jamesbrock Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 no mention of La Niña or its affect? La Niña is still a ways out into the future - and won't start affecting weather until well into the Autumn period. According to the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, most models suggest a transition to ENSO-neutral by May-June-July (MJJ) 2016 with the increasing possibility of La Niña conditions after June-July-August (JJA) 2016. La Niña is the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and is associated with heavy rains in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand. The last La Niña episode occurred between mid-2010 and early 2012 - this La Niña was a large factor in the 2011–2012 Thailand floods. This is the updated forecast as of 25 April: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
55Jay Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 This Weather Chief is so good, he can predict the number of tropical storms that will form 4 months from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesbrock Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 "The good news was revealed by the departments deputy director-general Mr Songkran Aksorn at the meeting of a committee responsible for solving the drought crisis." Awesome job by the committee....whatever they're doing, just keep it up. It's really working. By the end of May lets hope they have a plan B Committee Responsible for solving the drought crisis Action Plan (CRAP): Wait. Change name to Committee Responsible for solving the flood crisis Prepare tugboats and rope Wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klauskunkel Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 wrong, wrong. You need a referendum to let it rain. This is a Military Democracy, you can't just unilaterally decide on the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ulic Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 3:47 pm and as I am reading this article and look out my window here in Jomtien it is raining. Probably not for long but the timing is amusing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLW Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 no mention of La Niña or its affect? La Niña is still a ways out into the future - and won't start affecting weather until well into the Autumn period. According to the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, most models suggest a transition to ENSO-neutral by May-June-July (MJJ) 2016 with the increasing possibility of La Niña conditions after June-July-August (JJA) 2016. La Niña is the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and is associated with heavy rains in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand. The last La Niña episode occurred between mid-2010 and early 2012 - this La Niña was a large factor in the 2011–2012 Thailand floods. This is the updated forecast as of 25 April: la nina.jpg How to interpret this chart?Is the line or the bars more important? Does that mean Thailand has increased risk of flooding due to a strong La Niña effect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesbrock Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 no mention of La Niña or its affect? La Niña is still a ways out into the future - and won't start affecting weather until well into the Autumn period. According to the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, most models suggest a transition to ENSO-neutral by May-June-July (MJJ) 2016 with the increasing possibility of La Niña conditions after June-July-August (JJA) 2016. La Niña is the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and is associated with heavy rains in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand. The last La Niña episode occurred between mid-2010 and early 2012 - this La Niña was a large factor in the 2011–2012 Thailand floods. This is the updated forecast as of 25 April: la nina.jpg How to interpret this chart?Is the line or the bars more important? Does that mean Thailand has increased risk of flooding due to a strong La Niña effect? The bars represent the probability of a particular ENSO phase (El Niño/neutral/La Niña), so the chance of La Niña and ENSO-neutral are about equal by June-July-August, with La Niña favoured afterwards. While La Niña is associated with heavy rains in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, and the last La Niña episode was a large factor in the 2011–2012 Thailand floods, not all La Niña episodes cause flooding in Thailand. What is concerning, is that in 2011, the monsoon started in May, and major flooding began as Tropical Storm Nock-ten hit around 31 July, which was exacerbated by heavy rains continuing longer than usual due to the effect of La Niña - and now we have two tropical storms forecast in August to September in conjunction with this La Niña... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slipperylobster Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 gee whiz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slipperylobster Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 "...seasonal monsoon rains will start to come." At about the same time as democracy comes. Maybe they can "elect" to make it rain. and any one who voted against the rain.....? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jerojero Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Soothsayer extraordinaire! Knows when rain is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
worgeordie Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Its trying very hard to rain where I am in Chiang Mai,dark clouds, thunder, closed all the windows,and it rained couple minutes. If it does not start to rain mid May,hows the Government going to explain all its promises of plenty water for all,(except the farmers). regards worgeordie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sangfroid Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 3:47 pm and as I am reading this article and look out my window here in Jomtien it is raining. Probably not for long but the timing is amusing. Good rainfall in Huay Khwaang earlier this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lungmi Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 no mention of La Niña or its affect? La Niña is still a ways out into the future - and won't start affecting weather until well into the Autumn period. According to the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, most models suggest a transition to ENSO-neutral by May-June-July (MJJ) 2016 with the increasing possibility of La Niña conditions after June-July-August (JJA) 2016. La Niña is the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and is associated with heavy rains in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand. The last La Niña episode occurred between mid-2010 and early 2012 - this La Niña was a large factor in the 2011–2012 Thailand floods. This is the updated forecast as of 25 April: la nina.jpg El nino is tired in some months, he needs la nina.Then some TVa posters will be happy to blame the Governemnt for negligence in front of floodrd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duncan Donut Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 You can’t put the toothpaste back in the tube, weather chief...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robm579 Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 no mention of La Niña or its affect? La Niña is still a ways out into the future - and won't start affecting weather until well into the Autumn period. According to the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, most models suggest a transition to ENSO-neutral by May-June-July (MJJ) 2016 with the increasing possibility of La Niña conditions after June-July-August (JJA) 2016. La Niña is the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and is associated with heavy rains in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand. The last La Niña episode occurred between mid-2010 and early 2012 - this La Niña was a large factor in the 20112012 Thailand floods. This is the updated forecast as of 25 April: la nina.jpg How to interpret this chart?Is the line or the bars more important? Does that mean Thailand has increased risk of flooding due to a strong La Niña effect? The bars represent the probability of a particular ENSO phase (El Niño/neutral/La Niña), so the chance of La Niña and ENSO-neutral are about equal by June-July-August, with La Niña favoured afterwards. While La Niña is associated with heavy rains in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, and the last La Niña episode was a large factor in the 20112012 Thailand floods, not all La Niña episodes cause flooding in Thailand. What is concerning, is that in 2011, the monsoon started in May, and major flooding began as Tropical Storm Nock-ten hit around 31 July, which was exacerbated by heavy rains continuing longer than usual due to the effect of La Niña - and now we have two tropical storms forecast in August to September in conjunction with this La Niña... So as bull <deleted> baffles brains.... What you're saying is that it might rain sometime soon, if not before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
