kwonitoy

Our economy is definitely and significantly overheating," warned Herman Gref, CEO of Sberbank, according to Business Insider. Russia has now reached a production capacity that, according to Gref, cannot be exceeded and is on the brink of collapse. In December, Elvira Nabiullina, the head of the Russian Central Bank, also warned of the economic repercussions of Russia’s rapid growth. "Imagine the economy as a car. If you try to drive faster than the engine allows, it will sooner or later break down, and then we won't get far," she said. "We may be driving fast, but only for a short period." https://www.dagens.com/news/russian-bank-director-sounds-the-alarm-our-economy-is-overheating The sanctions are like poison. Death by a thousand cuts. Russia had reserves, but those are dwindling. Ukraine is providing the hardest push with Western arms and Ukrainian strength of will and arms. The fight is going on on multiple levels: Cyberwarfare, economic warfare, diplomatic warfare, info war, sabotage inside Russia, and sabotaging the regime wherever it surfaces. What happens now can only be described as large-scale reverse industrialisation. All of that was forecasted, and now it comes to fruition, Russia goes bankrupt gradually and then all of a sudden. The fiscal year of 2025 will be very interesting, Russia can find more tricks to prolong the suffering but with every year that passes the facade will erode further and the war as such is a main driver of their economic demise as the growth triggered by a war economy is not adding any value, quite the opposite, it incurs further costs in maintenance and training of those that should use these war machines. It is a one way economy which also swallows 25k to 30k Russian men each month which would be the equivalent of the amount of military aged men living in a town of 100k people, and that happens every month. These people are then transformed from tax payers and cheap labor into future lost GDP, each Russian serf roughly could bring 500k dollars in GDP in their lifetimes for the Russian state. The costs and positive feedback loops are stacking up and the sanctions will only have their full effect in the medium to long term, and that is where we are headed in the next 24 months or so, the sanctions need policing and better enforcement to ensure that Russia loses even more money and to force them to go through even more trouble to source materials. Also, the targeting of refineries and increased attacks on Russian targets inside Russia will help to drive up the costs of this invasion and the amount of resources Russia needs to expend to repair these facilities. I'm observing a stunning picture of the suicide of the Russian economy.” Igor Lipsits, an expert on the Russian economy. https://x.com/NatalkaKyiv/status/1798537710120153373 Russia will collapse, faster, and most unexpected when people think it will go on forever. Russia will collapse. Every single decision Putin made was wrong and stupid. We must adapt and change. Russia is not going for self-actualization. Structural inefficiency and toxic are written all over them.

I just completed this quiz. My Score 30/100 My Time 89 seconds  

Why did Putin invade? Because he thought it would be easy, like his previous invasions of neighboring countries He thought by way of incorrect information provided by his "analysts and advisors" that it would be a cake walk. Drive from the border to Kiev with his armored column and the country would surrender and he could install a compliant leader. He in no way conceived of Ukraine fighting back, again from misinformation from his advisors that Ukraine would roll over when confronted. He is now stuck, he can't back out for fear of looking weak. Ukraine is slowly picking away at refineries, oil depots, ammo storage dumps, ships, aircraft, artilerary systems, rocket launcher, tanks, etc. targets of war. Ukraine is building up their own arrements systems so they can take the war to the enemy which is now happening in Kursk.

New missile that was used on the ammo dump

5000 tons of munitions going up

First satellite images of the air base, before and after

A different view

More oil tanks? More fires

Lots of secondary explosions, supposedly targeting the ammo storage at the air base.

I just completed this quiz. My Score 40/100 My Time 44 seconds  

I just completed this quiz. My Score 10/100 My Time 103 seconds  

Excellent interview with General Hodges

Russia is already pulling everyone back to the north of the Semy River while they can. This will be an extension of the area already occupied by Ukraine Don't need much of a force to occupy if there are no defenders. Lots of running away and surrendering by the russians.

Got lit up yesterday and now it's really going,

I just completed this quiz. My Score 40/100 My Time 30 seconds