rabas

Congratulations, that make sense. Of course, you could use Bayesian econometrics to analyze Keynesian economics but by that time it may be easier to just pay your $5 and go home...

Yes, that and other things came up. But, Bayesian econometrics is not a type of economy. It is a type of analysis based in Bayesian distributions, a branch of statistical analysis using probabilities to analyze economic data and trends. Not what the poster intended, I think. That and the odd spelling led to my question.

I married a cook.

What is a Basayian economy? Is it spelled right? I can't find anything and there are too many near misses to make a guess.

Is that still home broadband or just 4G/5B mobile link. I to have an unhappy AIS broadband at home.

You should learn. China-Vietnam is an excellent big bully beats up smaller neighbor parallel to Russia-Ukraine, many wars. Just like Russia, China had trouble accepting Vietnam is not China. Same same. Lots of book burning and brutal cultural cleaning, too. But for the last 1000 years, Vietnam successfully retained its sovereignty in spite of Chinese aggression and a few wars. It's not about hope. it's about defending family, home, and culture, just like Ukraine. That suggests Ukraine may have a better ending than Russia.

Russian control = stealing and blowing up whatever it can, with real weapons. The global majority surely wants a free Ukraine so grain is not destroyed. Bloomberg: [LINK] Ukrainian grain Exports from the last season's harvest, Russia stole or destroyed 4.04 million tons of grain and oilseeds valued at about $1.9 billion in Ukrainian territories BBC: Satellite images reveal damage to Ukraine grain ports 100s more.

Good god! I quoted the head of Russia's Central Bank herself! I even reference TASS (Russian state media). You label me and others narrow minded MSM junkies, then you quote a Western MSM clickbait article because you like it. FACT. Russia's GDP anomaly was mostly due to a jump in war time spending that also follows a prior GDP crash (recession 2022) Not experienced by other countries. This was explained elsewhere.

More Russian economy XM: Russian central bank vows to contain inflation as weekly prices soar BI: Russia's top central banker warns of higher inflation as Putin's military draft tightens the labor market TASS: Bank of Russia to take all measures for low inflation — Central Bank chief "The dramatic cut of the key rate and unpredictable high inflation "are capable of destroying long-term lending," Elvira Nabiullina noted"

Russian economy: Elvira Nabiullina, head of Russia's central bank sounded ominous notes for the economy at a July 3 financial conference in Saint Petersburg. Note, she was against invading Ukraine for economic reasons and resigned only to be forced not to by Putin.

Moscow TImes (July 2, 2024😞 The World Bank upgraded Russia to a “high-income” country with per-capita gross GNI totaling $14,250 in 2023. Bulgaria and Palau joined Russia in becoming “high-income economies” with $14,460 and $14,250 per-capita GNI, respectively. In nominal terms, Russia ranks 72nd in per-capita GNI. A true powerhouse.

Not a scoundrel who's opinions swing wildly based on personal advantage, which was the point. Such people are never reliable and are not now. (Trust me bro, I won't cheat you again!) Jeffrey Sachs is not a scoundrel but also suffers from occasional opinion swing e.g., lab leaks. He is bright and means well but a bit blinded by his "America bad" feelings. Some WMD and traces were found but that's off topic.

Scott Ritter, the UN Weapons inspector who famously resigned because Iraq posed a much greater WMD threat that the US and UN weren't taking seriously? Who then testified to congress that the UN and US were failing to disarm Iraq, and was accused by then peaceful BIden of wanting to pull the trigger on Iraq? Ritter's UNSCOM boss said Ritter's WMD opinions were complete BS start to finish. "When he was the 'Alpha Dog' inspector, then by God, there were more weapons there, and we had to go find them a contention for which he had inadequate evidence. When he became a peacenik, then there were no weapons of mass destruction." [REF] Later, after rehabilitation for multiple child molestation attempts, he lost his only job due to frequent ongoing public exposure and masturbation offenses against women, in chat rooms, cars, and alley ways. He said he was depressed. This is your 'reliable' star witness?

Vision test... Russia fought proxy wars in Ukraine prior to Putin's full invasion in 2022, after which it was no longer a proxy war. Wiki: Allegations of genocide in Donbas Altogether, about 14,300 people were killed in the Donbas War, both soldiers and civilians. According to the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, 6,500 were Russian proxy forces, 4,400 were Ukrainian forces, and 3,404 were civilians on both sides of the frontline. Test results: ChicagoExpat has excellent vision.