useronthenet Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Breaking news !..... rainy season coming ...... in rainy season ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willyumiii Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 "Mr Songkran said that rains will start to come to relieve the crisis from the middle of next month" Come on... Seriously? "Mr. Songkran" says Thailand will get wet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willyumiii Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 As always, the rains will come and bring flooding after a drought. And all of that flood water will head down the river to the gulf where it will become useless. It is way past time Thailand built reservoirs to reclaim and retain all of that flood water for use in the dry season. There is a lot of pretty useless farm land that could be converted to lakes to not only retain water for agriculture, but create recreation areas and higher valued land around the lakes. It's not rocket surgery or brain science! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLW Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 As always, the rains will come and bring flooding after a drought. And all of that flood water will head down the river to the gulf where it will become useless. It is way past time Thailand built reservoirs to reclaim and retain all of that flood water for use in the dry season. There is a lot of pretty useless farm land that could be converted to lakes to not only retain water for agriculture, but create recreation areas and higher valued land around the lakes. It's not rocket surgery or brain science! A Lake like this:https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gro%C3%9Fer_Brombachsee Sorry it's only available in German language but I think with translation understandable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Deerhunter Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Nearly 3 hours of medium and light rain over much of northern Chonburi on Saturday. Most soaked in with little runoff in our area. Most welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcnx Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 A true prophet. From droughts to floods, bring on the next catastrophy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesbrock Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 According to the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, most models suggest a transition to ENSO-neutral by May-June-July (MJJ) 2016 with the increasing possibility of La Niña conditions after June-July-August (JJA) 2016.La Niña is the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and is associated with heavy rains in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand. The last La Niña episode occurred between mid-2010 and early 2012 - this La Niña was a large factor in the 2011–2012 Thailand floods. This is the updated forecast as of 25 April: la nina.jpg El nino is tired in some months, he needs la nina.Then some TVa posters will be happy to blame the Governemnt for negligence in front of floodrd If floods do eventuate, and neither government learned any lessons from the 2011-2012 floods nor did anything the minimise the damage of any future flood disaster, whom do you suggest TV posters blame? The bars represent the probability of a particular ENSO phase (El Niño/neutral/La Niña), so the chance of La Niña and ENSO-neutral are about equal by June-July-August, with La Niña favoured afterwards. While La Niña is associated with heavy rains in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, and the last La Niña episode was a large factor in the 20112012 Thailand floods, not all La Niña episodes cause flooding in Thailand. What is concerning, is that in 2011, the monsoon started in May, and major flooding began as Tropical Storm Nock-ten hit around 31 July, which was exacerbated by heavy rains continuing longer than usual due to the effect of La Niña - and now we have two tropical storms forecast in August to September in conjunction with this La Niña... So as bull <deleted> baffles brains.... What you're saying is that it might rain sometime soon, if not before? Apologies for my use of cited sources, technical terms and multi-syllabic words; next time I'll just make unsubstantiated claims using small words. Krub. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chainarong Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 So the flood mitigation crew takes over from the drought relief crew , is that how it works?............................................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thian Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 Time to buy me a proper water=tuktuk then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrTuner Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 (edited) So the flood mitigation crew takes over from the drought relief crew , is that how it works?.............................................Same fellas, same incompetency. Edited May 1, 2016 by DrTuner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Naam Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 Prepare for floods. let there be floods! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
55Jay Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 Lurching from one crisis to the next. Round and round it goes. Such is life in Amazing Thailand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalblue Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 Just because it starts raining doesn't mean the drought is over... God this is irresponsible and incompetent writing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prbkk Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 The brief storm in Bangkok yesterday proved to be quite fortuitous: it closed the giant Ferris wheel at Dinosaur Planet Park about 5 minutes before it burst into flames. The place has only been open about a month and already safety concerns. Front page BP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JAG Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 As always, the rains will come and bring flooding after a drought. And all of that flood water will head down the river to the gulf where it will become useless. It is way past time Thailand built reservoirs to reclaim and retain all of that flood water for use in the dry season. There is a lot of pretty useless farm land that could be converted to lakes to not only retain water for agriculture, but create recreation areas and higher valued land around the lakes. It's not rocket surgery or brain science! But it might just annoy those people who own and live off that useless .farmland. Recreation opportunities and neighbouring land values won't feed their families! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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