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Brexit trade deal clash: UK and EU spar over rules


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19 minutes ago, izod10 said:

Christ    hardly worth an answer

  UK second biggest contributor to EU 

93 billion deficit  

 38 billion membership

   All gone,finished,even the bog trotters will be up in arms   but   no fishing  now that is good news  put millions out of work in EU     really good   all gone  bye bye

Exaggeration. In the EU, a maximum of 200,000 people (excluding the UK) are engaged in fishing. if you pull off inland fishing, offshore fishing, crustacean farming and aquaculture, there are less than 100,000 on the high seas.

Why did you not study first the numbers before you post C,rap numbers.

Edited by tomacht8
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3 minutes ago, tomacht8 said:

Exaggeration. In the EU, a maximum of 200,000 people (excluding the UK) are engaged in fishing. if you pull off inland fishing, offshore fishing, crustacean farming and aquaculture, there are less than 100,000 on the high seas.

Why did you not study first the numbers before you post C,rap numbers.

Ever seen any comment of a Brexiteer based on real figures, or any searching on internet ?

 

 

26 sep. 2019 - It includes details on the UK fleet, the number of fishermen, the quantity and value of UK landings, international trade, worldwide fishing and the ...
 
5 dagen geleden - The fisheries industry in the EU employed about 180 000 people in ... fish landings and aquaculture production in the European Union (EU) .

 

The processing industry counts approximately 3 700 companies. The mainstay of EU production is conserves and ready meals of fish, crustaceans and molluscs ...
door H Bartelings - ‎Geciteerd door 1 - ‎Verwante artikelen
the EU, particularly in the connecting fish processing industry make UK ... Figure 1 shows, that value added in the fish sector is created by employing a set of ...
18 dec. 2019 - There are some difficult issues to be tackled as the fishing industry ... Their tonnage and value far outweighs the more familiar white fish served in ... Although the UK is due to leave the European Union on 31 January, the deal ...
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7 minutes ago, tomacht8 said:

Exaggeration. In the EU, a maximum of 200,000 people (excluding the UK) are engaged in fishing. if you pull off inland fishing, offshore fishing, crustacean farming and aquaculture, there are less than 100,000 on the high seas.

Why die not stuff first the numbers before you post C,rap numbers.

on the high seas....   Right  boats  marketing  food supply  anything and everything connected   millions   all down the toilet  All Barnier talks about fishing,     All good stuff for UK to keep

 

  To finish the UK want OUT of the EU   and getting out   no use quoting figures  its over      finished   out 

Edited by izod10
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8 minutes ago, tomacht8 said:

They will, because Japan have a Trade deal with the EU. In the trade agreement, tariffs on automobiles are set to zero. It pays off more for Japanese and European car manufacturers to produce large quantities at one location and to accept the higher transport costs. if small plants in continental europe are closed, it is not caused by Brexit. The plants in the UK are no longer profitable either, especially with additional tariff barriers. The UK market is simply too small to maintain a wide range of models and complementary services.

 

 

I can accept that. So presumably they would also ship to the UK from Japan. These talks have already been happening informally with the Japanse government for a while, and auto tariffs are a big talking point. This seems like a reasonable way to resolve the issue. Either way, that trade between the UK and the EU simply becomes unnecessary.  Either scenario doesn't bode well for the EU making the argument that the UK will wither and die without them.

 

The does prove the point however that large companies will find a way to trade with the UK bypassing the onerous WTO regulations for trade with the EU. The political leverage the EU thinks it has by restricting trade will likely not withstand the adjustments businesses will use to get around them. Either manufacturers will set up shop in the UK if it is profitable to do so, or they will ship from somewhere else that has a trade deal with the UK.

 

The point you did not addess however, is that the smaller absolute market the UK offers can in theory be offset in the immediate term by streamlining the UK economy, removing much of the unnecessary bureaucracy and offering higher margins.  Long term trade will always adjust to find a balance. The belief the EU seems to have going into these trade negotiations that business will politely ignore the UK market and let the country wither strains credibility.

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8 hours ago, petermik said:

The EU can take a hike...the boot is on the right foot now and we will not be bullied into anything that is not in our best interests....fark them I say :thumbsup:

just keep in mind.... two numbers   45%  VS  15%

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13 minutes ago, tomacht8 said:

Exaggeration. In the EU, a maximum of 200,000 people (excluding the UK) are engaged in fishing. if you pull off inland fishing, offshore fishing, crustacean farming and aquaculture, there are less than 100,000 on the high seas.

Why did you not study first the numbers before you post C,rap numbers.

Fishing plays a crucial role for employment and economic activity in several EU regions – in some European coastal communities the fishing sector accounts for as many as half the local jobs.