I fully support Ukraine 125%! (I also support Russia and Russians, just not butcher Vlad) If you want to know the difference, she will explain...

This is a quantification fallacy, an argument that makes unjustified claims about the scope of something. It's also a form of whataboutisam, perfected in Russian cold war propaganda. "Look, someone somewhere banned something so mass state censorship is OK." Here's what it's quickly becoming under Putin, which you won't criticize. He recently introduced a form you can fill out and get your neighbor locked up for years just for things like singing Ukraine supportive songs? No trial. OK, back to your evil USA.

You provided an unverified accusation with no reference or other info. (drive by shooting) I provided 3 references that the cultural destruction is by Russia, there are 100s or 1000s of references from reputable sources and international organizations. Google: Ukraine cultural destruction Google: Ukraine cultural destruction books ... and choose. Russia is destroying books, libraries. book printers, and cultural sites. It is deliberate. Where is your evidence?

And you always carefully mention only one. Why the sad Bob? I only provided 3 links to reputable sources. Afraid of truth? FYI, I'm not the one giving you sads etc.

I too rarely see Westerners. I live out along Chaengwattana, hardly a dead end. We have everything, Government complex, TOT & CAT headquarters, Thaipost center, Joint Chiefs of staff, three small army bases (did I mention safe?), lots of courts, DSI, hospitals, Central Dept Store, etc. The difference is Chaengwattana is not a tourist area. So maybe it's your view that's limited. You go where farang go. As for change, Thai have probably changed less than many others. Their friendly, smiley nature is still in tack though maybe a bit more sophisticated. I still goof with them everywhere I go. What has changed (around 2000 as mentioned above) is the tourist/bar scene as it grew from a fairly spontaneous homey style to a sleazier big money dark industry. I can remember when Pattaya was a sleepy seaside strip with a little bus stop and no one in it. I remember watching Patong Beach lay its first paved road along the beach. As much as the rest of the world has changed, I think Thailand is a better deal now than ever, especially if you can break away from the tourist scene at least occasionally. Learn Thai, it opens doors and hearts among other things.

And then there were none... Russia had only one S-500 system, and that was experimental. It was recently moved to Crimea from protecting Moscow Putin. India in particular is in pain and cancelling multiple weapon systems purchases from Russia in favor of US hardware. (Note: click on image to see fire location at image bottom)

Just to clarify who 'they' refers to: Reuters: Pro-Russian demonstrators burn books, storm buildings in eastern Ukraine (2014) HRU: Blow to History: Ukrainian Literary Works Destroyed in Recent Incidents 'Russians continue to destroy the cultural heritage of Ukraine in the temporarily occupied territories.' (Feb 2023) Russia destroys almost all Ukrainian literature in occupied Donbas, calling it ‘extremist’ (Dec 2023)

1. After the invasion, Russia captured an added 119,000 km2, of which Ukrainian has liberated 74,443 km2. After that, change is peanuts. [link] 2. Ukraine has US$ 110+ billion on the way, now arriving from various sources. 3. Russia's civil economy is slowly collapsing as discussed earlier. China refused to and N Korea can't help financially. 4. Gazprom is failing financially, now a drain on the war effort. link -> https://x.com/i/status/1805989796306911712 5. Russian military correspondent complains that Ukraine drones now outnumber Russia's by a huge factor. link -> https://x.com/i/status/1805669707640643604 I doubt the war will end on the battlefield, it will likely end with Putin's fall as more Russian's count the internal damage to their country. Putin remains a madman.

Yes, I was wrong. Thanks. I was thinking of the arrest of Gerasimov's deputy Lieutenant-General Vadim Shamarin https://www.ft.com/content/735f2750-a4e9-43c4-8ccc-5720ec9f37b2

Said generals are not doing well inside Russia either. Putin has already removed both of them. Shoigu was placed in a dummy role where he can watch Putin jail his staff and uncover evidence. This may be Putin's way of letting Shoigu ponder his coming fate, like a cat playing with the mouse. I wonder if Shoigu and Gerasimov feel they might get a better deal outside of Russia. Remember Putin had Prigozhin blown out of the sky.

Einstein once said "I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones". I doubt he meant drones fighting each other with sticks. How does this work? The Ukraine drone uses a stick to break the Russian drone's propellers.