What are the chances of a pandemic H1N1 outbreak in Thailand ? - 18 deaths since January according to the report in the link below

http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/health/h1n1-flu-claims-18-lives/1044716.html

A "pandemic" is an event which crosses country boundary's and involves more than one Continent .

There no current evidence of "flu" pandemic.

The WHO is the monitoring / Warning agency.

Details can be found on the WHO website.

NB

The number of cases reported in the link is insignificant when set against a population of 66 million.

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High

Very very low, if you read the article, there is no proof yet of person to person transmission of the virus!

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High

I wonder exactly why that was said and what evidence the prediction is based on ?

Here is the latest update from the WHO

http://www.who.int/influenza/surveillance_monitoring/updates/latest_update_GIP_surveillance/en/

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High

I wonder exactly why that was said and what evidence the prediction is based on ?

Here is the latest update from the WHO

http://www.who.int/influenza/surveillance_monitoring/updates/latest_update_GIP_surveillance/en/

Trollism.

Very very low, if you read the article, there is no proof yet of person to person transmission of the virus!

Huh? H1N1 is the Swine flu and is transmitted from person to person by inhalation or ingestion of droplets containing virus from people sneezing or coughing; it is not transmitted by eating cooked pork products.

Were you thinking of Bird flu perhaps (H5N1) ?

Very very low, if you read the article, there is no proof yet of person to person transmission of the virus!

Huh? H1N1 is the Swine flu and is transmitted from person to person by inhalation or ingestion of droplets containing virus from people sneezing or coughing; it is not transmitted by eating cooked pork products.

Were you thinking of Bird flu perhaps (H5N1) ?

Yes, thanks, I stand corrected, I glanced at the title and wrongly thought the topic was about ducks not pigs.

Actually it continues to be a high incidence flu type for both Northern and Southern hemisphere vaccines this year (after being last year also) so more reason than ever to obtain flu shots. Believe another report said Thai government hospitals will have vaccine starting in May.

T.I.T.Anything is possible

It is also very much underreported, both in Thailand and elsewhere. Only a minority of flu cases get tested for it.

I hear through the grapevine that there is a cluster in the North West of Thailand and 9 deaths there since January . One poster on here should know the town. Also that the Government Hospital is now making serious plans - which is a good thing.

50/50 if you're in the Farmlands.

I was ill for one whole week with some kind of flu. It affected my lungs for three more weeks and my doc said that I had Pneumonia ( in Thaialnd! )

Must be all those dirty unclean tourist visiting my Island of Samui.

I hear 100 cases per day in central province.