Employment in the fishing sector tends to be concentrated in a handful of countries. Spain alone accounts for a fourth of total employment, and the four countries with the highest levels of employment – Spain, Greece, Italy and Portugal – make up around 73%.

Aquaculture employs roughly 80 000 people, including part-time and full-time jobs in both marine and freshwater aquaculture.

The processing industry counts approximately 3 700 companies. The mainstay of EU production is conserves and ready meals of fish, crustaceans and mollusc

 

Oh dear!  seems you post c.rap

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4 hours ago, david555 said:

And the E.U. was not lying all the way , from beginning they made their goalposts ,it was only U.K. so about sel-insured who believed al the nonsense from themselves that E.U. always go flat belly at last instance …… so now you see how flat E.U. go ...

I compliment you on your English, but the word

'bellyflop' is more accurate, and you will soon

observe one when the EU finishes its dive.

 

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17 minutes ago, tomacht8 said:

They will, because Japan have a Trade deal with the EU. In the trade agreement, tariffs on automobiles are set to zero. It pays off more for Japanese and European car manufacturers to produce large quantities at one location and to accept the higher transport costs. if small plants in continental europe are closed, it is not caused by Brexit. The plants in the UK are no longer profitable either, especially with additional tariff barriers. The UK market is simply too small to maintain a wide range of models and complementary services.

 

Teh brexiteers still live in the era before 1950, when a car manufacturer with an output of a 50-100.000 cars/year could prosper.  Now it is over a million cars. And transport costs, by these very big ships… not so much...) 

Nissan nearly collapsed, but thanks to Ghons and Renault it still exists. Several car factories ( Ford, GM/Opel) in Belgium were closed already, simply because of lack of economies of scale.

 

18 apr. 2017 - It was the heyday of Belgian car manufacturing, and the plant turned out ... Ford closed the plant with the loss of 6,000 jobs either at the factory …

 

By some estimates, factories in Western and Eastern Europe are capable of producing seven million or eight million more cars and light trucks than the market can absorb. Many factories are operating at only 60 percent or less. 

https://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/06/business/international/ford-pays-a-high-price-for-plant-closing-in-belgium.html

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1 hour ago, puipuitom said:

Teh brexiteers still live in the era before 1950, when a car manufacturer with an output of a 50-100.000 cars/year could prosper.  Now it is over a million cars. And transport costs, by these very big ships… not so much...) 

Nissan nearly collapsed, but thanks to Ghons and Renault it still exists. Several car factories ( Ford, GM/Opel) in Belgium were closed already, simply because of lack of economies of scale.

 

18 apr. 2017 - It was the heyday of Belgian car manufacturing, and the plant turned out ... Ford closed the plant with the loss of 6,000 jobs either at the factory …

 

By some estimates, factories in Western and Eastern Europe are capable of producing seven million or eight million more cars and light trucks than the market can absorb. Many factories are operating at only 60 percent or less. 

https://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/06/business/international/ford-pays-a-high-price-for-plant-closing-in-belgium.html

Wouldn't that be lovely...an era pre 1950...bit befor my time but yes can imagine 50 hour working weeks, no paid sick.leave, still living amongst bomb sites from WW2, rationing, gas lamps, parafin heaters, etc, etc....I think you have the wrong idea about brexiters...

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1 hour ago, Blue Muton said:

What UK standards are "far superior to the EUs (sic)?

Getting out of the EU,and getting out as quickly as possible   just end it now    no more talk talk      now  right now   not needed

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2 hours ago, puipuitom said:

Large numbers of doctors recruited from India and Pakistan, encouraged by health minister Enoch Powell in the early 1960s, also played a key role in the establishment of the NHS health service.[40]

Hard to believe that. Enoch was anti immigration for non white Christians or so I was led to believe.

 

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2 hours ago, Monomial said:

 

I can accept that. So presumably they would also ship to the UK from Japan. These talks have already been happening informally with the Japanse government for a while, and auto tariffs are a big talking point. This seems like a reasonable way to resolve the issue. Either way, that trade between the UK and the EU simply becomes unnecessary.  Either scenario doesn't bode well for the EU making the argument that the UK will wither and die without them.

 

The does prove the point however that large companies will find a way to trade with the UK bypassing the onerous WTO regulations for trade with the EU. The political leverage the EU thinks it has by restricting trade will likely not withstand the adjustments businesses will use to get around them. Either manufacturers will set up shop in the UK if it is profitable to do so, or they will ship from somewhere else that has a trade deal with the UK.

 

The point you did not addess however, is that the smaller absolute market the UK offers can in theory be offset in the immediate term by streamlining the UK economy, removing much of the unnecessary bureaucracy and offering higher margins.  Long term trade will always adjust to find a balance. The belief the EU seems to have going into these trade negotiations that business will politely ignore the UK market and let the country wither strains credibility.

