Chelseafan

3 minutes ago, bomber said:

if you call 10-12% a small decline then god help you,the fairest way to asses the whole thing is the day before the vote,and 52 down to 47/8 is roughly 10% the following weeks in dropped another 2-3% which i would still put down do brekkie,of the last 5% drop i would put about 2-3% down to the bahts strength,so roughly 16-17% is brexit related. bare in mind the pound would of rose from 52 with a remain win,how much is debatable and guess work,but imo it would of rose to 55-57 and remained around that until the recent 2-3% surge in the baht,leaving it at roughly 54-55,economic data in the last 3 years would back me up,the economy was not going to crash with a remain vote.

I dont dispute that the 52 to 47 was due to brexit but anything beyond that is just you guessing.

9 minutes ago, kingdong said:

what mob compiled this?the same lot who predicted the uk would go  bankrupt if we didn,t join the euro?

Also whats happening in July 2022 that causes the baht to move from 30.6 to 27.6 ?

1 hour ago, Paul52 said:

Do you just mean Euro vs THB will get worse, or other EU currencies vs THB, too?  If you’re just talking about the EURO, then it’s probably true, but if you’re including other EU currencies then you’re almost certainly wrong.  There’s no economic data to back that assertion.  Since Brexit, the Polish Zlotty hasn’t changed and the Swedish Krona has got stronger against THB.  Bottom line is: being a member of the EU is economically the best thing, but being a member of the EURO is not.  For British expats living in Thailand, the best thing that can happen is UK revokes Article 50 - but the english aren’t going to do that.  Immigration and austerity have pushed too many of them too far to the extreme right. Things are looking very bad for GBP.

The Euro has depreciated by around 13% versus the baht since Brexit, the Zloty around 7% and the pound around 23%

The baht is definitely getting stronger against most currencies but the pound has been hit especially hard because of Brexit. If I was a betting man I would think most of the loss has already been factored in by the markets if we were leave without a deal.

3 hours ago, bomber said:

It reached 55 2 or 3 months before the referendum.

Yes and it was 58 in 2015 so whats your point?

Even before the referendum the pound has been progressively weakening as the graph below shows. Brexit can only be attributed (possibly) to a small part of the decline.

5 hours ago, userabcd said:

Not looking good at all.

 

Take a look over a 10 year period, it's even worse.

6 minutes ago, bomber said:

i doubt many expats in china are interested in religion,russia you mentioned earlier but your clutching at straws,USA we are all fully aware of the healthcare set up there so again your desperate,french infrastructure you are correct about but it is good.

Once again you miss the point. Read my original post in reply to a member who hated UK.

25 minutes ago, bomber said:

you will find free health care free,primary schools and free secondary schools are common place within the EU,and most wont be charging £9.00 for perscriptions or paying alcoholics extra benefits,France is the no1 most visited county on the planet if i remember correctly and certainly has a bit more going for it than the UK,mexico is popular with expats and holiday makers,china has good area's and a few  expats,same as various areas of africa.iam afraid the terraces have taken its toll on you,no surrender,rule britannia and all that rubbish.

Try supporting a religion in China or denouncing the ruling party in Russia or getting free healthcare in the US. All things we take for granted.

The French infrastructure is heavily subsided by its government which is overburdened financially (98.4% of GDP v UK 84.7%) and has a socialist if not militant workforce.

Well let me guess...King Power, King Power and erm, King Power.

Strike me down if I'm wrong...

17 hours ago, mvdf said:

Yes of course! Stop trying to instill a sense of denial in nervous westerners who are here hiding from the law of their lands! 

 

If you have anything to hide, this technology will expose you and if you are found guilty of whatever you're hiding, you will face the law. 

 

End of the days of using Asia as hiding places.

 

Bugger, I'm off to Bolivia then ????

If I was guilty of course ????

4 hours ago, bomber said:

Oil IS PRICED IN DOLLARS THE POUND IS 10-15% DOWN,are you stark raving ????,i stated if the oil price stayed at the present price,in 2 weeks time todays drop in sterling combined with the last 2 weeks falls will add to the price at the pumps albeit only 1-2p a litre but its still an increase,trump clobbered turkey same same the EU and the markets can clobber the UK,they have already as the pounds decline proves or do you still believe its just another one of those coincidences,keep your stiff upper lift it will be an easy target for folks bigger and stronger than you. 5th my backside 

Read up matey

https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/articles/fuelpricesexplainedabreakdownofthecostofpetrolanddiesel/2016-01-22

12 hours ago, bristolboy said:

Actually the vote total was about 33,570,000. Next you'll be telling us that 60+ percent of Labour voters went for Brexit.

According to Wiki, valid votes came in at 17.2m

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_European_Parliament_election_in_the_United_Kingdom

How did you get 33,570,000 ?

Edit : Were you referring to the EU Referundum ?

23 hours ago, tebee said:

quite a lot of useful things like raw materials, food and petrol are imported - they will all cost more  

Assuming that the UK adopts a 0% WTO rate as was the Governments plan in March then food will get cheaper.

For example, we are paying over 20% on cooked shrimp from Thailand, 7% on chicken and 21% on Ice-cream from outside the EU. In fact the savings will be bigger as we pay duty on the transport costs too. That's assuming the retailers pass on the savings to their customers.

What MAY have an impact on the savings is how strong the dollar is against the pound as a lot of food globally is traded in dollars.

It may be good for other things, but for the economy, impossible.

12 minutes ago, bristolboy said:

Terrible governance they have there. Transparency International rated it 2nd least corruptly governed nation in the world. Shocking!

That does also include local government and is only a 'perceived' index.

6 hours ago, wilcopops said:

 - Only a Brexiteer could say hat.......

Insightful to say the least.

Thing is he did not campaign against Labour in the run up to last weeks elections, He made claims on Friday, then on Sunday, and again yesterday that he had voted Lib/Dem on Thursday, not unlike a number of tories who publicly said in the days running up to the election that they would be voting Lib/dem, encouraging others to follow suit. 
 
If true they kicked him out for voting Lib/Dem how can they prove he actually did? of course they could kick him out because he said he did, but I suspect this is more to do with his remark that Labour/Corbyn are trying to ride both horses in a two horse race. 
 
Do not shoot the messenger, he was only trying to point out why Labour got a good thrashing on Thursday.