Polls are pretty much useless at this point, but this one is so shocking, it's interesting:
Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day.
I am not predicting that Harris takes Iowa. After all, this is just one poll.
But, it is backed up by early voting data showing a tight race:
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/iowa-results
55% of early voters are female. Women are going to vote for Harris whether Trump likes it or not.
Party affiliation is 50/50 now.
If I were running the Trump campaign, I would be throwing resources at Iowa right now. Election Day turnout is going to decide Iowa, as no one has a firewall.