There are some points imo to consider.

The UK no longer has a trade deal with Japan via EU contracts with a WTO Brexit. The EU and Japan have negotiated for over 8 years.

The question will be, how is the interim period from WTO Brexit to a trade agreement with Japan?

As a rule, large companies make their loss locations obsolete, which means investing no longer. Part of the workforce is retiring, part-time, severance payments, redundancies, plant closures. 

It is unlikely that Japan will artificially keep a loss-making location alive.

 

Without investments in new production technologies and new models, a location is also unattractive. In addition, the free accessibility of 450 million  customers breaks away. Certainly not a incentive for new investments.

 

Japanese business people are generally very sensitive when there are disruptions in the business environment that they cannot control.

 

I think the Japanese have long since planned and adopted their withdrawal as producers from unprofitable locations in the UK and also in the EU. Japan would frankly never say that. It would be stupid to challenge a strike and unrest in the factories among the workforce.

 

 

....immediate term by streamlining the UK economy, removing much of the unnecessary bureaucracy and offering higher margins. ....

 

The UK could have done that earlier, but competition is tough in the automotive business. I think there will be no more sunshine in the long term.

 

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11 minutes ago, tomacht8 said:

There are some points imo to consider.

The UK no longer has a trade deal with Japan via EU contracts with a WTO Brexit. The EU and Japan have negotiated for over 8 years.

The question will be, how is the interim period from WTO Brexit to a trade agreement with Japan?

As a rule, large companies make their loss locations obsolete, which means investing no longer. Part of the workforce is retiring, part-time, severance payments, redundancies, plant closures. 

It is unlikely that Japan will artificially keep a loss-making location alive.

 

Without investments in new production technologies and new models, a location is also unattractive. In addition, the free accessibility of 450 million  customers breaks away. Certainly not a incentive for new investments.

 

Japanese business people are generally very sensitive when there are disruptions in the business environment that they cannot control.

 

I think the Japanese have long since planned and adopted their withdrawal as producers from unprofitable locations in the UK and also in the EU. Japan would frankly never say that. It would be stupid to challenge a strike and unrest in the factories among the workforce.

 

 

....immediate term by streamlining the UK economy, removing much of the unnecessary bureaucracy and offering higher margins. ....

 

The UK could have done that earlier, but competition is tough in the automotive business. I think there will be no more sunshine in the long term.

 

What do you make of the FT story Feb 3 (currently denied by Nissan), that in the event of tariffs, Nissan will close the Barcelona and French manufacture facility and concentrate on the UK?

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5 minutes ago, SheungWan said:

What do you make of the FT story Feb 3 (currently denied by Nissan), that in the event of tariffs, Nissan will close the Barcelona and French manufacture facility and concentrate on the UK?

As an outsider i do not know the detailed production structures and revenue / cost structures in the individual Nissan plants. What and how market shares in the Renault-Nissan Daimler-Mitsubishi alliance to be distributed behind closed doors I can not say. At most, there were guesses.

But in general i can say that all unprofitable plants are always put to the test bench. 

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7 minutes ago, Monomial said:

 

I am suggesting that some of the "unnecessary bureaucracy" is a result of overhead caused by membership in the common market, and therefore could not be removed while remaining a member of the EU. With these restrictions lifted, the UK has much more freedom to set policies that are friendlier than those implemented by the EU.

 

Also, the UK has been negotiating with Japan informally for months, and Japanese businesses are already pushing the government to strike a deal quickly with the UK to replace the Japan-EU trade pact now that the break is effective. There is political will on both sides to complete this before the end of 2020, as most of the standards and reporting requirements can simply be copied from the existing agreements with the EU.

 

It will not take the UK anywhere close to 8 years to negotiate an agreement. That is one advantage of being a small, nimble, single country, vs. a massive, complex trading block like the EU. Don't dismiss out of hand how much the removal of complexity is going to advantage the UK vs. the EU in many areas. The question is simply how much that increased efficiency can act to entice others and compensate for a smaller overall market.

 

 

Between EU and Japan it was 8 years.

Between UK and Japan it will be more faster, but definitely not ratified end of late 2020. Maybe 2023, 2024 if fast.

Unfortunately, copy and paste does not work with individual trade contracts.

All goods, product groups and services, as well as quotas must be precisely defined and calculated. The scope for action policy is also restricted by existing contracts with third countries Japan have.

 

In the case of the UK Nissan plant, there is no time pressure for Japan to conclude a trade contract. The car factory is already there and the old models can be sold free of tarif in the UK. And the Japanese are definitely not going to import massiv Nissan cars made in UK. 

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