow, base vote of each side and behaviour of the respondents; and having all 27 key researchers to consider staff quality control.

Some lacked caution in the control of variables and some did not understand the political process, he said, adding that the poll findings of the research team did not reflect the real opinion of Bangkok residents.

Staff members of Suan Dusit Poll are working to improve and restructure their polling methods.

Abac Poll chief Noppadon Kannikar said in his article "That day… the Lost Truth", that Abac did not take an exit or entry poll but only a pre-election poll between last Thursday and Saturday. The survey showed projected voter turnout at 66.4 with a poll point aberration of between 5 and 7 per cent.

In reality, the voter turnout was 63.9 and the media did not present the aberration, which made the public believe the poll was wrong.

Some groups called on pollsters to stop focusing on certain issues which, Noppadon said, would not be possible as it would mean not reflecting "the truth of all the classes [in society]" in a democratic system.


-- The Nation 2013-03-06

[Thai at Heart]

Face is an idiotic thing isn't it

[Buchholz]

.

Need to take a poll on whether or not the public thinks pollsters making better predictions will occur.

.

[billd766]

In other words they were talking <deleted> and don't have a clue.

Here is a hint.

When you take a poll publish not only the results but the questions as well with a contact number or website so that you can get proper feedback.

[tragickingdom]

Better predictions mean polling in all of Thailand's provinces not in 10. The same counts for Bangkok not in 10 districts but in all and reaching people working in the fields and in factories. That is not going to happy. Rather lazy than tired is written in their tag lines.

[bigbamboo]

Why don't they just employ fortune tellers then?

That's what some Thai government ministers used to do... even the PM himself.

Edited March 6, 2013 by bigbamboo

[tomross46]

Why don't they just employ fortune tellers then?

That's what some Thai government ministers used to do... even the PM himself.

Wat Poe, does a good job.

[GentlemanJim]

Perhaps an easy way to solve the failings with the wildly inaccurate poll results is to simply look at who commissioned the polls

[Potosi]

Just establish how many votes the different camps are prepared to buy, and the polls become accurate.

[hawker9000]

Can't....................think..............of anything...............to.......say............................5555555555555555555555555 LMAO Too funny!!!

[Payboy]

Some lacked caution in the control of variables and some did not understand the political process, he said

So, they were hired by the same guy that hires security guards.

[ratcatcher]

BANGKOK: -- Suan Dusit Poll chief Sukhum Chaloeysub has released a letter publicly apologising for the incorrect predictions for the governor's election.

OR in other words : "Suan Dusit Poll chief says "Sorry we fecked up and next time we won't <deleted> up quite so badly"

Edited March 13, 2013 by ratcatcher

[jamhar]

Considering the improvement potential, They are bound to succeed!

But this is TL.......

[Thai at Heart]

How on earth does this become such an issue?

We have been regaled with nonsense surveys for ever